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Delivery worker wearing a medical mask and carrying packages.
Feature: The Impact of State Paid Sick Leave Laws on Service Workers

Daniel Schneider finds that state paid sick leave laws increased service workers’ access to paid sick leave and reduced the share of service workers who worked while sick.

A family with a father, mother, and two small children walking on a dirt path.
Feature: Connecting Absolute and Relative Intergenerational Mobility

Deirdre Bloome offers two frameworks for understanding the relationship between types of intergenerational mobility, or whether people are socioeconomically better off than their parents.

Two women in rural India dressed colorfully and carrying baskets on their heads.
Feature: Studying a Government Program to Support Women’s Self-Help Groups

Michael Walton explores the interactions between state and society in rural India within a major community-based development program, finding two major tensions.

A network of computer motherboards and other parts assembled to look like a miniature city.
Feature: The Data-Informed City

Jorrit de Jong presents a comprehensive framework for how cities can use data to address problems more effectively, efficiently, equitably, and with better accountability.

Harvard Kennedy School faculty disseminate their research in working publications and papers that contribute to public knowledge and fuel policy innovation. This list features recent faculty publications, including journal articles, books, edited volumes, research papers, and public testimony.

Faculty Publications

CEO Clarity

Dzielinski, Michal, Alexander F. Wagner, and Richard J. Zeckhauser. "CEO Clarity." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP17-017, May 2017.

Second Trimester Sunlight and Asthma: Evidence from Two Independent Studies

Wernerfelt, Nils, David J. G. Slusky, and Richard Zeckhauser. "Second Trimester Sunlight and Asthma: Evidence from Two Independent Studies." American Journal of Health Economics 3.2 (Spring 2017): 227-253.

Collaborative is Superadditive in Political Economics

Zeckhauser, Richard. "Collaborative is Superadditive in Political Economics." Collaborative Research in Economics: The Wisdom of Working Together. Ed. Szenberg, Michael, and Lall B. Ramrattan. Palgrave Macmillan, 2017, 163-182.

Artful Paltering: The Risks and Rewards of Using Truthful Statements to Mislead Others

Rogers, Todd, Richard Zeckhauser, Francesca Gino, Michael I. Norton, and Maurice E. Schweitzer. "Artful Paltering: The Risks and Rewards of Using Truthful Statements to Mislead Others." Journal of Personality and Social Psychology 112.3 (March 2017): 456-473.

Company Stock Reactions to the 2016 Election Shock: Trump, Taxes and Trade

Wagner, Alexander F., Richard J. Zeckhauser, and Alexandre Ziegler. "Company Stock Reactions to the 2016 Election Shock: Trump, Taxes and Trade." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP17-005, February 2017.

Thomas Crombie Schelling (1921-2016): A Pioneering Game Theorist Who Made the World a Safer Place

Zeckhauser, Richard. "Thomas Crombie Schelling (1921-2016): A Pioneering Game Theorist Who Made the World a Safer Place." Science 355.6327 (February 2017): 10.

Human Hunters and Nonhuman Predators: Fundamental Differences

Zeckhauser, Richard. "Human Hunters and Nonhuman Predators: Fundamental Differences." Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 114.1 (January 2017): 13-14.

Ignorance: Literary Light on Decision's Dark Corner

Roy, Devjani, and Richard Zeckhauser. "Ignorance: Literary Light on Decision's Dark Corner." Routledge Handbook of Behavioral Economics. Ed. Frantz, Roger, Shu-Heng Chen, Kurt Dopfer, Floris Heukelom, and Shabnam Mousavi. Routledge, 2017, 230-249.

Recollection Bias and Its Underpinnings: Lessons from Terrorism Risk Assessments

Viscusi, W. Kip, and Richard J. Zeckhauser. "Recollection Bias and Its Underpinnings: Lessons from Terrorism Risk Assessments." Risk Analysis 37.5 (January 2017): 969-981.

Improving Outcomes in the Trust Game: The Games People Choose in Oman, the United States, and Vietnam

Bohnet, Iris, Benedikt Herrmann, Maliheh Paryavi, Ahn Tran, and Richard Zeckhauser. "Improving Outcomes in the Trust Game: The Games People Choose in Oman, the United States, and Vietnam." Trust in Social Dilemmas. Oxford University Press, 2017.

Enrollee Choices After Their Health Plans Are Terminated: Default Effects Versus Persistent Preferences

Sinaiko, Anna, and Richard Zeckhauser. "Enrollee Choices After Their Health Plans Are Terminated: Default Effects Versus Persistent Preferences." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP16-055, December 2016.

Forced to Choose, Again: The Effects of Defaults on Individuals in Terminated Health Plans

Sinaiko, Anna D., and Richard Zeckhauser. "Forced to Choose, Again: The Effects of Defaults on Individuals in Terminated Health Plans." Nudging Health: Health Law and Behavioral Economics. Ed. Cohen, I. Glenn, Holly Fernandez Lynch, and Christopher T. Robertson. Johns Hopkins University Press, 2016, 326-338.

Efficient Warnings, Not “Wolf or Puppy” Warnings

Robinson, Lisa A., W. Kip Viscusi, and Richard Zeckhauser. "Efficient Warnings, Not “Wolf or Puppy” Warnings." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP16-033, September 2016: Revised November 2016.

Loss Sequencing in Banking Networks: Threatened Banks as Strategic Dominoes

Tran, Ngoc-Khanh, Thao Vuong, and Richard Zeckhauser. "Loss Sequencing in Banking Networks: Threatened Banks as Strategic Dominoes." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP16-030, August 2016.

The Returns to Education in China: Evidence from the 1986 Compulsory Education Law

Fang, Hai, Karen N. Eggleston, John A. Rizzo, Scott Rozelle, and Richard Zeckhauser. "The Returns to Education in China: Evidence from the 1986 Compulsory Education Law." Policy Challenges from Demographic Change in China and India. Ed. Karen Eggleston. Shorenstein Asia-Pacific Research Center, 2016.

Confronting Deep and Persistent Climate Uncertainty

Wagner, Gernot, and Richard J. Zeckhauser. "Confronting Deep and Persistent Climate Uncertainty." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP16-025, August 2016.

Attention to Distribution in U.S. Regulatory Analyses

Robinson, Lisa A., James K. Hammitt, and Richard J. Zeckhauser. "Attention to Distribution in U.S. Regulatory Analyses." Review of Environmental Economics and Policy 10.2 (July 2016): 308-328.

The Causes of Peer Effects in Production: Evidence from a Series of Field Experiments

Horton, John J., and Richard J. Zeckhauser. "The Causes of Peer Effects in Production: Evidence from a Series of Field Experiments." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP16-027, June 2016.

Collective Action in an Asymmetric World

Chen, Cuicui, and Richard Zeckhauser. "Collective Action in an Asymmetric World." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP16-019, April 2016.

How Quantifying Probability Assessments Influences Analysis and Decision Making: Experimental Evidence from National Security Professionals

Friedman, Jeffrey A., Jennifer S. Lerner, and Richard Zeckhauser. "How Quantifying Probability Assessments Influences Analysis and Decision Making: Experimental Evidence from National Security Professionals." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP16-016, April 2016.

Owning, Using and Renting: Some Simple Economics of the 'Sharing Economy'

Horton, John J., and Richard J. Zeckhauser. "Owning, Using and Renting: Some Simple Economics of the 'Sharing Economy'." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP16-007, February 2016.

Reading Managerial Tone:
How Analysts and the Market Respond to Conference Calls

Druz, Marina, Alexander F. Wagner, and Richard J. Zeckhauser. "Reading Managerial Tone: How Analysts and the Market Respond to Conference Calls." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP16-004, January 2016.

Recollection Bias and Its Underpinnings:
Lessons from Terrorism-Risk Assessments

Viscusi, W. Kip, and Richard J. Zeckhauser. "Recollection Bias and Its Underpinnings: Lessons from Terrorism-Risk Assessments." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP16-003, January 2016.

Mancur Olson and the Tragedy of the Unbalanced Commons

Zeckhauser, Richard. "Mancur Olson and the Tragedy of the Unbalanced Commons." Decisions 24 (December 2015).

Getting an Honest Answer: Clickers in the Classroom

Levy, Dan, Joshua Yardley, and Richard Zeckhauser. "Getting an Honest Answer: Clickers in the Classroom." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP15-071, June 2016 (Revised from November 2015).

Medicare Advantage: What Explains Its Robust Health?

Sinaiko, Anna D., and Richard Zeckhauser. "Medicare Advantage: What Explains Its Robust Health?" American Journal of Managed Care 21.11 (November 2015): 804-806.

Recollection Bias and Its Underpinnings: Lessons from Terrorism-Risk Assessments

Viscusi, W. Kip, and Richard Zeckhauser. "Recollection Bias and Its Underpinnings: Lessons from Terrorism-Risk Assessments." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP15-066, October 2015.

Climate Sensitivity Uncertainty: When is Good News Bad?

Freeman, Mark C., Gernot Wagner, and Richard J. Zeckhauser. "Climate Sensitivity Uncertainty: When is Good News Bad?" Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical & Engineering Sciences. 373.2055 (October 2015).

Better Predictions, Better Allocations: Scientific Advances and Adaptation to Climate Change

Freeman, Mark C., Ben Groom, and Richard J. Zeckhauser. "Better Predictions, Better Allocations: Scientific Advances and Adaptation to Climate Change." Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical & Engineering Sciences 373.2055 (October 2015).

The “CAPS” Prediction System and Stock Market Returns

Avery, Christopher N., Judith A. Chevalier, and Richard J. Zeckhauser. "The “CAPS” Prediction System and Stock Market Returns." Review of Finance (September 2015): 1-19.

Better Predictions, Better Allocations: Scientific Advances and Adaptation to Climate Change

Freeman, Mark C., Ben Groom, and Richard Zeckhauser. "Better Predictions, Better Allocations: Scientific Advances and Adaptation to Climate Change." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP15-051, August 2015.


Regulating Ambiguous Risks: The Less than Rational Regulation of Pharmaceuticals

Viscusi, W. Kip, and Richard J. Zeckhauser. "Regulating Ambiguous Risks: The Less than Rational Regulation of Pharmaceuticals." Journal of Legal Studies 44.S2 (June 2015): S387-S422.

The Anatomy of Ignorance: Diagnoses from Literature

Devjani, Roy, and Richard Zeckhauser. "The Anatomy of Ignorance: Diagnoses from Literature." Routledge International Handbook of Ignorance Studies. Ed. Matthias Gross and Linsey McGoey. Routledge, 2015, 61-73.

Handling and Mishandling Estimative Probability: Likelihood, Confidence, and the Search for Bin Laden

Friedman, Jeffrey A., and Richard Zeckhauser. "Handling and Mishandling Estimative Probability: Likelihood, Confidence, and the Search for Bin Laden." Intelligence and National Security 30.1 (2015): 77-99.

Grappling with Ignorance: Frameworks from Decision Theory, Lessons from Literature

Roy, Devjani, and Richard Zeckhauser. "Grappling with Ignorance: Frameworks from Decision Theory, Lessons from Literature." Journal of Benefit-Cost Analysis 6.1 (March 2015): 33-65.

Tips and Tells from Managers: How Analysts and the Market Read Between the Lines of Conference Calls

Druz, Marina, Alexander F. Wagner, and Richard Zeckhauser. "Tips and Tells from Managers: How Analysts and the Market Read Between the Lines of Conference Calls." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP15-006, February 2015.

The Relative Weights of Direct and Indirect Experiences in the Formation of Environmental Risk Beliefs

Viscusi, W. Kip, and Richard J. Zeckhauser. "The Relative Weights of Direct and Indirect Experiences in the Formation of Environmental Risk Beliefs." Risk Analysis 35.2 (February 2015): 318-331.

Climate Sensitivity Uncertainty: When is Good News Bad?

Freeman, Mark C., Gernot Wagner, and Richard J. Zeckhauser. "Climate Sensitivity Uncertainty: When is Good News Bad?" vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP15-002, January 2015.

Why Assessing Estimative Accuracy is Feasible and Desirable

Friedman, Jeffrey A., and Richard Zeckhauser. "Why Assessing Estimative Accuracy is Feasible and Desirable." Intelligence and National Security (November 28, 2014).

Second Trimester Sunlight and Asthma: Evidence from Two Independent Studies

Wernerfelt, Nils, David Slusky, and Richard Zeckhauser. "Second Trimester Sunlight and Asthma: Evidence from Two Independent Studies." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP14-050, October 2014.

Artful Paltering: The Risks and Rewards of Using Truthful Statements to Mislead Others

Rogers, Todd, Richard Zeckhauser, Francesca Gino, Maurice Schweitzer, and Mike Norton. "Artful Paltering: The Risks and Rewards of Using Truthful Statements to Mislead Others." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP14-045, September 2014.

Variable Temptations and Black Mark Reputations

Aperjis, Christina, Richard Zeckhauser, and Yali Miao. "Variable Temptations and Black Mark Reputations." Games & Economic Behavior 87 (September 2014): 70-90.

The Relative Weights of Direct and Indirect Experiences in the Formation of Environmental Risk Beliefs

Viscusi, W. Kip, and Richard J. Zeckhauser. "The Relative Weights of Direct and Indirect Experiences in the Formation of Environmental Risk Beliefs." Risk Analysis (September 5, 2014).

The Investment Returns of Nonprofit Organizations: Part 1, Tales from 990 Forms

Heutel, Garth, and Richard Zeckhauser. "The Investment Returns of Nonprofit Organizations: Part 1, Tales from 990 Forms." Nonprofit Management and Leadership 25.19 (Fall 2014): 41-57.

The Investment Returns of Nonprofit Organizations: Part II, The Value of Focused Attention

Heutel, Garth, and Richard Zeckhauser. "The Investment Returns of Nonprofit Organizations: Part II, The Value of Focused Attention." Nonprofit Management and Leadership 25.19 (Fall 2014): 59-75.

Rules and Standards when Compliance Costs are Private Information

Kotowski, Maciej H., David A. Weisbach, and Richard J. Zeckhauser. "Rules and Standards when Compliance Costs are Private Information." Journal of Legal Studies 43.S2 (June 2014): S297-S329.

Regulating Ambiguous Risks: The Less than Rational Regulation of Pharmaceuticals

Viscusi, W. Kip, and Richard J. Zeckhauser. "Regulating Ambiguous Risks: The Less than Rational Regulation of Pharmaceuticals." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP14-005, February 2014 (Revised January 2015).

Audits as Signals

Kotowski, Maciej, David A. Weisbach, and Richard J. Zeckhauser. "Audits as Signals." University of Chicago Law Review 81.1 (February 2014): 179-202.

Signaling with Audits: Mimicry, Wasteful Expenditures, and Non-Compliance in a Model of Tax Enforcement

Kotowski, Maciej, David Weisbach, and Richard Zeckhauser. "Signaling with Audits: Mimicry, Wasteful Expenditures, and Non-Compliance in a Model of Tax Enforcement." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP14-001, January 2014.

New Frontiers Beyond Risk and Uncertainty: Ignorance, Group Decision, and Unanticipated Themes, Preface 2

Zeckhauser, Richard. "New Frontiers Beyond Risk and Uncertainty: Ignorance, Group Decision, and Unanticipated Themes, Preface 2." Handbook of the Economics of Risk and Uncertainty. Ed. W. Kip Viscusi and Mark Machina. Elsevier, 2013, xvii-xxix.