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The White House lawn on a sunny day.
Feature: Is DOGE Sure It Wants to Fire These People?

Juliette Kayyem examines the negative effects that Elon Musks’s Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) could have on the safety of everyday Americans.

River running through a densely populated area.
Feature: Private Benefits from Public Investment in Climate Resilience

Joseph Aldy finds that governmental construction of levees, which enhance resilience to flood risks amplified by climate change, increases home values by 3-4 percent.

Person sits on a bed holding a check.
Feature: Assessing Government Outreach to Bolster Benefits Take-Up

Elizabeth Linos finds that light-touch interventions significantly, consistently, and cost-effectively increase benefits take-up among low-income households, while higher-touch proactive outreach yields minimal additional take-up.

Black family happily sits on the grass in a park.
Feature: Excess Mortality Rate in U.S. Black Children Since 1950

Soroush Saghafian finds that 5 million excess deaths of Black Americans, including over 500,000 infants, could have been avoided over the past 70 years if their mortality rates were equal to those of White Americans.

Harvard Kennedy School faculty disseminate their research in working publications and papers that contribute to public knowledge and fuel policy innovation. This list features recent faculty publications, including journal articles, books, edited volumes, research papers, and public testimony.

Faculty Publications

High Stakes Decision Making: Normative, Descriptive, and Prescriptive Considerations.

Zeckhauser, Richard, Howard Kunreuther, Robert Meyer, et al. "High Stakes Decision Making: Normative, Descriptive, and Prescriptive Considerations." Marketing Letters 13.3 (2002): 259-268.

Government Contracting for Health Care.

Eggleston, Karen, and Richard Zeckhauser. "Government Contracting for Health Care." Market-Based Governance: Supply Side, Demand Side, Upside and Downside. Ed. John D. Donahue and Joseph S. Nye, Jr. Brookings Institution, 2002, 29-65.

Trust Among Strangers in Internet Transactions: Empirical Analysis of eBay's Reputation System.

Zeckhauser, Richard, and Paul Resnick. "Trust Among Strangers in Internet Transactions: Empirical Analysis of eBay's Reputation System." The Economics of the Internet and E-Commerce. Ed. M. R. Baye. Elsevier Science, 2002, 127-157.

Instrumental Variables Estimates of the Effect of Subsidized Training on the Quantiles of Trainee Earnings.

Abadie, Alberto, Joshua Angrist, and Guido W. Imbens. "Instrumental Variables Estimates of the Effect of Subsidized Training on the Quantiles of Trainee Earnings." Econometrica 70.1 (2002): 91-117.

Bootstrap Tests for Distributional Treatment Effects in Instrumental Variable Models.

Abadie, Alberto. "Bootstrap Tests for Distributional Treatment Effects in Instrumental Variable Models." Journal of the American Statistical Association 97 (2002): 284-292.

Causal Inference.

Abadie, Alberto. "Causal Inference." Encyclopedia of Social Measurement, 2002.

Implementing Matching Estimators for Average Treatment Effects in STATA.

Abadie, Alberto, David Drukker, Jane Leber Herr, and Guido W. Imbens. “Implementing Matching Estimators for Average Treatment Effects in STATA.” Working Paper, 2002.

Independent Transmission Companies in a Regional Transmission Organization.

Hogan, William W., and John D. Chandley. "Independent Transmission Companies in a Regional Transmission Organization." Working Paper, January 2002.

Lessons from the American Experiment with Market-Based Environmental Policies.

Stavins, Robert N. "Lessons from the American Experiment with Market-Based Environmental Policies." Market-Based Governance: Supply Side, Demand Side, Upside and Downside. Ed. John D. Donahue and Joseph S. Nye, Jr.. Brookings Institution, 2002.

The Induced Innovation Hypothesis and Energy-Saving Technological Change.

Newell, Richard G., Adam B. Jaffe, and Robert N. Stavins. "The Induced Innovation Hypothesis and Energy-Saving Technological Change." Technological Change and the Environment. Ed. Arnulf Grübler, Nebojsa Nakicenovic, and William D. Nordhaus. Johns Hopkins University Press, 2002, 91-126.

Review of Nonlinear Statistical Modeling: Proceedings of the Thirteenth International Symposium in Economic Theory and Econometrics: Essays in Honor of Takeshi Amemiya

Abadie, Alberto. Review of Nonlinear Statistical Modeling: Proceedings of the Thirteenth International Symposium in Economic Theory and Econometrics: Essays in Honor of Takeshi Amemiya, ed. Hsiao, Cheng, Kimio Morimune, and James L. Powell. Journal of Economic Literature, XL.1, 2002: 165-166.

Identifying the Exercise of Market Power in California.

Hogan, William W., and Scott Harvey. "Identifying the Exercise of Market Power in California." Working Paper, December 28, 2001.

Market Power and Withholding.

Hogan, William W., and Scott M. Harvey. "Market Power and Withholding." Working Paper, December 20, 2001.

Muffled Price Signals: Household Water Demand Under Increasing-Block Prices.

Stavins, Robert N., Sheila M. Cavanagh, and W. Michael Hanemann. "Muffled Price Signals: Household Water Demand Under Increasing-Block Prices." Working Paper, December 20, 2001.

Capacity Constrained Supply Function Equilibrium Models of Electricity Markets: Stability, Non-Decreasing Constraints, and Function Space Iterations.

Hogan, William W., and Ross W. Baldick. "Capacity Constrained Supply Function Equilibrium Models of Electricity Markets: Stability, Non-Decreasing Constraints, and Function Space Iterations." University of California Energy Institute Power Working Paper PWP-089, December 18, 2001.

Congressional Vote Options.

King, David C., and Richard Zeckhauser. "Congressional Vote Options." Working Paper, December 18, 2001.

The Slippery Slope of Socialization.

Hogan, William W. "The Slippery Slope of Socialization." Public Utilities Fortnightly December 1, 2001.

Further Analysis of the Exercise of Market Power in the California Electricity Market.

Hogan, William W. "Further Analysis of the Exercise of Market Power in the California Electricity Market." Working Paper, November 21, 2001.

Lessons from the American Experiment with Market-Based Environmental Policies.

Stavins, Robert N. "Lessons from the American Experiment with Market-Based Environmental Policies." KSG Faculty Research Working Papers Series RWP01-032, October 2001.

What Worms for the Early Bird: Early Admissions at Elite Colleges.

Avery, Christopher, Andrew Fairbanks, and Richard Zeckhauser. "What Worms for the Early Bird: Early Admissions at Elite Colleges." KSG Faculty Research Working Papers Series RWP01-049, August 2001.

National Environmental Policy During the Clinton Years.

Stavins, Robert N., Sheila M. Cavanagh, and Robert W. Hahn. "National Environmental Policy During the Clinton Years." KSG Faculty Research Working Papers Series RWP01-027, June 2001.

On the Exercise of Market Power Through Strategic Withholding.

Hogan, William W., and Scott M. Harvey. "On the Exercise of Market Power Through Strategic Withholding." Working Paper, April 24, 2001.

Give Bush Time on Climate Issues.

Stavins, Robert N. "Give Bush Time on Climate Issues." Boston Globe, April 4, 2001.

Designing Market Institutions for Electric Network Systems: Reforming the Reforms in New Zealand and the U.S.

Hogan, William W. "Designing Market Institutions for Electric Network Systems: Reforming the Reforms in New Zealand and the U.S." Working Paper presented at the Utility Convention, Auckland, New Zealand, March 13, 2001.

Abatement Cost Heterogeneity and Anticipated Savings from Market-Based Environmental Policies.

Stavins, Robert N., and Richard G. Newell. "Abatement Cost Heterogeneity and Anticipated Savings from Market-Based Environmental Policies." Working Paper, March 2001.

Macro-econometrics.

Stock, James H. "Macro-econometrics." Journal of Econometrics 100.1 (2001): 29-32.

Making Markets: The Case of Electric Power.

Hogan, William W. "Making Markets: The Case of Electric Power." Governance amid Bigger, Better Markets. Ed. John D. Donahue and Joseph S. Nye, Jr. Brookings Institution, 2001.

The Economic Costs of Conflict: A Case-Control Study for the Basque Country

Abadie, Alberto, and Javier Gardeazabal. "The Economic Costs of Conflict: A Case-Control Study for the Basque Country" NBER Working Paper 8478, 2001.

More Order with Less Law: On Contract Enforcement, Trust and Crowding.

Bohnet, Iris, Bruno S. Frey, and Steffen Huck. "More Order with Less Law: On Contract Enforcement, Trust and Crowding." American Political Science Review 95.1 (2001): 131-144.

Vector Autoregressions.

Stock, James H., and Mark W. Watson. "Vector Autoregressions." Journal of Economic Perspectives 15 (Fall 2001): 101-116.

Confidence Intervals for Autoregressive Coefficients Near One.

Stock, James H., and Graham Elliot. "Confidence Intervals for Autoregressive Coefficients Near One." Journal of Econometrics 102 (2001): 155-181.

Forecasting Economic Time Series.

Stock, James H. "Forecasting Economic Time Series." Companion in Theoretical Econometrics. Ed. B. Baltagi. Basil Blackwell, 2001, 562-584.

Time Series: Economic Forecasting.

Stock, James H. "Time Series: Economic Forecasting." International Encyclopedia of the Social and Behavioral Sciences. .Elsevier Science, 2001.

Instrumental Variables in Economics and Statistics.

Stock, James H. "Instrumental Variables in Economics and Statistics." International Encyclopedia of the Social and Behavioral Sciences. .Elsevier Science, 2001.

Testing for Weak Instruments in Linear IV Regression.

Stock, James H., and Motohiro Yogo. "Testing for Weak Instruments in Linear IV Regression." Working Paper, 2001.

Forecasting Output and Inflation: The Role of Asset Prices.

Stock, James H., and Mark W. Watson. "Forecasting Output and Inflation: The Role of Asset Prices." NBER Working Paper 8180, 2001.

Government's Role When Markets Rule.

Donahue, John D., and Richard Zeckhauser. "Government's Role When Markets Rule." Governance amid Bigger, Better Markets. Ed. John D. Donahue and Joseph S. Nye, Jr. Brookings Institution, 2001.

The Foundation Payout Puzzle.

Deep, Akash, and Peter Frumkin. "The Foundation Payout Puzzle." Hauser Center Working Paper, 2001.

The California Electricity Meltdown.

Hogan, William W. "The California Electricity Meltdown." Harvard Magazine September-October 2001.

Regional Transmission Organizations: Millennium Order on Designing Market Institutions for Electric 'Network Systems'.

Hogan, William W. "Regional Transmission Organizations: Millennium Order on Designing Market Institutions for Electric 'Network Systems'." Electricity Economics: Policies. Ed. Einar Hope, Leonid Melamed, and Mikhail Lychagin. Siberian Branch of the Russian Academy of Sciences, 2001.

When to Haggle.

Miller, Nolan, Nikita Piankov, and Richard Zeckhauser. "When to Haggle." KSG Faculty Research Working Papers Series RWP01-025, 2001.

Ownership Structure and Provider Incentives.

Miller, Nolan, Karen Eggleston, and Richard Zeckhauser. "Ownership Structure and Provider Incentives." Working Paper, 2001.

Quality Provision by a Nonprofit Provider Over Time: The Role of Fiscal Reserves.

Miller, Nolan, Karen Eggleston, and Richard Zeckhauser. "Quality Provision by a Nonprofit Provider Over Time: The Role of Fiscal Reserves." Working Paper, 2001.

Efficiency, Equity, Legitimacy: The Multilateral Trading System at the Millennium

Porter, Roger B., Pierre Sauve, Arvind Subramanian, and Americo Beviglia Zampetti, eds. Efficiency, Equity, Legitimacy: The Multilateral Trading System at the Millennium. CBG-Brookings Institution, 2001.

Efficiency, Equity, and Legitimacy: The Multilateral Trading System in the Twenty-First Century.

Porter, Roger B. "Efficiency, Equity, and Legitimacy: The Multilateral Trading System in the Twenty-First Century." Efficiency, Equity, Legitimacy: The Multilateral Trading System at the Millennium.". Ed. Roger B. Porter, Pierre Sauve, Arvind Subramanian, and Americo Beviglia Zampetti. Brookings Institution, 2001.

Environmental Economics and Public Policy: Selected Papers of Robert N. Stavins

Stavins, Robert N. Environmental Economics and Public Policy: Selected Papers of Robert N. Stavins. Edward Elgar, 2001.

Economic Analysis of Global Climate Change Policy: A Primer.

Stavins, Robert N. "Economic Analysis of Global Climate Change Policy: A Primer." Climate Change: Science, Strategies, and Solutions. Ed. Eileen Claussen, Vicki Arroyo Cochran, and Debra P. Davis. Brill, 2001.

Energy-Efficient Technologies and Climate Change Policies: Issues and Evidence.

Jaffe, Adam B., Richard G. Newell, and Robert N. Stavins. "Energy-Efficient Technologies and Climate Change Policies: Issues and Evidence." Climate Change Economics and Policy. Ed. Michael A. Toman. Resources for the Future, 2001.

The Market for Federal Judicial Law Clerks.

Avery, Christopher, Christine Jolls, Richard Posner and Alvin Roth. "The Market for Federal Judicial Law Clerks." University of Chicago Law Review 68.3 (Summer 2001): 793-902.

Can Market and Voting Institutions Generate Optimal Intergenerational Risk Sharing?

Zeckhauser, Richard, and Antonio Rangel. "Can Market and Voting Institutions Generate Optimal Intergenerational Risk Sharing?" Risk Aspects of Investment-Based Social Security Reform. Ed. John Y. Campbell and Martin Feldstein. University of Chicago Press, 2001, 113-141.