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Delivery worker wearing a medical mask and carrying packages.
Feature: The Impact of State Paid Sick Leave Laws on Service Workers

Daniel Schneider finds that state paid sick leave laws increased service workers’ access to paid sick leave and reduced the share of service workers who worked while sick.

A family with a father, mother, and two small children walking on a dirt path.
Feature: Connecting Absolute and Relative Intergenerational Mobility

Deirdre Bloome offers two frameworks for understanding the relationship between types of intergenerational mobility, or whether people are socioeconomically better off than their parents.

Two women in rural India dressed colorfully and carrying baskets on their heads.
Feature: Studying a Government Program to Support Women’s Self-Help Groups

Michael Walton explores the interactions between state and society in rural India within a major community-based development program, finding two major tensions.

A network of computer motherboards and other parts assembled to look like a miniature city.
Feature: The Data-Informed City

Jorrit de Jong presents a comprehensive framework for how cities can use data to address problems more effectively, efficiently, equitably, and with better accountability.

Harvard Kennedy School faculty disseminate their research in working publications and papers that contribute to public knowledge and fuel policy innovation. This list features recent faculty publications, including journal articles, books, edited volumes, research papers, and public testimony.

Faculty Publications

From Crisis to Opportunity: How the City of Portland Embraced Democratic Innovation

Fung, Archon, Max Kiefel, and Nick Chedli Carter. "From Crisis to Opportunity: How the City of Portland Embraced Democratic Innovation." Ash Center Occasional Papers Series, June 2024.

American local government elections database

de Benedictis-Kessner, Justin, Diana Da In Lee, Yamil R. Velez, and Christopher Warshaw. "American local government elections database." Scientific Data 10 (December 19, 2023).

Policing, Democratic Participation, and the Reproduction of Asymmetric Citizenship

Gonzalez, Yanilda, and Lindsay Mayka. "Policing, Democratic Participation, and the Reproduction of Asymmetric Citizenship." American Political Science Review 117.1 (February 2023): 263-279.

The Popular Origins of Legislative Jurisdictions: Petitions and Standing Committee Formation in Colonial Virginia and the Early US House

Schneer, Benjamin, Tobias Resch, Maggie Blackhawk, and Daniel Carpenter. "The Popular Origins of Legislative Jurisdictions: Petitions and Standing Committee Formation in Colonial Virginia and the Early US House." Journal of Politics 84.3 (July, 2022).

Survey: Americans love conspiracy theories, and that’s dangerous for everyone

Baum, Matthew A., and Katherine Ognyanova. "Survey: Americans love conspiracy theories, and that’s dangerous for everyone." Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists. May 11, 2022.

What I Saw on the Road to Insurrection: Internal Political Efficacy, Conspiracy Beliefs and the Effect of Depression on Support for the January 6th Storming of the Capitol

Baum, Matthew A., James Druckman, Matthew D Simonson, Jennifer Lin, and Roy Perlis. "What I Saw on the Road to Insurrection: Internal Political Efficacy, Conspiracy Beliefs and the Effect of Depression on Support for the January 6th Storming of the Capitol." July 2021.

Blind Justice: Algorithmically Masking Race in Charging Decisions

Chohlas-Wood, Alex, Joe Nudell, Keniel Yao, Zhiyuan (Jerry) Lin, Julian Nyarko, and Sharad Goel. "Blind Justice: Algorithmically Masking Race in Charging Decisions." Proceedings of the 2021 AAAI/ACM Conference on AI, Ethics, and Society. Association for Computing Machinery, July 2021, 35-45.

Men and Women Candidates Are Similarly Persistent After Losing Elections

Bernhard, Rachel, and Justin de Benedictis Kessner. "Men and Women Candidates Are Similarly Persistent After Losing Elections." Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 118.26 (June 29, 2021).

The role of race, religion, and partisanship in misperceptions about COVID-19

Druckman, James N., Katherine Ognyanova, Matthew A. Baum, David Lazer, Roy H. Perlis, John Della Volpe, Mauricio Santillana, Hanyu Chwe, Alexi Quintana, and Matthew Simonson. "The role of race, religion, and partisanship in misperceptions about COVID-19." Group Processes & Intergroup Relations 24.4 (June 2021): 638-657.

Bandit algorithms to personalize educational chatbots

Cai, William, Josh Grossman, Zhiyuan Jerry Lin, Hao Sheng, Johnny Tian-Zheng Wei, Joseph Jay Williams, and Sharad Goel. "Bandit algorithms to personalize educational chatbots." Machine Learning 110 (May 2021): 2389-2418.

The accuracy, equity, and jurisprudence of criminal risk assessment

Goel, Sharad, Ravi Shroff, Jennifer Skeem, and Christopher Slobogin. "The accuracy, equity, and jurisprudence of criminal risk assessment." Research handbook on Big Data Law. Ed. Roland Vogl. Edward Elgar Publishing, 2021, 9-28.

When Deliberation Produces Persuasion rather than Polarization: Measuring and modeling Small Group Dynamics in a Field Experiment

Esterling, Kevin M., Archon Fung, and Taeku Lee. "When Deliberation Produces Persuasion rather than Polarization: Measuring and modeling Small Group Dynamics in a Field Experiment." British Journal of Political Science 51.2 (April 2021): 666-684.

Reimagining Rights & Responsibilities in the United States: Gun Rights and Public Safety

Shattuck, John and Mathias Risse. "Reimagining Rights & Responsibilities in the United States: Gun Rights and Public Safety." Carr Center for Human Rights Policy, February 2021.

How to Lead in a Time of Pandemic

Burns, Nicholas. "How to Lead in a Time of Pandemic." Foreign Affairs, March 25, 2020.

How the World Will Look After the Coronavirus Pandemic

Allen, John, Nicholas Burns, Laurie Garrett, Richard N. Haass, G. John Ikenberry, Kishore Mahbubani, Shivshankar Menon, Robin Niblett, Joseph S. Nye Jr., Shannon K. O’Neil, Kori Schake, and Stephen M. Walt. "How the World Will Look After the Coronavirus Pandemic." Foreign Policy, March 20, 2020.

When Deliberation Produces Persuasion Rather than Polarization: Measuring and Modeling Small Group Dynamics in a Field Experiment

Esterling, Kevin M., Archon Fung, and Taeku Lee. "When Deliberation Produces Persuasion Rather than Polarization: Measuring and Modeling Small Group Dynamics in a Field Experiment." British Journal of Political Science (December 2019).

State Capabilities for Problem-Oriented Governance

Mayne, Quinton, Jorrit de Jong, and Fernando Fernandez-Monge. "State Capabilities for Problem-Oriented Governance." Perspectives on Public Management and Governance (2019).

Participatory Budgeting: A Powerful Civic Education Tool

Goldsmith, Stephen. "Participatory Budgeting: A Powerful Civic Education Tool." Governing. June 18, 2019.

When Deliberation Produces Persuasion rather than Polarization: Measuring and modeling Small Group Dynamics in a Field Experiment

Esterling, Kevin M., Archon Fung, and Taeku Lee. "When Deliberation Produces Persuasion rather than Polarization: Measuring and modeling Small Group Dynamics in a Field Experiment." British Journal of Political Science (2019): 1-19.

New Prospects for Organizational Democracy? How the Joint Pursuit of Social and Financial Goals Challenges Traditional Organizational Designs

Battilana, Julie, Michael Fuerstein, and Mike Lee. "New Prospects for Organizational Democracy? How the Joint Pursuit of Social and Financial Goals Challenges Traditional Organizational Designs." Capitalism Beyond Mutuality?: Perspectives Integrating Philosophy and Social Science. Ed. Subramanian Rangan. Oxford University Press, 2018.

Unresponsive and Unpersuaded: The Unintended Consequences of a Voter Persuasion Effort

Bailey, Michael A., Daniel J. Hopkins, and Todd Rogers. "Unresponsive and Unpersuaded: The Unintended Consequences of a Voter Persuasion Effort." Political Behavior 38.3 (September 2016): 713-746.

Unacquainted Callers Can Predict Which Citizens Will Vote Over and Above Citizens' Stated Self-Predictions

Rogers, Todd. "Unacquainted Callers Can Predict Which Citizens Will Vote Over and Above Citizens' Stated Self-Predictions." Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 113.23 (June 7, 2011): 6449-6453.

Explaining Causal Findings Without Bias: Detecting and Assessing Direct Effects

Acharya, Avidit, Matthew Blackwell, and Maya Sen. "Explaining Causal Findings Without Bias: Detecting and Assessing Direct Effects." The American Political Science Review 110.3 (August 2016).

Explaining Causal Findings Without Bias:
Detecting and Assessing Direct Effects

Acharya, Adivit, Matthew Blackwell, and Maya Sen. "Explaining Causal Findings Without Bias: Detecting and Assessing Direct Effects." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP15-064, October 2015.

Does Encouragement Matter in Improving Gender Imbalances in Technical Fields? Evidence from a Randomized Controlled Trial

Unkovic, Cait, Maya Sen, and Kevin M. Quinn. "Does Encouragement Matter in Improving Gender Imbalances in Technical Fields? Evidence from a Randomized Controlled Trial." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP15-032, June 2015.

Explaining Attitudes from Behavior:
A Cognitive Dissonance Approach

Acharya, Avidit, Matthew Blackwell, and Maya Sen. "Explaining Attitudes from Behavior: A Cognitive Dissonance Approach." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP15-026, June 2015.

Relationship of Transformational Leadership and Character with Five Organizational Outcomes

Hendrix, William H., Dana H. Born, and Scott Hopkins. "Relationship of Transformational Leadership and Character with Five Organizational Outcomes." Journal of Character and Leadership Integration 3.1 (May 2015): 54-71.

Modeling Persuasion within Small Groups, with an Application to a Deliberative Field Experiment on U.S. Fiscal Policy

Esterling, Kevin M., Archon Fung, and Taeku Lee. "Modeling Persuasion within Small Groups, with an Application to a Deliberative Field Experiment on U.S. Fiscal Policy." 2015.

Losing Hurts: The Happiness Impact of Partisan Electoral Loss

Pierce, Lamar, Todd Rogers, and Jason A. Snyder. "Losing Hurts: The Happiness Impact of Partisan Electoral Loss." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP14-051, October 2014.

The Motivating Power of Under-Confidence: “The Race is Close But We’re Losing”

Rogers, Todd, and Don A. Moore. "The Motivating Power of Under-Confidence: “The Race is Close But We’re Losing”." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP14-047, October 2014.

Can the U.S. Afford Another $3 Trillion War?

Bilmes, Linda J. "Can the U.S. Afford Another $3 Trillion War?" CNN, August 27, 2014.

Negotiation in the Crisis of Democracy

Mansbridge, Jane. "Negotiation in the Crisis of Democracy." The Democracy Papers, The Social Science Research Council, May 30, 2014.

What is Political Science For?

Mansbridge, Jane. "What is Political Science For?" Perspectives on Politics 12.1 (April 2014): 8-17.

The Role of the State in Governing the Commons

Mansbridge, Jane. "The Role of the State in Governing the Commons." Environmental Science and Policy 36.8 (February 2014): 8-10.

Negotiating Agreement in Politics

Mansbridge, Jane, and Cathie Jo Martin, eds. Negotiating Agreement in Politics. American Political Science Association, 2013.

Negotiation Myopia

Mansbridge, Jane, Chase Foster, and Cathie Jo Martin. "Negotiation Myopia." Negotiating Agreement in Politics. Ed. Jane Mansbridge and Cathie Jo Martin. American Political Science Association, 2013.

Deliberative Negotiation

Warren, Mark, Jane Mansbridge, André Bächtiger, Maxwell A. Cameron, Simone Chambers, John Ferejohn, Alan Jacobs, Jack Knight, Daniel Naurin, Melissa Schwartzberg, Yael Tamir, Dennis Thompson, and Melissa Williams. "Deliberative Negotiation." Negotiating Agreement in Politics. Ed. Jane Mansbridge and Cathie Jo Martin. American Political Science Association, 2013.

Political Campaigns and Big Data

Nickerson, David W., and Todd Rogers. "Political Campaigns and Big Data." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP13-045, Revised February 2014.

Ideology, Deliberation and Persuasion within Small Groups: A Randomized Field
Experiment on Fiscal Policy

Esterling, Kevin M., Archon Fung, and Taeku Lee. "Ideology, Deliberation and Persuasion within Small Groups: A Randomized Field Experiment on Fiscal Policy." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP13-036, September 2013.

Unresponsive and
Unpersuaded: The Unintended Consequences of Voter Persuasion Efforts

Bailey, Michael, Daniel J. Hopkins, and Todd Rogers. "Unresponsive and Unpersuaded: The Unintended Consequences of Voter Persuasion Efforts." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP13-034, September 2013.

Vote Self-Prediction Hardly Predicts Who Will Vote, And Is (Misleadingly) Unbiased

Rogers, Todd, and Masa Aida. "Vote Self-Prediction Hardly Predicts Who Will Vote, And Is (Misleadingly) Unbiased." American Politics Research (Published online, September 5, 2013).

Political Extremism Is Supported by an Illusion of Understanding

Fernbach, Philip M., Todd Rogers, Craig R. Fox, and Steven A. Sloman. "Political Extremism Is Supported by an Illusion of Understanding." Psychological Science 24.6 (June 2013): 939-946.

Vote Self-Prediction Hardly Predicts Who Will Vote, And Is (Misleadingly) Unbiased

Rogers, Todd, and Masa Aida. "Vote Self-Prediction Hardly Predicts Who Will Vote, And Is (Misleadingly) Unbiased." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP13-010, April 2013.

Theories of Change (THINC): Concepts and Primers for Conflict Management and Mitigation

Wilkinson, Robert, Eileen Babbitt, and Diana Chigas. "Theories of Change (THINC): Concepts and Primers for Conflict Management and Mitigation." USAID, March 2013.

Rethinking Why People Vote: Voting as Dynamic Social Expression

Rogers, Todd, Craig R. Fox, and Alan S. Gerber. "Rethinking Why People Vote: Voting as Dynamic Social Expression." Behavioral Foundations of Policy. Ed. Eldar Shafir. Princeton University Press, 2012, 91-107.

Rethinking Why People Vote: Voting as Dynamic Social Expression.

Rogers, Todd. "Rethinking Why People Vote: Voting as Dynamic Social Expression." Behavioral Foundations of Public Policy. Ed. Eldar Shafir. Princeton University Press, 2012.

What Does “Intending to Vote”
Mean?

Rogers, Todd, and Masa Aida. "What Does “Intending to Vote” Mean?" vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP12-056, November 2012.

Are Ballot Initiative Outcomes Influenced by the Campaigns of Independent Groups?
A Precinct-Randomized Field Experiment

Rogers, Todd, and Joel A. Middleton. "Are Ballot Initiative Outcomes Influenced by the Campaigns of Independent Groups? A Precinct-Randomized Field Experiment." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP12-049, November 2012 (Updated June 2013).

Agent-based Modeling of the Effects of Social Norms on Enrollment in Payments for Ecosystem Services

Chen, Xiaodong, Frank Lupi, Li An, Ryan Sheely, Andrés Viña, and Jianguo Liu. "Agent-based Modeling of the Effects of Social Norms on Enrollment in Payments for Ecosystem Services." Ecological Modelling 229.24 (March 2012): 16-24.

Why Bother Asking?
The Limited Value of Self-Reported Vote Intention

Rogers, Todd, and Masa Aida. "Why Bother Asking? The Limited Value of Self-Reported Vote Intention." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP12-001, January 2012.