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Delivery worker wearing a medical mask and carrying packages.
Feature: The Impact of State Paid Sick Leave Laws on Service Workers

Daniel Schneider finds that state paid sick leave laws increased service workers’ access to paid sick leave and reduced the share of service workers who worked while sick.

A family with a father, mother, and two small children walking on a dirt path.
Feature: Connecting Absolute and Relative Intergenerational Mobility

Deirdre Bloome offers two frameworks for understanding the relationship between types of intergenerational mobility, or whether people are socioeconomically better off than their parents.

Two women in rural India dressed colorfully and carrying baskets on their heads.
Feature: Studying a Government Program to Support Women’s Self-Help Groups

Michael Walton explores the interactions between state and society in rural India within a major community-based development program, finding two major tensions.

A network of computer motherboards and other parts assembled to look like a miniature city.
Feature: The Data-Informed City

Jorrit de Jong presents a comprehensive framework for how cities can use data to address problems more effectively, efficiently, equitably, and with better accountability.

Harvard Kennedy School faculty disseminate their research in working publications and papers that contribute to public knowledge and fuel policy innovation. This list features recent faculty publications, including journal articles, books, edited volumes, research papers, and public testimony.

Faculty Publications

Risk-aversion with both high and low ambiguity: Elevated OCD symptom severity and intolerance of uncertainty are associated with less risk-taking in an OCD patient sub-sample

Jacoby, Ryan J., Dalton L. Klare, Caroline H. Armstrong, Susanne S. Hoeppner, Jennifer Lerner, and Sabine Wilhelm. "Risk-aversion with both high and low ambiguity: Elevated OCD symptom severity and intolerance of uncertainty are associated with less risk-taking in an OCD patient sub-sample." Journal of Obsessive-Compulsive and Related Disorders 46 (July 2025): 100955.

Why It Worked: Moving from Success to Effectiveness in Conflict Resolution and Peace Negotiations

Palmiano Federer, Julia, Monica Giannone, Brian Mandell, and Elan Kogutt. "Why It Worked: Moving from Success to Effectiveness in Conflict Resolution and Peace Negotiations." Negotiation Journal (2025).

Digital phenotyping in bipolar disorder: Using longitudinal Fitbit data and personalized machine learning to predict mood symptomatology

Lipschitz, Jessica M., Sidian Lin, Soroush Saghafian, Chelsea K. Pike, and Katherine E. Burdick. "Digital phenotyping in bipolar disorder: Using longitudinal Fitbit data and personalized machine learning to predict mood symptomatology." Acta Psychiatrica Scandinavica 151.3 (March 2025): 434-447.

Is DOGE Sure It Wants to Fire These People?

Kayyem, Juliette. "Is DOGE Sure It Wants to Fire These People?" The Atlantic, March 1, 2025.

Don’t look to efficiency for big deficit reductions

Dynan, Karen, and Doug Elmendorf. "Don’t look to efficiency for big deficit reductions." What awaits the Department of Government Efficiency? ÌÇÐÄvlog¹ÙÍø experts on prospects for a radical new initiative, January 15, 2025.

Ambiguous Dynamic Treatment Regimes: A Reinforcement Learning Approach

Saghafian, Soroush. "Ambiguous Dynamic Treatment Regimes: A Reinforcement Learning Approach." Management Science 70.9 (September 2024): 5667-5690.

From Crisis to Opportunity: How the City of Portland Embraced Democratic Innovation

Fung, Archon, Max Kiefel, and Nick Chedli Carter. "From Crisis to Opportunity: How the City of Portland Embraced Democratic Innovation." Ash Center Occasional Papers Series, June 2024.

Lessons from Israel’s Forever Wars

Allison, Graham, and Raphael Piliero. "Lessons from Israel’s Forever Wars." Belfer Center Applied History Project Discussion Paper Series, January 2024.

Graham Allison: How Henry Kissinger Shaped My Life

Allison, Graham. "Graham Allison: How Henry Kissinger Shaped My Life." The National Interest, December 1, 2023.

Feeling uncertain despite knowing the risk: Patients with OCD (but not controls) experience known and unknown probabilistic decisions as similarly distressing and uncertain

Jacoby, Ryan J., Abigail Szkutak, Jin Shin, Jennifer Lerner, and Sabine Wilhelm. "Feeling uncertain despite knowing the risk: Patients with OCD (but not controls) experience known and unknown probabilistic decisions as similarly distressing and uncertain." Journal of Obsessive-Compulsive and Related Disorders 39 (October 2023).

Understanding the Opioid Epidemic: Human-Based Versus Algorithmic-Based Perceptions, Treatments, and Guidelines

Boloori, Alireza, Soroush Saghafian, and Stephen J. Traub. "Understanding the Opioid Epidemic: Human-Based Versus Algorithmic-Based Perceptions, Treatments, and Guidelines." ÌÇÐÄvlog¹ÙÍø Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP22-026, December 2022.

Algorithm, Human, or the Centaur: How to Enhance Clinical Care?

Orfanoudaki, Agni, Soroush Saghafian, Karen Song, Harini A. Chakkera, and Curtiss B. Cook. "Algorithm, Human, or the Centaur: How to Enhance Clinical Care?" ÌÇÐÄvlog¹ÙÍø Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP22-027, December 2022.

The Devil Never Sleeps: Learning to Live in an Age of Disasters

Kayyem, Juliette. The Devil Never Sleeps: Learning to Live in an Age of Disasters. PublicAffairs, 2022.

When Deliberation Produces Persuasion rather than Polarization: Measuring and modeling Small Group Dynamics in a Field Experiment

Esterling, Kevin M., Archon Fung, and Taeku Lee. "When Deliberation Produces Persuasion rather than Polarization: Measuring and modeling Small Group Dynamics in a Field Experiment." British Journal of Political Science 51.2 (April 2021): 666-684.

How to Lead in a Time of Pandemic

Burns, Nicholas. "How to Lead in a Time of Pandemic." Foreign Affairs, March 25, 2020.

How the World Will Look After the Coronavirus Pandemic

Allen, John, Nicholas Burns, Laurie Garrett, Richard N. Haass, G. John Ikenberry, Kishore Mahbubani, Shivshankar Menon, Robin Niblett, Joseph S. Nye Jr., Shannon K. O’Neil, Kori Schake, and Stephen M. Walt. "How the World Will Look After the Coronavirus Pandemic." Foreign Policy, March 20, 2020.

Inside the Five-Sided Box: Lessons from a Lifetime of Leadership in the Pentagon

Carter, Ashton B. Inside the Five-Sided Box: Lessons from a Lifetime of Leadership in the Pentagon. Dutton, 2019.

Soft Power and the Public Diplomacy Revisited

Nye, Jr., Joseph S. "Soft Power and the Public Diplomacy Revisited." The Hague Journal of Diplomacy 14 (April 2019): 1-14.

What Should Obama Do Next on Iran?

Burns, Nicholas. "What Should Obama Do Next on Iran?" New York Times, September 2, 2015.

The Implications of Sanctions Relief Under the Iran Agreement

Burns, Nicholas. "The Implications of Sanctions Relief Under the Iran Agreement." Senate Committee on Banking, Housing and Urban Affairs, August 5, 2015.

The Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) and the Military Balance in the Middle East

Burns, Nicholas. "The Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) and the Military Balance in the Middle East." Senate Committee on Armed Services, August 4, 2015.

The Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action

Burns, Nicholas. "The Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action." Senate Committee on Foreign Relations, July 29, 2015.

Implications of a Nuclear Agreement with Iran

Burns, Nicholas. "Implications of a Nuclear Agreement with Iran." United States House of Representatives, Committee on Foreign Affairs, July 14, 2015.

Perceiving others’ feelings: The importance of personality and social structure

Sherman, Gary D., Jennifer S. Lerner, Jonathan Renshon, Christine Ma-Kellams, and Samantha Joel. "Perceiving others’ feelings: The importance of personality and social structure." Social Psychological and Personality Science 6.5 (July 2015): 559-569.

Preface

Burns, Nicholas and Jonathon Price. "Preface." Blind Spot: America’s Response to Radicalism in the Middle East. Ed. Burns, Nicholas and Jonathon Price. Aspen Institute, 2015.

Why Do Some Hostages Die, and Some are Released?

Burns, Nicholas. "Why Do Some Hostages Die, and Some are Released?" Boston Globe, August 28, 2014.