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Delivery worker wearing a medical mask and carrying packages.
Feature: The Impact of State Paid Sick Leave Laws on Service Workers

Daniel Schneider finds that state paid sick leave laws increased service workers鈥 access to paid sick leave and reduced the share of service workers who worked while sick.

A family with a father, mother, and two small children walking on a dirt path.
Feature: Connecting Absolute and Relative Intergenerational Mobility

Deirdre Bloome offers two frameworks for understanding the relationship between types of intergenerational mobility, or whether people are socioeconomically better off than their parents.

Two women in rural India dressed colorfully and carrying baskets on their heads.
Feature: Studying a Government Program to Support Women鈥檚 Self-Help Groups

Michael Walton explores the interactions between state and society in rural India within a major community-based development program, finding two major tensions.

A network of computer motherboards and other parts assembled to look like a miniature city.
Feature: The Data-Informed City

Jorrit de Jong presents a comprehensive framework for how cities can use data to address problems more effectively, efficiently, equitably, and with better accountability.

Harvard Kennedy School faculty disseminate their research in working publications and papers that contribute to public knowledge and fuel policy innovation. This list features recent faculty publications, including journal articles, books, edited volumes, research papers, and public testimony.

Faculty Publications

Sustainability Transitions in Consumption-Production Systems

Geels, Frank W., Florian Kern, and William C. Clark. "Sustainability Transitions in Consumption-Production Systems." PNAS 120.47 (November 21, 2023): e2310070120.

Did the Fed Rein in Inflation?

Frankel, Jeffrey. "Did the Fed Rein in Inflation?" Project Syndicate, November 17, 2023.

To Batch or Not to Batch: Test-Ordering Variability in the Emergency Department and the Impact on Care Delivery

Jameson, Jacob, Soroush Saghafian, Robert S. Huckman, and Nicole Hodgson. "To Batch or Not to Batch: Test-Ordering Variability in the Emergency Department and the Impact on Care Delivery." 糖心vlog官网 Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP23-032, November 2023.

In the Shadow of Quetzalcoatl: Zelia Nuttall and the Search for Mexico鈥檚 Ancient Civilizations

Grindle, Merilee. In the Shadow of Quetzalcoatl: Zelia Nuttall and the Search for Mexico鈥檚 Ancient Civilizations. Harvard University Press, 2023.

High and Rising US Federal Debt: Causes and Implications

Dynan, Karen. "High and Rising US Federal Debt: Causes and Implications." Building a More Resilient US Economy. Ed. Melissa S. Kearney, Justin Schardin, and Luke Pardue. Washington, D.C.: Aspen Economic Strategy Group, 2023.

China's Great Leap Backward

Frankel, Jeffrey. "China's Great Leap Backward." Project Syndicate, October 20, 2023.

Effective Generative AI: The Human-Algorithm Centaur

Saghafian, Soroush. "Effective Generative AI: The Human-Algorithm Centaur." 糖心vlog官网 Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP23-030, October 2023.

Ambiguous Dynamic Treatment Regimes: A Reinforcement Learning Approach

Saghafian, Soroush. "Ambiguous Dynamic Treatment Regimes: A Reinforcement Learning Approach." Management Science (2023).

Progress in modeling dynamic systems for sustainable development

Selin, Noelle E., Amanda Giang, and William C. Clark. "Progress in modeling dynamic systems for sustainable development." PNAS 120.40 (October 3, 2023): e2216656120.

Feeling uncertain despite knowing the risk: Patients with OCD (but not controls) experience known and unknown probabilistic decisions as similarly distressing and uncertain

Jacoby, Ryan J., Abigail Szkutak, Jin Shin, Jennifer Lerner, and Sabine Wilhelm. "Feeling uncertain despite knowing the risk: Patients with OCD (but not controls) experience known and unknown probabilistic decisions as similarly distressing and uncertain." Journal of Obsessive-Compulsive and Related Disorders 39 (October 2023).

Advanced economies will experience subdued growth, outlook for emerging markets is varied

Dynan, Karen. "Advanced economies will experience subdued growth, outlook for emerging markets is varied." Peterson Institute for International Economics (September 29, 2023).

PIIE projects global economy poised for soft landing

Dynan, Karen. "PIIE projects global economy poised for soft landing." Peterson Institute for International Economics (September 26, 2023).

What Does the Inflation Reduction Act Mean for Patients and Physicians?

Chandra, Amitabh, and Benedic Ippolito. "What Does the Inflation Reduction Act Mean for Patients and Physicians?" NEJM Catalyst Innovations in Care Delivery 4.10 (September 20, 2023).

The Ideological Looking Glass

Frankel, Jeffrey. "The Ideological Looking Glass." Project Syndicate, September 19, 2023.

Fertilizer and Algal Blooms: A Satellite Approach to Assessing Water Quality

Taylor, Charles A., and Geoffrey Heal. "Fertilizer and Algal Blooms: A Satellite Approach to Assessing Water Quality." Risks in Agricultural Supply Chains. Ed. Pol Antr脿s and David Zilberman. University of Chicago Press, 2023, 83-106.

Decrypting new age international capital flows

Graf von Luckner, Clemens, Carmen M. Reinhart, and Kenneth Rogoff. "Decrypting new age international capital flows." Journal of Monetary Economics 138 (September 2023): 104-122.

Incorporating DEI into Decision-Making

Chang, Edward, Siri Chilazi, James Elfer, Cansin Arslan, Erika Kirgios, Oliver Hauser, and Iris Bohnet. "Incorporating DEI into Decision-Making." Harvard Business Review. September 1, 2023.

Health and Economic Impacts of Lockdown Policies in the Early Stage of COVID-19 in the United States.

Boloori, Alireza, and Soroush Saghafian. "Health and Economic Impacts of Lockdown Policies in the Early Stage of COVID-19 in the United States." Service Science 15.3 (September 2023): 188-211.

China Wants to Run Your Internet

Campanella, Edoardo, and John Haigh. "China Wants to Run Your Internet." Foreign Policy. August 25, 2023.

Is the era of zero interest rates gone for good?

Frankel, Jeffrey. "Is the era of zero interest rates gone for good?" The Guardian, August 17, 2023.

Productivity Variation and Input Misallocation: Evidence from Hospitals

Chandra, Amitabh, Carrie H. Colla, and Jonathan S. Skinner. "Productivity Variation and Input Misallocation: Evidence from Hospitals." 糖心vlog官网 Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP23-024, August 2023.

The Reversal Problem: Development Going Backwards

Olaberria, Eduardo, and Carmen Reinhart. "The Reversal Problem: Development Going Backwards." Credibility of Emerging Markets, Foreign Investors' Risk Perceptions, and Capital Flows. Ed. 脕lvaro Aguirre, Andr茅s Fern谩ndez, and Sebnem Kalemli-脰zcan. Central Bank of Chile, 2023, 301-314.

Is the US Economy Headed for a Soft Landing?

Frankel, Jeffrey. "Is the US Economy Headed for a Soft Landing?" Project Syndicate, July 17, 2023.

Changes in Racial Gaps in Retirement Security over Time

Dynan, Karen, and Douglas Elmendorf. "Changes in Racial Gaps in Retirement Security over Time." Wharton Pension Research Council Working Paper Series, July 2023.

Investment versus Output Subsidies: Implications of Alternative Incentives for Wind Energy

Aldy, Joseph, Todd D. Gerarden, and Richard L. Sweeney. "Investment versus Output Subsidies: Implications of Alternative Incentives for Wind Energy." Journal of the Association of Environmental and Resource Economists 10.4 (July 2023): 981-1018.

Ethics Inside the Black Box: Integrating Science and Technology Studies into Engineering and Public Policy Curricula

Lawrence, Christopher, Sheila Jasanoff, Sam Weiss Evans, Keith Raffel, and L. Mahadevan. "Ethics Inside the Black Box: Integrating Science and Technology Studies into Engineering and Public Policy Curricula." Science and Engineering Ethics 29.4 (August 2023).

America鈥檚 Mythical Fiscal Conservatives

Frankel, Jeffrey. "America鈥檚 Mythical Fiscal Conservatives." Project Syndicate, June 16, 2023.

High-resolution U.S. methane emissions inferred from an inversion of 2019 TROPOMI satellite data: contributions from individual states, urban areas, and landfills

Nesser, Hannah, Daniel J. Jacob, Joannes D. Maasakkers, Alba Lorente, Zichong Chen, Xiao Lu, Lu Shen, Zhen Qu, Melissa P. Sulprizio, Margaux Winter, Shuang Ma, A. Anthony Bloom, John R. Worden, Robert N. Stavins, and Cynthia A. Randles. "High-resolution U.S. methane emissions inferred from an inversion of 2019 TROPOMI satellite data: contributions from individual states, urban areas, and landfills." EGUsphere [preprint] (June 13, 2023).

Behind schedule: The corporate effort to fulfill climate obligations

Aldy, Joseph, Patrick Bolton, Marcin Kacperczyk, and Zachery M. Halem. "Behind schedule: The corporate effort to fulfill climate obligations." Journal of Applied Corporate Finance 35.2 (Spring 2023): 26-34.

Reevaluating the Role of Race and Ethnicity in Diabetes Screening

Coots, Madison, Soroush Saghafian, David Kent, and Sharad Goel. "Reevaluating the Role of Race and Ethnicity in Diabetes Screening." June 2023.

Dollar Rivals

Frankel, Jeffrey. "Dollar Rivals." 糖心vlog官网 Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP23-015, June 2023.

What Can Economics Say about Alzheimer's Disease?

Chandra, Amitabh, Courtney Coile, and Corina Mommaerts. "What Can Economics Say about Alzheimer's Disease?" Journal of Economic Literature 61.2 (June 2023): 428-470.

Physician-Driven Early Evaluation: Encounters Seen in a Vertical Model

Hodgson, Nicole R., Soroush Saghafian, Molly C. Klanderman, Andrej Urumov, Stephen J. Traub. "Physician-Driven Early Evaluation: Encounters Seen in a Vertical Model." Journal of Emergency Medicine Reports 2.2 (June 2023): 100028.

Who should see the patient? on deviations from preferred patient-provider assignments in hospitals

Atkinson, Mariam K., and Soroush Saghafian. "Who should see the patient? on deviations from preferred patient-provider assignments in hospitals." Health Care Management Science 26.2 (June 2023): 165-199.

Future Conversations 鈥 A Topical Exchange

Borrmann, Vera, Christopher Coenen, Alfred Nordmann, Roberto Cantoni, Sascha Dickel, Christopher Groves, Armin Grunwald, Ben Hurlbut, Sheila Jasanoff, George Khushf, Sebastian Pfotenhauer, Arie Rip, Martin Sand, and Christina Sch眉es. "Future Conversations 鈥 A Topical Exchange." Hermeneutics, History, and Technology: The Call of the Future. Ed. Armin Grunwald, Alfred Nordmann, and Martin Sand. Routledge, 2023.

Technology in the Imagination of Society 鈥 A Conversation

Jasanoff, Sheila, and Alfred Nordmann. "Technology in the Imagination of Society 鈥 A Conversation." Hermeneutics, History, and Technology: The Call of the Future. Ed. Armin Grunwald, Alfred Nordmann, and Martin Sand. Routledge, 2023.

Vertical Patient Streaming in Emergency Departments

Feizi, Arshya, Agni Orfanoudaki, Soroush Saghafian, and Nicole Hodgson. "Vertical Patient Streaming in Emergency Departments." 糖心vlog官网 Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP23-014, May 2023.

Satellite quantification of methane emissions and oil鈥揼as methane intensities from individual countries in the Middle East and North Africa: implications for climate action

Chen, Zichong, Daniel J. Jacob, Ritesh Gautam, Mark Omara, Robert N. Stavins, Robert C. Stowe, Hannah Nesser, Melissa P. Sulprizio, Alba Lorente, Daniel J. Varon, Xiao Lu, Lu Shen, Zhen Qu, Drew C. Pendergrass, and Sarah Hancock. "Satellite quantification of methane emissions and oil鈥揼as methane intensities from individual countries in the Middle East and North Africa: implications for climate action." Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics 23.10 (31 May 2023): 5945-5967.

Impact of Solar Geoengineering on Temperature-Attributable Mortality

Harding, Anthony, David Keith, Wenchang Yang, and Gabriel Vecchi. "Impact of Solar Geoengineering on Temperature-Attributable Mortality." Resources for the Future Working Paper Series, May 30, 2023.

How to Quench the American West鈥檚 Thirst

Frankel, Jeffrey. "How to Quench the American West鈥檚 Thirst." Project Syndicate, May 29, 2023.

Gender gaps in South Korea鈥檚 labour market: children explain most of the gender employment gap, but little of the gender wage gap

Stansbury, Anna, Jacob Funk Kirkegaard, and Karen Dynan. "Gender gaps in South Korea鈥檚 labour market: children explain most of the gender employment gap, but little of the gender wage gap." Applied Economics Letters (May 3, 2023).

Localizing Environmental Regulation: The Case of Boutique Fuels

Aldy, Joseph E., and Maximilian Auffhammer. "Localizing Environmental Regulation: The Case of Boutique Fuels." Resources for the Future, May 2023.

Debt Distress on China's Belt and Road

Horn, Sebastian, Bradley C. Parks, Carmen M. Reinhart, and Christoph Trebesch. "Debt Distress on China's Belt and Road." AEA Papers and Proceedings 113 (May 2023): 131-34.

Rain Follows the Forest: Land Use Policy, Climate Change, and Adaptation

Grosset, Florian, Anna Papp, and Charles A. Taylor. "Rain Follows the Forest: Land Use Policy, Climate Change, and Adaptation." May 2023.

Why is federal spending so hard to cut? 鈥 Recurring debt ceiling fights will only be solved by budget reform

Bilmes, Linda J. "Why is federal spending so hard to cut? 鈥 Recurring debt ceiling fights will only be solved by budget reform." Brookings FixGov, April 27, 2023.

Debt Restructuring for Commodity Exporters

Frankel, Jeffrey. "Debt Restructuring for Commodity Exporters." Project Syndicate, April 25, 2023.

Show and Tell: An Analysis of Corporate Climate Messaging and its Financial Impacts

Aldy, Joseph, Patrick Bolton, Zachery Halem, Marcin T. Kacperczyk, and Peter R. Orszag. "Show and Tell: An Analysis of Corporate Climate Messaging and its Financial Impacts." April 22, 2023.

AI for the People: The Use of AI to Improve Government Performance

Fagan, Mark. "AI for the People: The Use of AI to Improve Government Performance." M-RCBG Faculty Working Paper Series, April 2023.

Exchange Rate Volatility and Monetary Policy

Ilzetzki, Ethan, Carmen Reinhart, and Kenneth Rogoff. "Exchange Rate Volatility and Monetary Policy." Vox EU, April 4, 2023.

Achieving Universal Health Insurance Coverage in the United States: Addressing Market Failures or Providing a Social Floor?

Baicker, Katherine, Amitabh Chandra, and Mark Shepard. "Achieving Universal Health Insurance Coverage in the United States: Addressing Market Failures or Providing a Social Floor?" Journal of Economic Perspectives 37.2 (Spring 2023): 99-122.