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Harvard Kennedy School faculty members Meghan O鈥橲ullivan, Ash Carter, and Eric Rosenbach all have deep national security experience, serving U.S. presidents of both parties during contentious wars and counter-terrorism operations since 9/11.

Reflecting this week on the 20-year American war in Afghanistan, they aired sometimes contrasting perspectives on what went wrong and what policy lessons the United States should learn. And their views did not line up neatly along partisan lines.

糖心vlog官网 Dean Douglas Elmendorf hosted two conversations in one day on the lessons from Afghanistan. At an afternoon event鈥攖he first in a series of three Dean鈥檚 Discussions on the topic of Afghanistan鈥攈e introduced O鈥橲ullivan, the Jeane Kirkpatrick Professor of International Relations, who served in the Bush Administration in the years after the Sept. 11 terror attacks, and Rosenbach, a public policy lecturer and former Army intelligence officer who later held senior Pentagon positions. The event was moderated by Sarah Wald, the dean鈥檚 senior policy advisor and chief of staff.

Also joining that Dean鈥檚 Discussion was Farah Pandith, a long-time 糖心vlog官网 senior fellow who brought an American diplomatic viewpoint as well as a Muslim-American perspective. She served in three U.S. administrations and was the first special representative to Muslim communities under Obama.
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Then, in the evening, Elmendorf hosted a featuring Carter, the former secretary of defense and now Belfer Professor of Technology and Global Affairs and director of the Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs.

Carter, who served in Democratic President Obama鈥檚 Cabinet, and O鈥橲ullivan, who served Republican President George W. Bush as deputy national security advisor for Iraq and Afghanistan, both argued that the United States should have kept a limited military force in Afghanistan rather than withdraw completely, as happened in August after the Taliban insurgents overran the capital, Kabul, and seized control.
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Carter said that in recent years the United States was in a position where a 鈥渞elatively small number of U.S. forces was able to keep the lid on in Afghanistan. That鈥檚 a lot, for a small price鈥.. It was not an endless war. It was, in my view, an endless presence. We were not going to leave any time soon. That鈥檚 as good as it gets.鈥

鈥淚 know I was in a minority in believing this,鈥 Carter added. 鈥淢ost of my fellow Americans did not believe in it. And so they abandoned that mission.... It鈥檚 a good old-fashioned bipartisan American mistake.鈥

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鈥淚t was not an endless war. It was, in my view, an endless presence. We were not going to leave any time soon. That鈥檚 as good as it gets.鈥
Ash Carter

At the Dean's Discussion, O鈥橲ullivan speculated that the Biden administration may have framed its policy deliberations in a way that contributed to what was, in her view, a deeply flawed outcome. She suggested policymakers might have been focused more on "how to end the war" than on "how to protect ongoing American interests in Afghanistan;" she said asking the latter question could have led to very different options and outcomes. O'Sullivan argued that a better option than complete withdrawal would have been an ongoing, limited military commitment to underpin the Afghan government, support the Afghan security forces, and prevent terrorist groups from reconstituting.

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鈥淥ne lesson learned would be our belief that we can fix every problem, right? So to have a little bit more humility over what can be achieved.鈥
Meghan O'Sullivan

Rosenbach, the Belfer Center co-director who was an Army intelligence officer before earning a Kennedy School degree and then serving on the Senate Intelligence Committee after 9/11, offered a different view. He reminded the audience that U.S. forces were not in combat with the Taliban only because of the Doha Agreement, negotiated by the Trump Administration in early 2020. That was premised on the U.S. withdrawing by May 2021, which Biden stretched to August, even as the Taliban were advancing steadily.

鈥淵ou leave 6,000 troops there, and here鈥檚 what happens. They get attacked. Guess what? We have to send more troops. We have to bomb the Taliban, who attacked us. We make mistakes, more Afghans die鈥. You don鈥檛 get out of there,鈥 Rosenbach said. 鈥淭his small footprint thing; when you do the scenario planning, it鈥檚 not a real option.鈥

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鈥淵ou leave 6,000 troops there, and here鈥檚 what happens. They get attacked.... We have to bomb the Taliban, who attacked us.... This small footprint thing; when you do the scenario planning, it鈥檚 not a real option.鈥
Eric Rosenbach

Pandith focused on unsettling global strategic issues; she stressed that one of the casualties of 9/11 was failing to understand what Osama bin Laden actually unleashed. 鈥淚t was the destabilization of our relations with Muslims around the world.鈥 That in turn fueled extremism on both sides and heightened fear of 鈥渢he other,鈥 she said. 鈥淚 can draw a straight line between 9/11 and 1/6,鈥 referring to the attack on the U.S. Capitol by Trump supporters.

She also challenged Rosenbach鈥檚 suggestion that the Taliban might prove more rational in their second stint in power. 鈥淭hey believe there's one way of being a Muslim and anybody who isn't like that needs to be beheaded,鈥 she said. In shaping the U.S. policy response, 鈥渨e have to ask ourselves, what are we ready to do? What are our red lines?鈥

There was agreement on some aspects of the war鈥攁nd on some lessons.  Carter, O鈥橲ullivan, and Rosenbach all acknowledged the danger of allowing the military to trap civilian policymakers by leaking information to the media that leaves political leaders little option but to adopt a harder stance or risk being seen as weak.

Rosenbach, who described himself as 鈥渘ot that partisan,鈥 gave credit to Biden for 鈥渂iting the bullet鈥 and taking the political hit for finally getting U.S. troops out of Afghanistan altogether, even though he said the execution of the departure was botched. His lesson: 鈥淒on鈥檛 forget what it is we are trying to do鈥攏ot the creep of all the wonderful things you might be able to do.鈥

Another lesson was  the danger of overestimating what U.S. power can achieve, or as O鈥橲ullivan put it, "One lesson learned would be our our belief that we can fix every problem, right? So to have a little bit more humility over what can be achieved."

Said Carter: 鈥淔or those of us in national security, we have to be more parsimonious about what we take on, and we have to explain very carefully why it鈥檚 good for the American citizen.鈥

Two more Kennedy School Dean's Discussions on Afghanistan are scheduled this term: Nov. 1, on what's next for Afghanistan and its people, with Ricardo Hausmann, Asim Khwaja, and Zoe Marks; and Nov. 8, on international relations with Graham Allison, Kathryn Sikkink, and Stephen Walt.