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The White House lawn on a sunny day.
Feature: Is DOGE Sure It Wants to Fire These People?

Juliette Kayyem examines the negative effects that Elon Musks’s Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) could have on the safety of everyday Americans.

River running through a densely populated area.
Feature: Private Benefits from Public Investment in Climate Resilience

Joseph Aldy finds that governmental construction of levees, which enhance resilience to flood risks amplified by climate change, increases home values by 3-4 percent.

Person sits on a bed holding a check.
Feature: Assessing Government Outreach to Bolster Benefits Take-Up

Elizabeth Linos finds that light-touch interventions significantly, consistently, and cost-effectively increase benefits take-up among low-income households, while higher-touch proactive outreach yields minimal additional take-up.

Black family happily sits on the grass in a park.
Feature: Excess Mortality Rate in U.S. Black Children Since 1950

Soroush Saghafian finds that 5 million excess deaths of Black Americans, including over 500,000 infants, could have been avoided over the past 70 years if their mortality rates were equal to those of White Americans.

Harvard Kennedy School faculty disseminate their research in working publications and papers that contribute to public knowledge and fuel policy innovation. This list features recent faculty publications, including journal articles, books, edited volumes, research papers, and public testimony.

Faculty Publications

Rolling the Dice in the Corridors of Power: William Nordhaus’s Impacts on Climate Change Policy

Aldy, Joseph, and Robert N. Stavins. "Rolling the Dice in the Corridors of Power: William Nordhaus’s Impacts on Climate Change Policy." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP20-022, July 2020.

Saudi Arabia’s Energy Infrastructure Under Attack. What’s Next?

De Blasio, Nicola, and Henry Lee. "Saudi Arabia’s Energy Infrastructure Under Attack. What’s Next?" National Interest, October 6, 2019.

Pandemic Risk: How Large Are the Expected Losses?

Fan, Victoria Y., Dean T. Jamison, and Lawrence H. Summers. "Pandemic Risk: How Large Are the Expected Losses?" Bulletin of the World Health Organization 96.2 (February 2018): 129-134.

Confronting an Enemy with Unknown Preferences: Deterrer or Provocateur?

Jelnov, Artyom, Yair Tauman, and Richard Zeckhauser. "Confronting an Enemy with Unknown Preferences: Deterrer or Provocateur?" vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP18-006, January 2018.

Linking Heterogeneous Climate Policies (Consistent with the Paris Agreement)

Mehling, Michael A.; Metcalf, Gilbert E.; and Stavins, Robert N. "Linking Heterogeneous Climate Policies (Consistent with the Paris Agreement)." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP17-042, September 2017.

Recollection Bias and Its Underpinnings: Lessons from Terrorism-Risk Assessments

Viscusi, W. Kip, and Richard Zeckhauser. "Recollection Bias and Its Underpinnings: Lessons from Terrorism-Risk Assessments." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP15-066, October 2015.

Handling and Mishandling Estimative Probability: Likelihood, Confidence, and the Search for Bin Laden

Friedman, Jeffrey A., and Richard Zeckhauser. "Handling and Mishandling Estimative Probability: Likelihood, Confidence, and the Search for Bin Laden." Intelligence and National Security 30.1 (2015): 77-99.

Why Assessing Estimative Accuracy is Feasible and Desirable

Friedman, Jeffrey A., and Richard Zeckhauser. "Why Assessing Estimative Accuracy is Feasible and Desirable." Intelligence and National Security (November 28, 2014).

Venezuela's Economic Underperformance

Reinhart, Carmen, and Kenneth Rogoff. "Venezuela's Economic Underperformance." Project Syndicate, October 13, 2014.

Global Governance and “New Governance Theory”: Lessons from Business and Human Rights

Ruggie, John Gerard. "Global Governance and “New Governance Theory”: Lessons from Business and Human Rights." Global Governance 20.1 (January-March 2014): 5-17.

Testimony in Support of a National Veterans' Trust Fund

Bilmes, Linda J. "Testimony in Support of a National Veterans' Trust Fund." Veterans Affairs Committee, U.S. House of Representatives, September 18, 2013.

National Security Warrants Slowing Domestic Oil Depletion, Not Accelerating It

Frankel, Jeffrey A. "National Security Warrants Slowing Domestic Oil Depletion, Not Accelerating It." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series, August 2013 (first draft).

The Financial Legacy of Iraq and Afghanistan: How Wartime Spending Decisions Will Constrain Future National Security Budgets

Bilmes, Linda J. "The Financial Legacy of Iraq and Afghanistan: How Wartime Spending Decisions Will Constrain Future National Security Budgets." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP13-006, March 2013.

Climate Negotiators Create an Opportunity for Scholars

Aldy, Joseph, and Robert N. Stavins. "Climate Negotiators Create an Opportunity for Scholars." Science 337.6098 (August 2012): 1043-1044.

Aung San Suu Kyi Signals Change in Burma, but Investors Should Proceed with Caution

Ruggie, John Gerard. "Aung San Suu Kyi Signals Change in Burma, but Investors Should Proceed with Caution." Christian Science Monitor, June 19, 2012.

Assessing Uncertainty in Intelligence

Friedman, Jeffrey A., and Richard Zeckhauser. "Assessing Uncertainty in Intelligence." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP12-027, June 2012.

Designing a Bretton Woods Institution to Address Climate Change

Aldy, Joseph. "Designing a Bretton Woods Institution to Address Climate Change." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP12-017, May 2012.