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Harvard Kennedy School faculty disseminate their research in working publications and papers that contribute to public knowledge and fuel policy innovation. This list features recent faculty publications, including journal articles, books, edited volumes, research papers, and public testimony.

Faculty Publications

Jacoby, Ryan J., Dalton L. Klare, Caroline H. Armstrong, Susanne S. Hoeppner, Jennifer Lerner, and Sabine Wilhelm. "Risk-aversion with both high and low ambiguity: Elevated OCD symptom severity and intolerance of uncertainty are associated with less risk-taking in an OCD patient sub-sample." Journal of Obsessive-Compulsive and Related Disorders 46 (July 2025): 100955.

Hodgson, Nicole R., Soroush, Saghafian, Wayne A. Martini, Arshya Feizi, and Agni Orfanourdaki. "Artificial Intelligence-Assisted Emergency Department Vertical Patient Flow Optimization." Journal of Personalized Medicine 15.6 (June 2025): 219.
Bosché, Michelle, Rachel Krust, Archon Fung, and Aditya S. Pawar. "Exploring Democratic Deliberation in Public Health: Bridging Division and Enhancing Community Engagement." American Journal of Public Health 115.4 (April 2025): 500-505.
Palmiano Federer, Julia, Monica Giannone, Brian Mandell, and Elan Kogutt. "Why It Worked: Moving from Success to Effectiveness in Conflict Resolution and Peace Negotiations." Negotiation Journal (2025).
Paternina-Caicedo, Angel, Oscar Espinosa, Sangini S. Sheth, Nathaniel Hupert, and Soroush Saghafian. "Excess Mortality Rate in Black Children Since 1950 in the United States: A 70-Year Population-Based Study of Racial Inequalities." Annals of Internal Medicine (25 March 2025).
Lipschitz, Jessica M., Sidian Lin, Soroush Saghafian, Chelsea K. Pike, and Katherine E. Burdick. "Digital phenotyping in bipolar disorder: Using longitudinal Fitbit data and personalized machine learning to predict mood symptomatology." Acta Psychiatrica Scandinavica 151.3 (March 2025): 434-447.
Bassan-Nygate, Lotem. "How Does Shaming Human Rights Violators Abroad Shape Attitudes at Home?" British Journal of Political Science 55.e4 (10 February 2025): 1-19.
Spence, Jennifer, John Holdren, and Fran Ulmer. "Arctic research cooperation in a turbulent world." Science 387.6734 (7 February 2025): 598-600.
Jameson, Jacob C., Soroush Saghafian, Robert S. Huckman, and Nicole Hodgson. "Variation in batch ordering of imaging tests in the emergency department and the impact on care delivery." Health Services Research 60.1 (February 2025): e14406.
Coots, Madison, Soroush Saghafian, David M. Kent, and Sharad Goel. "A Framework for Considering the Value of Race and Ethnicity in Estimating Disease Risk." Annals of Internal Medicine 178.1 (January 2025): 98-107.
Bassan-Nygate, Lotem, Jonathan Renshon, Jessica L. P. Weeks, and Chagai M. Weiss. "The Generalizability of IR Experiments beyond the United States." American Political Science Review (12/23/2024): 1-16.
Saghafian, Soroush, and Lihi Idan. "Effective Generative AI: The Human-Algorithm Centaur." Harvard Data Science Review Special Issue 5 (December 19, 2024).
Búzás, Zoltán I., and Lotem Bassan-Nygate. "Race, shaming, and international human rights." American Journal of Political Science (9 December 2024).
Tarantino, Giuseppe, Cora A. Ricker, Annette Wang ... Soroush Saghafian et al. "Genomic heterogeneity and ploidy identify patients with intrinsic resistance to PD-1 blockade in metastatic melanoma." Science Advances 10.48 (29 November 2024): eadp4670.
Jamison, Dean T., Lawrence H. Summers, et al. "Global health 2050: the path to halving premature death by mid-century." The Lancet 404.10462 (October 2024): 1561-1614.
Saghafian, Soroush. "Ambiguous Dynamic Treatment Regimes: A Reinforcement Learning Approach." Management Science 70.9 (September 2024): 5667-5690.
Saghafian, Soroush. "Drivers, adaptations, and public impacts of hospital closures, implications for policy." Perspectives: Frontiers in Public Health 12 (August 12, 2024): 1415033.
Lo, Adeline, Jonathan Renshon, and Lotem Bassan-Nygate. "A Practical Guide to Dealing with Attrition in Political Science Experiments." Journal of Experimental Political Science 11.2 (Summer 2024): 147-161.
Selin, Noelle E., Amanda Giang, and William C. Clark. "Showcasing advances and building community in modeling for sustainability." PNAS 121.29 (July 16, 2024): e2215689121.
Wang, Ke, Vaughan W. Rees, Charles A. Dorison, and Jennifer S. Lerner. "The role of positive emotion in harmful health behavior: Implications for theory and public health campaigns." PNAS 121.28 (July 1, 2024).
Fung, Archon, and Dennis Thompson. "Conflict of interest in government: Avoiding ethical and conceptual mistakes." Governance (June 2024).
Bilmes, Linda J., and Cornell Brooks. "Normalizing Reparations: U.S. Precedent, Norms, and Models for Compensating Harms and Implications for Reparations to Black Americans." RSF: The Russell Sage Foundation Journal of the Social Sciences 10.2 (June 2024): 30-67.
Bassan-Nygate, Lotem, and Gadi Heimann. "Dealing with Guilt and Shame in International Politics." International Relations 38.2 (June 2024): 256-278.
Adger, William Neil, Sonja Fransen, Ricardo Safra de Campos, and William C. Clark. "Migration and Sustainable Development." PNAS 121.3 (January 16, 2024): e2206193121.
Adger, William Neil, Sonja Fransen, Ricardo Safra de Campos, and William C. Clark. "Scientific Frontiers on Migration and Sustainability." PNAS 121.3 (January 16, 2024): e2321325121.
Orfanoudaki, Agni, Curtiss B. Cook, Soroush Saghafian, Janna Castro, Heidi E. Kosiorek, Harini A. Chakkera. "Diabetes mellitus and blood glucose variability increases the 30-day readmission rate after kidney transplantation." Clinical Transplantation 38.1 (January 2024): e15177.
Saghafian, Soroush, Lina Song, Joseph Newhouse, Mary Beth Landrum, and John Hsu. "The Impact of Vertical Integration on Physician Behavior and Healthcare Delivery: Evidence from Gastroenterology Practices." Management Science 69.12 (December 2023): 7151-7882.
Geels, Frank W., Florian Kern, and William C. Clark. "System transitions research and sustainable development: Challenges, progress, and prospects." PNAS 120.47 (November 21, 2023): e2206230120.
Geels, Frank W., Florian Kern, and William C. Clark. "Sustainability Transitions in Consumption-Production Systems." PNAS 120.47 (November 21, 2023): e2310070120.
Saghafian, Soroush. "Ambiguous Dynamic Treatment Regimes: A Reinforcement Learning Approach." Management Science (2023).
Selin, Noelle E., Amanda Giang, and William C. Clark. "Progress in modeling dynamic systems for sustainable development." PNAS 120.40 (October 3, 2023): e2216656120.
Jacoby, Ryan J., Abigail Szkutak, Jin Shin, Jennifer Lerner, and Sabine Wilhelm. "Feeling uncertain despite knowing the risk: Patients with OCD (but not controls) experience known and unknown probabilistic decisions as similarly distressing and uncertain." Journal of Obsessive-Compulsive and Related Disorders 39 (October 2023).
Dynan, Karen. "Advanced economies will experience subdued growth, outlook for emerging markets is varied." Peterson Institute for International Economics (September 29, 2023).
Dynan, Karen. "PIIE projects global economy poised for soft landing." Peterson Institute for International Economics (September 26, 2023).
Boloori, Alireza, and Soroush Saghafian. "Health and Economic Impacts of Lockdown Policies in the Early Stage of COVID-19 in the United States." Service Science 15.3 (September 2023): 188-211.
Aldy, Joseph, Todd D. Gerarden, and Richard L. Sweeney. "Investment versus Output Subsidies: Implications of Alternative Incentives for Wind Energy." Journal of the Association of Environmental and Resource Economists 10.4 (July 2023): 981-1018.
Nesser, Hannah, Daniel J. Jacob, Joannes D. Maasakkers, Alba Lorente, Zichong Chen, Xiao Lu, Lu Shen, Zhen Qu, Melissa P. Sulprizio, Margaux Winter, Shuang Ma, A. Anthony Bloom, John R. Worden, Robert N. Stavins, and Cynthia A. Randles. "High-resolution U.S. methane emissions inferred from an inversion of 2019 TROPOMI satellite data: contributions from individual states, urban areas, and landfills." EGUsphere [preprint] (June 13, 2023).
Aldy, Joseph, Patrick Bolton, Marcin Kacperczyk, and Zachery M. Halem. "Behind schedule: The corporate effort to fulfill climate obligations." Journal of Applied Corporate Finance 35.2 (Spring 2023): 26-34.
Atkinson, Mariam K., and Soroush Saghafian. "Who should see the patient? on deviations from preferred patient-provider assignments in hospitals." Health Care Management Science 26.2 (June 2023): 165-199.
Hodgson, Nicole R., Soroush Saghafian, Molly C. Klanderman, Andrej Urumov, Stephen J. Traub. "Physician-Driven Early Evaluation: Encounters Seen in a Vertical Model." Journal of Emergency Medicine Reports 2.2 (June 2023): 100028.
Ganz, Marshall, Julia Lee Cunningham, Inbal Ben Ezer and Alaina Segura. "Crafting Public Narrative to Enable Collective Action: A Pedagogy for Leadership Development." Academy of Management Learning & Education 22.2 (June 2023): 169-190.
Chen, Zichong, Daniel J. Jacob, Ritesh Gautam, Mark Omara, Robert N. Stavins, Robert C. Stowe, Hannah Nesser, Melissa P. Sulprizio, Alba Lorente, Daniel J. Varon, Xiao Lu, Lu Shen, Zhen Qu, Drew C. Pendergrass, and Sarah Hancock. "Satellite quantification of methane emissions and oil–gas methane intensities from individual countries in the Middle East and North Africa: implications for climate action." Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics 23.10 (31 May 2023): 5945-5967.
Stansbury, Anna, Jacob Funk Kirkegaard, and Karen Dynan. "Gender gaps in South Korea’s labour market: children explain most of the gender employment gap, but little of the gender wage gap." Applied Economics Letters (May 3, 2023).
Nye, Joseph S. Jr. "Nuclear Ethics Revisited." Ethics & International Affairs 37.1 (Spring 2023): 5-17.
Bordoff, Jason, and Meghan L. O'Sullivan. "The Age of Energy Insecurity: How the Fight for Resources Is Upending Geopolitics Essays." Foreign Affairs 102.3 (May/June 2023): 104-119.
Cebul, Matthew, Erica Chenoweth, and Zoe Marks. "Youth and LGBTQ+ in Nonviolent Action: The WiRe+ Data Set." United States Institute of Peace (March 2023).
Dunford, Joseph F. Jr., Graham Allison, and Jonah Glick-Unterman. "Guardians of the Republic: Only a Nonpartisan Military Can Protect American Democracy." Foreign Affairs (January 5, 2023).
Cohen, Dara Kay, Danielle F. Jung, and Michael Weintraub. "Collective Vigilantism in Global Comparative Perspective." Comparative Politics 55.2 (January 2023): 239-261.
Aiyar, Yamini, Rolf Alter, and Linda J. Bilmes. "Challenges of effective governance for sustainable development at subnational government levels: introduction to this thematic issue of Public Sector Economics." Public Sector Economics Journal (December 2022): 456-458.
Jasanoff, Sheila. "The Discontents of Truth & Trust in 21st Century America." Daedalus 151.4 (Fall 2022): 25-42.