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Delivery worker wearing a medical mask and carrying packages.
Feature: The Impact of State Paid Sick Leave Laws on Service Workers

Daniel Schneider finds that state paid sick leave laws increased service workers’ access to paid sick leave and reduced the share of service workers who worked while sick.

A family with a father, mother, and two small children walking on a dirt path.
Feature: Connecting Absolute and Relative Intergenerational Mobility

Deirdre Bloome offers two frameworks for understanding the relationship between types of intergenerational mobility, or whether people are socioeconomically better off than their parents.

Two women in rural India dressed colorfully and carrying baskets on their heads.
Feature: Studying a Government Program to Support Women’s Self-Help Groups

Michael Walton explores the interactions between state and society in rural India within a major community-based development program, finding two major tensions.

A network of computer motherboards and other parts assembled to look like a miniature city.
Feature: The Data-Informed City

Jorrit de Jong presents a comprehensive framework for how cities can use data to address problems more effectively, efficiently, equitably, and with better accountability.

Harvard Kennedy School faculty disseminate their research in working publications and papers that contribute to public knowledge and fuel policy innovation. This list features recent faculty publications, including journal articles, books, edited volumes, research papers, and public testimony.

Faculty Publications

The Neurotic Fixations of U.S. Foreign Policy

Walt, Stephen. "The Neurotic Fixations of U.S. Foreign Policy." Foreign Policy, February 12, 2024.

The Cost of Money is Part of the Cost of Living: New Evidence on the Consumer Sentiment Anomaly

Bolhuis, Marijn A., Judd N. L. Cramer, Karl Oskar Schulz, and Lawrence H. Summers. "The Cost of Money is Part of the Cost of Living: New Evidence on the Consumer Sentiment Anomaly." NBER Working Paper Series, February 2024.

America Is Suffering From a Resolve Gap

Walt, Stephen. "America Is Suffering From a Resolve Gap." Foreign Policy, January 30, 2024.

Another Trump Presidency Won’t Much Change U.S. Foreign Policy

Walt, Stephen. "Another Trump Presidency Won’t Much Change U.S. Foreign Policy." Foreign Policy, January 22, 2024.

Migrants Can Be a Transformative Force for Sustainable Development

Fransen, Sonja, Neil Adger, Ricardo Safra de Campos, and William C. Clark. "Migrants Can Be a Transformative Force for Sustainable Development." The Conversation. January 18, 2024.

Migration and Sustainable Development

Adger, William Neil, Sonja Fransen, Ricardo Safra de Campos, and William C. Clark. "Migration and Sustainable Development." PNAS 121.3 (January 16, 2024): e2206193121.

Scientific Frontiers on Migration and Sustainability

Adger, William Neil, Sonja Fransen, Ricardo Safra de Campos, and William C. Clark. "Scientific Frontiers on Migration and Sustainability." PNAS 121.3 (January 16, 2024): e2321325121.

Lessons from Israel’s Forever Wars

Allison, Graham, and Raphael Piliero. "Lessons from Israel’s Forever Wars." Belfer Center Applied History Project Discussion Paper Series, January 2024.

5 Reasons the Israel-Palestine Conflict Won’t End Anytime Soon

Walt, Stephen. "5 Reasons the Israel-Palestine Conflict Won’t End Anytime Soon." Foreign Policy, January 8, 2024.

Diabetes mellitus and blood glucose variability increases the 30-day readmission rate after kidney transplantation

Orfanoudaki, Agni, Curtiss B. Cook, Soroush Saghafian, Janna Castro, Heidi E. Kosiorek, Harini A. Chakkera. "Diabetes mellitus and blood glucose variability increases the 30-day readmission rate after kidney transplantation." Clinical Transplantation 38.1 (January 2024): e15177.

Stephen Walt on What to Expect From 2024

Walt, Stephen, and Ravi Agrawal. "Stephen Walt on What to Expect From 2024." Foreign Policy, January 1, 2024.

Climate action: Implications for factor market reallocation

Lawrence, Robert Z. "Climate action: Implications for factor market reallocation." PIIE Working Paper Series, January 2024.

A Practical Guide to Perpetual Peace

Walt, Stephen M. "A Practical Guide to Perpetual Peace." Foreign Policy, December 19, 2023.

New rules for a challenged trading system: the role of safeguards

Lawrence, Robert Z. "New rules for a challenged trading system: the role of safeguards." The Elgar Companion to the World Trade Organization. Ed. Julien Chaisse and Cristián Rodríguez-Chiffelle. Edward Elgar Publishing, 2023, 676-690.

Is the Pursuit of Efficiency in Healthcare Worth the Gamble?

Saghafian, Soroush. "Is the Pursuit of Efficiency in Healthcare Worth the Gamble?" INFORMS OR/MS Today, December 6, 2023.

Was Henry Kissinger Really a Realist?

Walt, Stephen M. "Was Henry Kissinger Really a Realist?" Foreign Policy, December 5, 2023.

Graham Allison: How Henry Kissinger Shaped My Life

Allison, Graham. "Graham Allison: How Henry Kissinger Shaped My Life." The National Interest, December 1, 2023.

The Impact of Vertical Integration on Physician Behavior and Healthcare Delivery: Evidence from Gastroenterology Practices

Saghafian, Soroush, Lina Song, Joseph Newhouse, Mary Beth Landrum, and John Hsu. "The Impact of Vertical Integration on Physician Behavior and Healthcare Delivery: Evidence from Gastroenterology Practices." Management Science 69.12 (December 2023): 7151-7882.

Behind the Curve: Can Manufacturing Still Provide Inclusive Growth?

Lawrence, Robert Z. Behind the Curve: Can Manufacturing Still Provide Inclusive Growth? Columbia University Press, 2023.

5 Things in the World to Be Thankful for in 2023

Walt, Stephen M. "5 Things in the World to Be Thankful for in 2023." Foreign Policy, November 23, 2023.

System transitions research and sustainable development: Challenges, progress, and prospects

Geels, Frank W., Florian Kern, and William C. Clark. "System transitions research and sustainable development: Challenges, progress, and prospects." PNAS 120.47 (November 21, 2023): e2206230120.

Sustainability Transitions in Consumption-Production Systems

Geels, Frank W., Florian Kern, and William C. Clark. "Sustainability Transitions in Consumption-Production Systems." PNAS 120.47 (November 21, 2023): e2310070120.

To Batch or Not to Batch: Test-Ordering Variability in the Emergency Department and the Impact on Care Delivery

Jameson, Jacob, Soroush Saghafian, Robert S. Huckman, and Nicole Hodgson. "To Batch or Not to Batch: Test-Ordering Variability in the Emergency Department and the Impact on Care Delivery." ÌÇÐÄvlog¹ÙÍø Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP23-032, November 2023.

Avoiding World War III: What the Joe Biden-Xi Jinping Summit Is Really About

Allison, Graham. "Avoiding World War III: What the Joe Biden-Xi Jinping Summit Is Really About." The National Interest, November 12, 2023.

Envisioning a U.S. Foreign Policy of Restraint

Walt, Stephen M. "Envisioning a U.S. Foreign Policy of Restraint." DAWN: Democracy for the Arab World Now, November 9, 2023.

The World Won’t Be the Same After the Israel-Hamas War

Walt, Stephen M. "The World Won’t Be the Same After the Israel-Hamas War." Foreign Policy, November 8, 2023.

Foreward

Allison, Graham. "Foreward." Party Life: Chinese Governance and the World Beyond Liberalism by Eric Li. Springer, 2023, v-viii.

High and Rising US Federal Debt: Causes and Implications

Dynan, Karen. "High and Rising US Federal Debt: Causes and Implications." Building a More Resilient US Economy. Ed. Melissa S. Kearney, Justin Schardin, and Luke Pardue. Washington, D.C.: Aspen Economic Strategy Group, 2023.

Universities Shouldn’t Ever Take Sides in a War

Walt, Stephen M. "Universities Shouldn’t Ever Take Sides in a War." Foreign Policy, October 31, 2023.

Ash Carter’s Lessons from ISIS for Israel’s
Campaign Against Hamas

Allison, Graham. "Ash Carter’s Lessons from ISIS for Israel’s Campaign Against Hamas." Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs, October 25, 2023.

America Is a Root Cause of Israel and Palestine’s Latest War

Walt, Stephen M. "America Is a Root Cause of Israel and Palestine’s Latest War." Foreign Policy. October 18, 2023.

The Path to AI Arms Control

Kissinger, Henry A., and Allison, Graham. "The Path to AI Arms Control." Foreign Affairs, October 13, 2023.

Israel Could Win This Gaza Battle and Lose the War

Walt, Stephen M. "Israel Could Win This Gaza Battle and Lose the War." Foreign Policy, October 9, 2023.

Effective Generative AI: The Human-Algorithm Centaur

Saghafian, Soroush. "Effective Generative AI: The Human-Algorithm Centaur." ÌÇÐÄvlog¹ÙÍø Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP23-030, October 2023.

Ambiguous Dynamic Treatment Regimes: A Reinforcement Learning Approach

Saghafian, Soroush. "Ambiguous Dynamic Treatment Regimes: A Reinforcement Learning Approach." Management Science (2023).

Progress in modeling dynamic systems for sustainable development

Selin, Noelle E., Amanda Giang, and William C. Clark. "Progress in modeling dynamic systems for sustainable development." PNAS 120.40 (October 3, 2023): e2216656120.

The Biden Administration Is Addicted to Partnerships

Walt, Stephen M. "The Biden Administration Is Addicted to Partnerships." Foreign Policy, October 3, 2023.

Feeling uncertain despite knowing the risk: Patients with OCD (but not controls) experience known and unknown probabilistic decisions as similarly distressing and uncertain

Jacoby, Ryan J., Abigail Szkutak, Jin Shin, Jennifer Lerner, and Sabine Wilhelm. "Feeling uncertain despite knowing the risk: Patients with OCD (but not controls) experience known and unknown probabilistic decisions as similarly distressing and uncertain." Journal of Obsessive-Compulsive and Related Disorders 39 (October 2023).

Advanced economies will experience subdued growth, outlook for emerging markets is varied

Dynan, Karen. "Advanced economies will experience subdued growth, outlook for emerging markets is varied." Peterson Institute for International Economics (September 29, 2023).

PIIE projects global economy poised for soft landing

Dynan, Karen. "PIIE projects global economy poised for soft landing." Peterson Institute for International Economics (September 26, 2023).

The Morality of Ukraine’s War Is Very Murky

Walt, Stephen M. "The Morality of Ukraine’s War Is Very Murky." Foreign Policy, September 22, 2023.

Do Policy Schools Still Have a Point?

Walt, Stephen M. "Do Policy Schools Still Have a Point?" Foreign Policy, September 8, 2023.

The Con-Man Realism of Vivek Ramaswamy

Walt, Stephen M. "The Con-Man Realism of Vivek Ramaswamy." Foreign Policy, September 5, 2023.

Health and Economic Impacts of Lockdown Policies in the Early Stage of COVID-19 in the United States.

Boloori, Alireza, and Soroush Saghafian. "Health and Economic Impacts of Lockdown Policies in the Early Stage of COVID-19 in the United States." Service Science 15.3 (September 2023): 188-211.

Should the US pursue a new Cold War with China?

Kim, Patricia M., Matthew Turpin, Joseph S. Nye Jr., Jessica Chen Weiss, Eun A Jo, Ryan Hass, and Emilie Kimball. "Should the US pursue a new Cold War with China?" Brookings, September 1, 2023.

Here’s How Scared of China You Should Be

Walt, Stephen M. "Here’s How Scared of China You Should Be." Foreign Policy, August 7, 2023.

Hollywood Runs—and Ruins—U.S. Foreign Policy

Walt, Stephen M. "Hollywood Runs—and Ruins—U.S. Foreign Policy." Foreign Policy, July 27, 2023.

You See What You Want to See in Russia

Walt, Stephen M. "You See What You Want to See in Russia." Foreign Policy, July 21, 2023.

Cluster Bombs and the Contradictions of Liberalism

Walt, Stephen M. "Cluster Bombs and the Contradictions of Liberalism." Foreign Policy, July 19, 2023.

US and China must establish military communications

Rosenbach, Eric, and Chris Li. "US and China must establish military communications." Boston Globe. July 3, 2023.