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The White House lawn on a sunny day.
Feature: Is DOGE Sure It Wants to Fire These People?

Juliette Kayyem examines the negative effects that Elon Musks’s Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) could have on the safety of everyday Americans.

River running through a densely populated area.
Feature: Private Benefits from Public Investment in Climate Resilience

Joseph Aldy finds that governmental construction of levees, which enhance resilience to flood risks amplified by climate change, increases home values by 3-4 percent.

Person sits on a bed holding a check.
Feature: Assessing Government Outreach to Bolster Benefits Take-Up

Elizabeth Linos finds that light-touch interventions significantly, consistently, and cost-effectively increase benefits take-up among low-income households, while higher-touch proactive outreach yields minimal additional take-up.

Black family happily sits on the grass in a park.
Feature: Excess Mortality Rate in U.S. Black Children Since 1950

Soroush Saghafian finds that 5 million excess deaths of Black Americans, including over 500,000 infants, could have been avoided over the past 70 years if their mortality rates were equal to those of White Americans.

Harvard Kennedy School faculty disseminate their research in working publications and papers that contribute to public knowledge and fuel policy innovation. This list features recent faculty publications, including journal articles, books, edited volumes, research papers, and public testimony.

Faculty Publications

Setting new standards of leadership

Born, Dana. "Setting new standards of leadership." ÌÇÐÄvlog¹ÙÍø: Lessons from a year of war in Ukraine, February 21, 2023.

The Dragon, the Eagle, and the Private Sector: Public-Private Collaboration in China and the United States

Eggleston, Karen, John D. Donahue, and Richard J. Zeckhauser. The Dragon, the Eagle, and the Private Sector: Public-Private Collaboration in China and the United States. Cambridge University Press, 2021.

Valuing US National Parks and Programs: America’s Best Investment

Linda Bilmes and John B. Loomis, eds. Valuing US National Parks and Programs: America’s Best Investment Routledge, 2019.

Behavioral Consequences of Probabilistic Precision: Experimental Evidence from National Security Professionals

Friedman, Jeffrey A., Jennifer S. Lerner, and Richard Zeckhauser. "Behavioral Consequences of Probabilistic Precision: Experimental Evidence from National Security Professionals." International Organization 71.4 (Fall 2017): 803-826.

What is the Impact of the NIMS Mandate?

Hambridge, Nicholas B., Arnold M. Howitt, and David W. Giles. "What is the Impact of the NIMS Mandate?" Crisis Response 12.4 (August 2017).

The Bill for America's Longest War Is Still Unpaid

Bilmes, Linda J. "The Bill for America's Longest War Is Still Unpaid." Fiscal Times, May 27, 2017.

Coordination in Crises: Implementation of the National Incident Management System by Surface Transportation Agencies

Hambridge, Nicholas B., Arnold M. Howitt, and David W. Giles. "Coordination in Crises: Implementation of the National Incident Management System by Surface Transportation Agencies." Homeland Security Affairs XIV (April 2017).

Trump's Proposed Defense Splurge Flunks Basic Math

Bilmes, Linda J. "Trump's Proposed Defense Splurge Flunks Basic Math." Boston Globe, March 2, 2017.

Will the Liberal Order Survive? The History of an Idea

Nye, Jr., Joseph S. "Will the Liberal Order Survive? The History of an Idea." Foreign Affairs 96.1 (January/February 2017): 10-16.

How Quantifying Probability Assessments Influences Analysis and Decision Making: Experimental Evidence from National Security Professionals

Friedman, Jeffrey A., Jennifer S. Lerner, and Richard Zeckhauser. "How Quantifying Probability Assessments Influences Analysis and Decision Making: Experimental Evidence from National Security Professionals." ÌÇÐÄvlog¹ÙÍø Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP16-016, April 2016.

Is the American Century Over?

Nye, Jr., Joseph S. "Is the American Century Over?" Political Science Quarterly 130.3 (September 2015): 393-400.

What Are We Willing to Sacrifice in War on ISIS?

Bilmes, Linda J. "What Are We Willing to Sacrifice in War on ISIS?" Boston Globe, March 11, 2015.

Inevitability and War

Nye, Jr., Joseph S. "Inevitability and War." International Security 4.8 (2014).

Fighting the Islamic State - How Much Will It Cost?

Bilmes, Linda J. "Fighting the Islamic State - How Much Will It Cost?" Boston Globe, October 8, 2014.

Can the U.S. Afford Another $3 Trillion War?

Bilmes, Linda J. "Can the U.S. Afford Another $3 Trillion War?" CNN, August 27, 2014.

Yesterday's VA is Serving Today's Veterans. Therein Lies the Problem

Bilmes, Linda J. "Yesterday's VA is Serving Today's Veterans. Therein Lies the Problem." Cognoscenti, July 16, 2014.

All in the Family
The Dulleses, the Bundys, and the End of the Establishment

Nye, Jr., Joseph S. "All in the Family The Dulleses, the Bundys, and the End of the Establishment." Review of The Brothers: John Foster Dulles, Allen Dulles, and Their Secret World War, by Stephen Kinzer, and The Color of Truth: McGeorge Bundy and William Bundy: Brothers in Arms, by Kai Bird, Foreign Affairs, 93.4, July/August 2014: 176-181.

The Regime Complex for Managing Global Cyber Activities

Nye, Jr., Joseph S. "The Regime Complex for Managing Global Cyber Activities." The Global Commission on Internet Governance, May 2014.

Testimony in Support of a National Veterans' Trust Fund

Bilmes, Linda J. "Testimony in Support of a National Veterans' Trust Fund." Veterans Affairs Committee, U.S. House of Representatives, September 18, 2013.

After the Boston Marathon Bomb Attacks: What We've Learned

Burns, Nicholas. "After the Boston Marathon Bomb Attacks: What We've Learned." Boston Globe, April 18, 2013.

Boston Never Surrenders

Gergen, David. "Boston Never Surrenders." CNN.com, April 17, 2013.

There Will Be No Peace Dividend After Afghanistan

Stiglitz, Joseph, and Linda J. Bilmes. "There Will Be No Peace Dividend After Afghanistan." Financial Times, January 24, 2013.

Assessing Uncertainty in Intelligence

Friedman, Jeffrey A., and Richard Zeckhauser. "Assessing Uncertainty in Intelligence." Intelligence and National Security 27.6 (October 2012): 824-847.

Afghanistan is Missing from the Campaign

Bilmes, Linda J. "Afghanistan is Missing from the Campaign." Boston Globe, July 15, 2012.

The Role of Emotions in Foreign Policy Decision Making

Renshon, Jonathan B., and Jennifer S. Lerner. "The Role of Emotions in Foreign Policy Decision Making." Encyclopedia of Peace Psychology. Ed. Daniel J. Christie. Wiley-Blackwell Press, 2012, 313-317.

Ports in a Storm: Public Management in a Turbulent World

Donahue, John D., and Mark H. Moore, eds. Ports in a Storm: Public Management in a Turbulent World. Brookings Institution Press, 2012.

Toward a Higher Purpose: Captain Englebert Navigates the Choppy Waters of Network Governance

Goldsmith, Stephen. "Toward a Higher Purpose: Captain Englebert Navigates the Choppy Waters of Network Governance." Ports in a Storm: Public Management in a Turbulent World. Ed. John D. Donahue and Mark H. Moore. Brookings Institution Press, 2012, 133-158.

Introduction

Donahue, John D., and Mark Moore. "Introduction." Ports in a Storm: Public Management in a Turbulent World. Ed. John D. Donahue and Mark H. Moore. Brookings Institution Press, 2012.

The Tummler’s Task: A Collaborative Conception of Port Protection

Donahue, John D., and Richard Zeckhauser. "The Tummler’s Task: A Collaborative Conception of Port Protection." Ports in a Storm: Public Management in a Turbulent World. Ed. John D. Donahue and Mark H. Moore. Brookings Institution Press, 2012, 116-132.

Unravelling a Risk-Management Challenge

Sparrow, Malcolm K. "Unravelling a Risk-Management Challenge." Ports in a Storm: Public Management in a Turbulent World. Ed. John D. Donahue and Mark H. Moore. Brookings Institution Press, 2012, 25-54.

One Answer to Secret Service Scandal? Hire More Women

Kamarck, Elaine. "One Answer to Secret Service Scandal? Hire More Women." CNN, April 30, 2012.

Estimating the Costs of War: Methodological Issues, with Applications to Iraq and Afghanistan

Stiglitz, Joseph E., and Linda J. Bilmes. "Estimating the Costs of War: Methodological Issues, with Applications to Iraq and Afghanistan." Oxford Handbook of the Economics of Peace and Conflict. Ed. Michelle R. Garfinkel and Stergios Skaperdas. Oxford University Press, 2012.

And Now, Battles with Hardly Any Rules

Bilmes, Linda J. "And Now, Battles with Hardly Any Rules." Boston Globe, February 5, 2012.

Our Best Foreign Policy President

Burns, Nicholas. "Our Best Foreign Policy President." Boston Globe, December 9, 2011.

As Iraq War Winds Down, the Conflict Offers Expensive Lessons

Bilmes, Linda J. "As Iraq War Winds Down, the Conflict Offers Expensive Lessons." Boston Globe, December 7, 2011.

GOP Cannot Separate Foreign Policy from the Economy

Kayyem, Juliette. "GOP Cannot Separate Foreign Policy from the Economy." CNN.com, November 22, 2011.

Obama Should Test Iran’s Nuclear Offer

Allison, Graham. "Obama Should Test Iran’s Nuclear Offer." Washington Post, October 6, 2011.

America's Costly War Machine

Bilmes, Linda J., and Joseph E. Stiglitz. "America's Costly War Machine." Los Angeles Times, September 18, 2011.

Still Vulnerable in 2011

Branscomb, Lewis M. "Still Vulnerable in 2011." Science, 333.6048, September 9, 2011, 1359.

The Long-term Costs of Conflict: The Case of the Iraq War

Bilmes, Linda J., and Joseph E. Stiglitz. "The Long-term Costs of Conflict: The Case of the Iraq War." Handbook on the Economics of Conflict. Ed. Derek L. Braddon and Keith Hartley. Edward Elgar Publishing, 2011, 293-311.

Eisenhower Study Group on the Costs of War

Bilmes, Linda J. "Eisenhower Study Group on the Costs of War." Watson Institute for International Studies, June 13, 2011.

Haunting Legacy: Vietnam and the American Presidency from Ford to Obama

Kalb, Marvin, and Deborah Kalb. Haunting Legacy: Vietnam and the American Presidency from Ford to Obama. Brookings Institution Press, 2011.

A Turkish Tragedy

Dogan, Pinar, and Dani Rodrik. "A Turkish Tragedy." National Interest, September 27, 2010.

Turkey's Other Dirty War

Rodrik, Dani, and Pinar Dogan. "Turkey's Other Dirty War." New Republic, May 24, 2010.

How Turkey Manufactured a Coup Plot

Dogan, Pinar, and Dani Rodrik. "How Turkey Manufactured a Coup Plot." Foreign Policy.com, April 6. 2010.

The U.S. in Iraq: An Economics Lesson

Bilmes, Linda J., and Joseph Stiglitz. "The U.S. in Iraq: An Economics Lesson." Los Angeles Times, July 2, 2009.

The $10 Trillion Hangover

Stiglitz, Joseph E., and Linda J. Bilmes. "The $10 Trillion Hangover." Harper's Magazine. January 2009.

Poverty in the Midst of Wealth: The Democratic Republic of Congo

Balfour-Paul, Jamie, and Robert Wilkinson. "Poverty in the Midst of Wealth: The Democratic Republic of Congo." Oxfam International, January 2002.