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The White House lawn on a sunny day.
Feature: Is DOGE Sure It Wants to Fire These People?

Juliette Kayyem examines the negative effects that Elon Musks’s Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) could have on the safety of everyday Americans.

River running through a densely populated area.
Feature: Private Benefits from Public Investment in Climate Resilience

Joseph Aldy finds that governmental construction of levees, which enhance resilience to flood risks amplified by climate change, increases home values by 3-4 percent.

Person sits on a bed holding a check.
Feature: Assessing Government Outreach to Bolster Benefits Take-Up

Elizabeth Linos finds that light-touch interventions significantly, consistently, and cost-effectively increase benefits take-up among low-income households, while higher-touch proactive outreach yields minimal additional take-up.

Black family happily sits on the grass in a park.
Feature: Excess Mortality Rate in U.S. Black Children Since 1950

Soroush Saghafian finds that 5 million excess deaths of Black Americans, including over 500,000 infants, could have been avoided over the past 70 years if their mortality rates were equal to those of White Americans.

Harvard Kennedy School faculty disseminate their research in working publications and papers that contribute to public knowledge and fuel policy innovation. This list features recent faculty publications, including journal articles, books, edited volumes, research papers, and public testimony.

Faculty Publications

House to vote on budget to prevent shutdown

Elmendorf, Doug. "House to vote on budget to prevent shutdown." LiveNOW on FOX, March 11, 2025.

What does the House-passed budget resolution mean?

Elmendorf, Doug. "What does the House-passed budget resolution mean?" Harvard Kennedy School, March 5, 2025.

Don’t look to efficiency for big deficit reductions

Dynan, Karen, and Doug Elmendorf. "Don’t look to efficiency for big deficit reductions." What awaits the Department of Government Efficiency? ÌÇÐÄvlog¹ÙÍø experts on prospects for a radical new initiative, January 15, 2025.

How Does Accounting for Population Change Affect Estimates of the Effect of Immigration Policies on the Federal Budget?

Elmendorf, Douglas, and Heidi Williams. "How Does Accounting for Population Change Affect Estimates of the Effect of Immigration Policies on the Federal Budget?" Penn Wharton Budget Model, January 18, 2024.

Wetlands, Flooding, and the Clean Water Act

Taylor, Charles A., and Hannah Druckenmiller. "Wetlands, Flooding, and the Clean Water Act." American Economic Review 112.4 (April 2022): 1334-1363.

Tipping point dynamics in global land use

Taylor, Charles A., and James Rising. "Tipping point dynamics in global land use." Environmental Research Letters 16.12 (December 2021): 125012.

China's overseas lending

Horn, Sebastian, Carmen M. Reinhart, and Christoph Trebesch. "China's overseas lending." Journal of International Economics 133 (November 2021): 1-32.

How much could article 6 enhance nationally determined contribution ambition toward paris agreement goals through economic efficiency?

Edmonds, James, Sha Yu, Haewon Mcjeon, Dirk Forrister, Joseph Aldy, Nathan Hultman, Ryna Cui, Stephanie Waldhoff, Leon Clarke, Stefano de Clara, and Clayton Munnings. "How much could article 6 enhance nationally determined contribution ambition toward paris agreement goals through economic efficiency?" Climate Change Economics 12.2 (2021).

Livestock plants and COVID-19 transmission

Taylor, Charles A., Christopher Boulosb, and Douglas Almonda. "Livestock plants and COVID-19 transmission." Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences Vol.117.50 (December 15, 2020): 31706-31715.

Paths to Convergence: Stock Price Adjustment After the Trump Election Shock

Wagner, Alexander F., Richard J. Zeckhauser, and Alexandre Ziegler. "Paths to Convergence: Stock Price Adjustment After the Trump Election Shock." ÌÇÐÄvlog¹ÙÍø Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP17-039, September 2017 (Updated July 2018).

Company Stock Reactions to the 2016 Election Shock: Trump, Taxes and Trade

Wagner, Alexander F., Richard J. Zeckhauser, and Alexandre Ziegler. "Company Stock Reactions to the 2016 Election Shock: Trump, Taxes and Trade." ÌÇÐÄvlog¹ÙÍø Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP17-005, February 2017.

How Money Talks

Fagan, Mark. "How Money Talks." USA Today Magazine. November 2015.

Athens: The First Domino?

Parker, Richard. "Athens: The First Domino?" The Nation. February 18, 2010.