This paper uses historical labor market data to assess the plausibility that the Federal Reserve can engineer a soft landing for the…
As the COVID-19 crisis lingers, emerging market and developing economies are entering perilous waters that evoke memories of past debt…
I discuss the multifaceted economic and financial vulnerabilities that have been created or exacerbated by the COVID-19 pandemic on a…
Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has been rapid and dramatic, but the global economic consequences will be much slower to materialize and less…
China’s lending boom to developing countries is morphing into defaults and debt distress. Given the secrecy surrounding China’s loans, also…
We argue the revenue potential from increasing tax rates on capital gains may be substantially greater than previously understood. First,…
Agricultural land use has recently peaked, both globally and across country income groups, after centuries of expansion and intensification…
We compare prices of financial derivatives whose payouts are based on future weather outcomes to CMIP5 climate model predictions as well as…
Across US counties, vaccination rates have a statistically significant downward effect on the Covid-19 death rate, as of August 12, 2021.…
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Conflict, drought and locusts are leading concerns for African food security but the relative importance and spatiotemporal scale of crises…