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Delivery worker wearing a medical mask and carrying packages.
Feature: The Impact of State Paid Sick Leave Laws on Service Workers

Daniel Schneider finds that state paid sick leave laws increased service workers’ access to paid sick leave and reduced the share of service workers who worked while sick.

A family with a father, mother, and two small children walking on a dirt path.
Feature: Connecting Absolute and Relative Intergenerational Mobility

Deirdre Bloome offers two frameworks for understanding the relationship between types of intergenerational mobility, or whether people are socioeconomically better off than their parents.

Two women in rural India dressed colorfully and carrying baskets on their heads.
Feature: Studying a Government Program to Support Women’s Self-Help Groups

Michael Walton explores the interactions between state and society in rural India within a major community-based development program, finding two major tensions.

A network of computer motherboards and other parts assembled to look like a miniature city.
Feature: The Data-Informed City

Jorrit de Jong presents a comprehensive framework for how cities can use data to address problems more effectively, efficiently, equitably, and with better accountability.

Harvard Kennedy School faculty disseminate their research in working publications and papers that contribute to public knowledge and fuel policy innovation. This list features recent faculty publications, including journal articles, books, edited volumes, research papers, and public testimony.

Faculty Publications

Deterrence games and the disruption of information

Ma, Siyu, Yair Tauman, and Richard Zeckhauser. "Deterrence games and the disruption of information." International Journal of Game Theory 53 (March 2024): 261-287.

Owning, Using, and Renting: Some Simple Economics of the ‘Sharing Economy’

Filippas, Apostolos, John J. Horton, and Richard J. Zeckhauser. "Owning, Using, and Renting: Some Simple Economics of the ‘Sharing Economy’." Management Science 66.9 (September 2020): 4152-4172.

Theorizing the Resilience District: Design-based Decision Making for Coastal Climate Change Adpatation

Berger, Alan M., Michael Wilson, Jonah Susskind, and Richard J. Zeckhauser. "Theorizing the Resilience District: Design-based Decision Making for Coastal Climate Change Adpatation." Journal of Landscape Architecture 15.1 (July 2020): 6-17.

Three Prongs for Prudent Climate Policy

Aldy, Joseph E., and Richard J. Zeckhauser. "Three Prongs for Prudent Climate Policy." Southern Economic Journal 87 (2020): 3-29.

Three Prongs for Prudent Climate Policy

Aldy, Joseph, and Richard Zeckhauser. "Three Prongs for Prudent Climate Policy." Southern Economic Journal 87.1 (July 2020): 3-29.

When Managers Change Their Tone, Analysts and Investors Change Their Tune

Druz, Marina, Ivan Petzev, Alexander F. Wagner, and Richard J. Zeckhauser. "When Managers Change Their Tone, Analysts and Investors Change Their Tune." Financial Analysts Journal 76.2 (March 16, 2020): 47-69.

Bound to Happen: Explanation Bias in Historical Analysis

Mukharji, Aroop, and Richard Zeckhauser. "Bound to Happen: Explanation Bias in Historical Analysis." Journal of Applied History 1 (December 2019): 1-23.

Thunder Versus Lightning: A Performance and Cost Analysis of the A-10 “Warthog” Versus the F-35 Joint Strike Fighter

Green, John, and Richard Zeckhauser. "Thunder Versus Lightning: A Performance and Cost Analysis of the A-10 “Warthog” Versus the F-35 Joint Strike Fighter." Journal of Benefit-Cost Analysis 10.3 (2019): 434-468.

Company Stock Price Reactions to the 2016 Election Shock: Trump, Taxes, and Trade

Wagner, Alexander F., Richard J. Zeckhauser, and Alexandre Ziegler. "Company Stock Price Reactions to the 2016 Election Shock: Trump, Taxes, and Trade." Journal of Financial Economics 130 (November 2018): 428-451.

Analytic Confidence and Political Decision Making: Theoretical Principles and Experimental Evidence from National Security Professionals

Friedman, Jeffrey A., and Richard Zeckhauser. "Analytic Confidence and Political Decision Making: Theoretical Principles and Experimental Evidence from National Security Professionals." Political Psychology 39.5 (October 2018): 1069-1087.

Raphael, Superstar, and His Extraordinary Prices

Nelson, Jonathan K., and Richard J. Zeckhauser. "Raphael, Superstar, and His Extraordinary Prices." Sources: Notes in the History of Art (Fall 2018): 15-23.

Confronting an Enemy with Unknown Preferences: Deterrer or Provocateur?

Jelnov, Artyom, Yair Tauman, and Richard Zeckhauser. "Confronting an Enemy with Unknown Preferences: Deterrer or Provocateur?" European Journal of Political Economy 54 (September 2018): 124-143.

Back Channel Negotiations and Dangerous Waiting

Mukharji, Aroop, and Richard J. Zeckhauser. "Back Channel Negotiations and Dangerous Waiting." Negotiation Journal (July 2018): 297-307.

The Value of Precision in Probability Assessment: Evidence from a Large-Scale Geopolitical Forecasting Tournament

Friedman, Jeffrey A., Joshua D. Baker, Barbara A. Mellers, Philip E. Tetlock, and Richard Zeckhauser. "The Value of Precision in Probability Assessment: Evidence from a Large-Scale Geopolitical Forecasting Tournament." International Studies Quarterly 62 (June 2018): 410-422.

Collective Action in an Asymmetric World

Chen, Cuicui, and Richard Zeckhauser. "Collective Action in an Asymmetric World." Journal of Public Economics 158 (February 2018): 103-112.

Unequal Rewards to Firms: Stock Market Responses to the Trump Election and the 2017 Corporate Tax Reform

Wagner, Alexander F., Richard J. Zeckhauser, and Alexandre Ziegler. "Unequal Rewards to Firms: Stock Market Responses to the Trump Election and the 2017 Corporate Tax Reform." AEA Papers and Proceedings 108 (January 2018): 590-596.

Enrollee Outcomes After Health Insurance Plan Terminations: A Diagnosis of Default Effects

Sinaiko, Anna, and Richard Zeckhauser. "Enrollee Outcomes After Health Insurance Plan Terminations: A Diagnosis of Default Effects." Behavioural Public Policy 2.1 (2018): 56-77.

If Many Seek, Ye Shall Find: Search Externalities and New Goods

Kotowski, Maciej, and Richard Zeckhauser. "If Many Seek, Ye Shall Find: Search Externalities and New Goods." American Economic Journal: Microeconomics 9.4 (November 2017): 42-73.

Getting an Honest Answer: Clickers in the Classroom

Levy, Dan, Joshua Yardley, and Richard Zeckhauser. "Getting an Honest Answer: Clickers in the Classroom." Journal of the Scholarship of Teaching and Learning 17.4 (October 2017): 104-125.

Howard Raiffa and Our Responsibility to Rationality

Zeckhauser, Richard. "Howard Raiffa and Our Responsibility to Rationality." Negotiation Journal 33.4 (October 2017): 329-332.

Getting an Honest Answer: Clickers in the Classroom

Levy, Dan, Joshua Yardley, and Richard Zeckhauser. "Getting an Honest Answer: Clickers in the Classroom." Journal of the Scholarship of Teaching and Learning 17.4 (October 2017): 104-125.

Behavioral Consequences of Probabilistic Precision: Experimental Evidence from National Security Professionals

Friedman, Jeffrey A., Jennifer S. Lerner, and Richard Zeckhauser. "Behavioral Consequences of Probabilistic Precision: Experimental Evidence from National Security Professionals." International Organization 71.4 (Fall 2017): 803-826.

Attacking the Unknown Weapons of a Potential Bomb Builder: The Impact of Intelligence on the Strategic Interaction

Jelnov, Artyom, Yair Tauman, and Richard Zeckhauser. "Attacking the Unknown Weapons of a Potential Bomb Builder: The Impact of Intelligence on the Strategic Interaction." Games and Economic Behavior 104 (July 2017): 177-189.

Stock Splits to Profit Insider Trading: Lessons from an Emerging Market

Nguyen, Vinh, Anh Tran, and Richard Zeckhauser. "Stock Splits to Profit Insider Trading: Lessons from an Emerging Market." Journal of International Money and Finance 74 (June 2017): 69-87.

Second Trimester Sunlight and Asthma: Evidence from Two Independent Studies

Wernerfelt, Nils, David J. G. Slusky, and Richard Zeckhauser. "Second Trimester Sunlight and Asthma: Evidence from Two Independent Studies." American Journal of Health Economics 3.2 (Spring 2017): 227-253.

Artful Paltering: The Risks and Rewards of Using Truthful Statements to Mislead Others

Rogers, Todd, Richard Zeckhauser, Francesca Gino, Michael I. Norton, and Maurice E. Schweitzer. "Artful Paltering: The Risks and Rewards of Using Truthful Statements to Mislead Others." Journal of Personality and Social Psychology 112.3 (March 2017): 456-473.

Thomas Crombie Schelling (1921-2016): A Pioneering Game Theorist Who Made the World a Safer Place

Zeckhauser, Richard. "Thomas Crombie Schelling (1921-2016): A Pioneering Game Theorist Who Made the World a Safer Place." Science 355.6327 (February 2017): 10.

Human Hunters and Nonhuman Predators: Fundamental Differences

Zeckhauser, Richard. "Human Hunters and Nonhuman Predators: Fundamental Differences." Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 114.1 (January 2017): 13-14.

Recollection Bias and Its Underpinnings: Lessons from Terrorism Risk Assessments

Viscusi, W. Kip, and Richard J. Zeckhauser. "Recollection Bias and Its Underpinnings: Lessons from Terrorism Risk Assessments." Risk Analysis 37.5 (January 2017): 969-981.

Attention to Distribution in U.S. Regulatory Analyses

Robinson, Lisa A., James K. Hammitt, and Richard J. Zeckhauser. "Attention to Distribution in U.S. Regulatory Analyses." Review of Environmental Economics and Policy 10.2 (July 2016): 308-328.

Mancur Olson and the Tragedy of the Unbalanced Commons

Zeckhauser, Richard. "Mancur Olson and the Tragedy of the Unbalanced Commons." Decisions 24 (December 2015).

Medicare Advantage: What Explains Its Robust Health?

Sinaiko, Anna D., and Richard Zeckhauser. "Medicare Advantage: What Explains Its Robust Health?" American Journal of Managed Care 21.11 (November 2015): 804-806.

Climate Sensitivity Uncertainty: When is Good News Bad?

Freeman, Mark C., Gernot Wagner, and Richard J. Zeckhauser. "Climate Sensitivity Uncertainty: When is Good News Bad?" Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical & Engineering Sciences. 373.2055 (October 2015).

Better Predictions, Better Allocations: Scientific Advances and Adaptation to Climate Change

Freeman, Mark C., Ben Groom, and Richard J. Zeckhauser. "Better Predictions, Better Allocations: Scientific Advances and Adaptation to Climate Change." Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical & Engineering Sciences 373.2055 (October 2015).

The “CAPS” Prediction System and Stock Market Returns

Avery, Christopher N., Judith A. Chevalier, and Richard J. Zeckhauser. "The “CAPS” Prediction System and Stock Market Returns." Review of Finance (September 2015): 1-19.


Regulating Ambiguous Risks: The Less than Rational Regulation of Pharmaceuticals

Viscusi, W. Kip, and Richard J. Zeckhauser. "Regulating Ambiguous Risks: The Less than Rational Regulation of Pharmaceuticals." Journal of Legal Studies 44.S2 (June 2015): S387-S422.

Handling and Mishandling Estimative Probability: Likelihood, Confidence, and the Search for Bin Laden

Friedman, Jeffrey A., and Richard Zeckhauser. "Handling and Mishandling Estimative Probability: Likelihood, Confidence, and the Search for Bin Laden." Intelligence and National Security 30.1 (2015): 77-99.

Grappling with Ignorance: Frameworks from Decision Theory, Lessons from Literature

Roy, Devjani, and Richard Zeckhauser. "Grappling with Ignorance: Frameworks from Decision Theory, Lessons from Literature." Journal of Benefit-Cost Analysis 6.1 (March 2015): 33-65.

The Relative Weights of Direct and Indirect Experiences in the Formation of Environmental Risk Beliefs

Viscusi, W. Kip, and Richard J. Zeckhauser. "The Relative Weights of Direct and Indirect Experiences in the Formation of Environmental Risk Beliefs." Risk Analysis 35.2 (February 2015): 318-331.

Why Assessing Estimative Accuracy is Feasible and Desirable

Friedman, Jeffrey A., and Richard Zeckhauser. "Why Assessing Estimative Accuracy is Feasible and Desirable." Intelligence and National Security (November 28, 2014).

Variable Temptations and Black Mark Reputations

Aperjis, Christina, Richard Zeckhauser, and Yali Miao. "Variable Temptations and Black Mark Reputations." Games & Economic Behavior 87 (September 2014): 70-90.

The Relative Weights of Direct and Indirect Experiences in the Formation of Environmental Risk Beliefs

Viscusi, W. Kip, and Richard J. Zeckhauser. "The Relative Weights of Direct and Indirect Experiences in the Formation of Environmental Risk Beliefs." Risk Analysis (September 5, 2014).

The Investment Returns of Nonprofit Organizations: Part 1, Tales from 990 Forms

Heutel, Garth, and Richard Zeckhauser. "The Investment Returns of Nonprofit Organizations: Part 1, Tales from 990 Forms." Nonprofit Management and Leadership 25.19 (Fall 2014): 41-57.

The Investment Returns of Nonprofit Organizations: Part II, The Value of Focused Attention

Heutel, Garth, and Richard Zeckhauser. "The Investment Returns of Nonprofit Organizations: Part II, The Value of Focused Attention." Nonprofit Management and Leadership 25.19 (Fall 2014): 59-75.

Rules and Standards when Compliance Costs are Private Information

Kotowski, Maciej H., David A. Weisbach, and Richard J. Zeckhauser. "Rules and Standards when Compliance Costs are Private Information." Journal of Legal Studies 43.S2 (June 2014): S297-S329.

Audits as Signals

Kotowski, Maciej, David A. Weisbach, and Richard J. Zeckhauser. "Audits as Signals." University of Chicago Law Review 81.1 (February 2014): 179-202.

Jobs and Kids: Female Employment and Fertility in China

Fang, Hai, Karen N. Eggleston, John A. Rizzo, and Richard J. Zeckhauser. "Jobs and Kids: Female Employment and Fertility in China." IZA Journal of Labor and Development 2.12 (2013).

Social Class and (Un)Ethical Behavior: A Framework, With Evidence From a Large Population Sample

Trautmann, Stefan T., Gijs van de Kuilen, and Richard J. Zeckhauser. "Social Class and (Un)Ethical Behavior: A Framework, With Evidence From a Large Population Sample." Perspectives on Psychological Science 8.5 (September 2013): 487-497.

Solomonic Separation: Risk Decisions as Productivity Indicators

Miller, Nolan, Alexander F. Wagner, and Richard J. Zeckhauser. "Solomonic Separation: Risk Decisions as Productivity Indicators." Journal of Risk and Uncertainty 46.3 (June 2013): 265-297.

Where Americans Live: A Geographic and Environmental Tally

Alan M. Berger, Casey L. Brown, Carolyn Kousky, Ken Laberteaux, and Richard Zeckhauser. "Where Americans Live: A Geographic and Environmental Tally." Harvard Journal of Real Estate: Navigating Investments with Ethical Risk (2013): 38-48.