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Delivery worker wearing a medical mask and carrying packages.
Feature: The Impact of State Paid Sick Leave Laws on Service Workers

Daniel Schneider finds that state paid sick leave laws increased service workers’ access to paid sick leave and reduced the share of service workers who worked while sick.

A family with a father, mother, and two small children walking on a dirt path.
Feature: Connecting Absolute and Relative Intergenerational Mobility

Deirdre Bloome offers two frameworks for understanding the relationship between types of intergenerational mobility, or whether people are socioeconomically better off than their parents.

Two women in rural India dressed colorfully and carrying baskets on their heads.
Feature: Studying a Government Program to Support Women’s Self-Help Groups

Michael Walton explores the interactions between state and society in rural India within a major community-based development program, finding two major tensions.

A network of computer motherboards and other parts assembled to look like a miniature city.
Feature: The Data-Informed City

Jorrit de Jong presents a comprehensive framework for how cities can use data to address problems more effectively, efficiently, equitably, and with better accountability.

Harvard Kennedy School faculty disseminate their research in working publications and papers that contribute to public knowledge and fuel policy innovation. This list features recent faculty publications, including journal articles, books, edited volumes, research papers, and public testimony.

Faculty Publications

Quasi-Experimental Estimates of the Transient Climate Response Using Observational Data

Montamat, Giselle, and James H. Stock. "Quasi-Experimental Estimates of the Transient Climate Response Using Observational Data." Climatic Change (2020): 1-11.

Climate Change, Climate Policy, and Economic Growth

Stock, James H. "Climate Change, Climate Policy, and Economic Growth." NBER Macroeconomics Annual 34.1 (January 2020): 399-419.

The Debt Pandemic

Bulow, Jeremy, Carmen Reinhart, Kenneth Rogoff, and Christoph Trebesch. "The Debt Pandemic." 2020.

Carbon Tax Review and Updating: Institutionalizing an Act-Learn-Act Approach to U.S. Climate Policy

Aldy, Joseph. "Carbon Tax Review and Updating: Institutionalizing an Act-Learn-Act Approach to U.S. Climate Policy." Review of Environmental Economics and Policy 14.1 (Winter 2020): 76-94.

Bound to Happen: Explanation Bias in Historical Analysis

Mukharji, Aroop, and Richard Zeckhauser. "Bound to Happen: Explanation Bias in Historical Analysis." Journal of Applied History 1 (December 2019): 1-23.

Report on the Proposed Changes to the Federal Mercury and Air Toxics Standards

Aldy, Joseph, Matthew Kotchen, Mary Evans, Meredith Fowlie, Arik Levinson, and Karen Palmer. "Report on the Proposed Changes to the Federal Mercury and Air Toxics Standards." External Environmental Economics Advisory Committee, December 2019.

Does One Medicare Fit All? The Economics of Uniform Health Insurance Benefits

Shepard, Mark, Katherine Baicker, and Jonathan Skinner. "Does One Medicare Fit All? The Economics of Uniform Health Insurance Benefits." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP19-036, November 2019.

The Two Margin Problem in Insurance Markets

Shepard, Mark, Michael Geruso, Timothy J. Layton, and Grace McCormack. "The Two Margin Problem in Insurance Markets." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP19-035, November 2019.

Corporate Purpose in Play: The Role of ESG Investing

Ruggie, John Gerard. "Corporate Purpose in Play: The Role of ESG Investing." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP19-034, November 2019.

The Property Rights Theory of Production Networks

Balbuzanov, Ivan, and Maciej Kotowski. "The Property Rights Theory of Production Networks." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP19-033, November 2019.

Policy Evolution Under the Clean Air Act

Schmalensee, Richard, and Robert N. Stavins. "Policy Evolution Under the Clean Air Act." Journal of Economic Perspectives 33.4 (Fall 2019): 27-50.

Procedural Justice and the Risks of Consumer Voting

Kim, Tami, Leslie John, Todd Rogers, and Michael Norton. "Procedural Justice and the Risks of Consumer Voting." Management Science 65.11 (November 2019): 5234-5251.

The Economic Context for Reforming the Safety Net

Dynan, Karen. "The Economic Context for Reforming the Safety Net." The ANNALS of the American Academy of Political and Social Science 686.1 (November 2019): 352-368.

Be Like an Orchestra: How to Eliminate Gender Bias in Venture Capital Funding

Bohnet, Iris, Siri Chilazi, Anisha Asundi, and Lili Gil Valletta. "Be Like an Orchestra: How to Eliminate Gender Bias in Venture Capital Funding." King’s College London’s Global Institute for Women’s Leadership, October 2019.

Bound to Happen: Explanation Bias in Historical Analysis

Mukharji, Aroop, and Richard Zeckhauser. "Bound to Happen: Explanation Bias in Historical Analysis." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP19-032, October 2019.

A cost-effective way to power generation

Rajan, Thillai, and Akash Deep. "A cost-effective way to power generation." The Hindu. October 16, 2019.

Double Counting and the Paris Agreement Rulebook

Schneider, Lambert, Maosheng Duan, Robert Stavins, Kelley Kizzier, Derik Broekhoff, Frank Jotzo, Harald Winkler, Michael Lazarus, Andrew Howard, and Christina Hood. "Double Counting and the Paris Agreement Rulebook." Science 366.6462 (October 2019): 180-183.

Saudi Arabia’s Energy Infrastructure Under Attack. What’s Next?

De Blasio, Nicola, and Henry Lee. "Saudi Arabia’s Energy Infrastructure Under Attack. What’s Next?" National Interest, October 6, 2019.

Measuring Household Wealth in the Panel Study of Income Dynamics: The Role of Retirement Assets

Dynan, Karen. "Measuring Household Wealth in the Panel Study of Income Dynamics: The Role of Retirement Assets." Federal Reserve Bank of Boston, September 2019.

More highways should be built by States

Rajan, Thillai, and Akash Deep. "More highways should be built by States." The Hindu Business Line. September 13, 2019.

Endowments, Exclusion, and Exchange

Balbuzanov, Ivan, and Maciej H. Kotowski. "Endowments, Exclusion, and Exchange." Econometrica 87.5 (September 2019): 1663-1692.

China, Like the US, Faces Challenges in Achieving Inclusive Growth Through Manufacturing

Lawrence, Robert Z. "China, Like the US, Faces Challenges in Achieving Inclusive Growth Through Manufacturing." China & World Economy (August 2019).

Central Banks Should Forget About Achieving 2 Percent Inflation

Frankel, Jeffrey A. "Central Banks Should Forget About Achieving 2 Percent Inflation." The Globe and Mail, July 28, 2019.

Italian Renaissance Portraits that Disappoint: Isabella d’Este, Francesco del Giocondo and Other Displeased Patrons

Nelson, Jonathan K., and Richard Zeckhauser. "Italian Renaissance Portraits that Disappoint: Isabella d’Este, Francesco del Giocondo and Other Displeased Patrons." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP19-024, July 2019.

China's Overseas Lending

Horn, Sebastian, Carmen M. Reinhart, Christoph Trebesch. "China's Overseas Lending." July 2019.

Improving the Accuracy of Geopolitical Risk Assessments

Mellers, Barbara, Philip E. Tetlock, Joshua Baker, Jeffrey Friedman, and Richard Zeckhauser. "Improving the Accuracy of Geopolitical Risk Assessments." The Future of Risk Management. Ed. Howard Kunreuther, Robert J. Meyer, and Erwann O. Michel-Kerjan. University of Pennsylvania Press, July 2019, 1-28.

Policies and Payoffs to Addressing
America's College Graduation Deficit

Avery, Christopher , Howell, Jessica , Pender, Matea , Sacerdote, Bruce. "Policies and Payoffs to Addressing America's College Graduation Deficit." Brookings Papers on Economic Activity (July 2019): 1-45.

First-Price Auctions with Budget Constraints

Kotowski, Maciej. "First-Price Auctions with Budget Constraints." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP19-021, June 2019.

Tackling the Underrepresentation of Women in Media

Rattan, Aneeta, Siri Chilazi, Oriane Georgeac, and Iris Bohnet. "Tackling the Underrepresentation of Women in Media." Harvard Business Review. June 6, 2019.

Book Review: Gert Crum and Jan Bartelsman: Le Domaine de la Romanée-Conti

Stavins, Robert N. "Book Review: Gert Crum and Jan Bartelsman: Le Domaine de la Romanée-Conti." Review of Journal of Wine Economics, 14.3, 2019: 224-227.

Economics of the Environment: Selected Readings

Stavins, Robert N., ed. Economics of the Environment: Selected Readings Edward Elgar Publishing, 2019.

Economic and Political Consequences of Trade-Induced Manufacturing Decline

Hanson, Gordon. "Economic and Political Consequences of Trade-Induced Manufacturing Decline." Meeting Globalization's Challenges: Policies to Make Trade Work for All. Ed. Luís Catão and Maurice Obstfeld. Princeton University Press, 2019.

Thunder Versus Lightning: A Performance and Cost Analysis of the A-10 “Warthog” Versus the F-35 Joint Strike Fighter

Green, John, and Richard Zeckhauser. "Thunder Versus Lightning: A Performance and Cost Analysis of the A-10 “Warthog” Versus the F-35 Joint Strike Fighter." Journal of Benefit-Cost Analysis 10.3 (2019): 434-468.

The Currency-Plus-Commodity Basket: A Proposal for Exchange Rates in Oil-Exporting Countries to Accommodate Trade Shocks Automatically?

Frankel, Jeffrey A. "The Currency-Plus-Commodity Basket: A Proposal for Exchange Rates in Oil-Exporting Countries to Accommodate Trade Shocks Automatically?" Institutions and Macroeconomic Policies in Resource-Rich Arab Economies. Ed. Kamiar Mohaddes, Jefffrey Nugent, and Hoda Selim. Oxford University Press, 2019, 149-182.

Cross-product Manipulation in Electricity Markets, Microstructure Models and Asymmetric Information

Hogan, William W., Chiara Lo Prete, Bingyuan Liu, and Jia Wang. "Cross-product Manipulation in Electricity Markets, Microstructure Models and Asymmetric Information." Energy Journal 40.5 (June 2019): 221-246.

Review of Books on Student Loans

Avery, Christopher. "Review of Books on Student Loans." Journal of Economic Literature 57.2 (June 2019): 403-33.

Should the Fed Be Constrained?

Frankel, Jeffrey A. "Should the Fed Be Constrained?" CATO Journal 39.2 (Spring/Summer 2019): 461-470.

The Real Cost of Trump’s Tariffs

Frankel, Jeffrey A. "The Real Cost of Trump’s Tariffs." Project Syndicate, May 23, 2019.

Learning From 30 Years of Cap and Trade

Stavins, Robert N., and Richard Schmalensee. "Learning From 30 Years of Cap and Trade." Resources (May 2019).

A Perfectly Robust Approach to Multiperiod Matching Problems

Kotowski, Maciej. "A Perfectly Robust Approach to Multiperiod Matching Problems." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP19-016, May 2019 (Updated August 2019).

Future-Proof Your Climate Strategy

Aldy, Joseph, and Gianfranco Gianfrate. "Future-Proof Your Climate Strategy." Harvard Business Review. May/June 2019, 91-101.

Recent U.S. Economic Performance and Prospects for Future Growth

Jorgenson, Dale W., Mun Ho, and Jon Samuels. "Recent U.S. Economic Performance and Prospects for Future Growth." Journal of Policy Modeling 41.3 (May 2019): 459-476.

Moore Problems for the Fed?

Frankel, Jeffrey A. "Moore Problems for the Fed?" Project Syndicate, April 27, 2019.

The Role of Electric Vehicles in Decarbonizing China’s Transportation Sector

Qiao, Qinyu, and Henry Lee. "The Role of Electric Vehicles in Decarbonizing China’s Transportation Sector." Environment and Natural Resources Program, Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs, April 2019.

Efficient Division When Preferences are Private: Using the Expected Externality Mechanism

Aperjis, Christina, Maciej Kotowski, and Richard Zeckhauser. "Efficient Division When Preferences are Private: Using the Expected Externality Mechanism." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP19-014, April 2019.

Birds of a Feather: Estimating the Value of Statistical Life from Dual-Earner Families

Aldy, Joseph. "Birds of a Feather: Estimating the Value of Statistical Life from Dual-Earner Families." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP19-013, April 2019.

The Triffin Dilemma, Chinese Opacity, and Capital Mobility: Concluding Remarks on International Macroeconomic Policy

Reinhart, Carmen. "The Triffin Dilemma, Chinese Opacity, and Capital Mobility: Concluding Remarks on International Macroeconomic Policy." Evolution or Revolution? Rethinking Macroeconomic Policy after the Great Recession. MIT Press, 2019.

Saving Natural Gas through Regulation

Lee, Henry. "Saving Natural Gas through Regulation." National Interest, March 31, 2019.

Latin America's Challenging External Environment: Old and New Forces

Reinhart, Carmen. "Latin America's Challenging External Environment: Old and New Forces." Latin America Policy Journal 8 (Spring 2019): 9-13.

Venture Capitalists Are Using the Wrong Tools to Improve Gender Diversity

Chilazi, Siri, Anisha Asundi, and Iris Bohnet. "Venture Capitalists Are Using the Wrong Tools to Improve Gender Diversity." Behavioral Scientist 12 (March 2019).