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Delivery worker wearing a medical mask and carrying packages.
Feature: The Impact of State Paid Sick Leave Laws on Service Workers

Daniel Schneider finds that state paid sick leave laws increased service workers’ access to paid sick leave and reduced the share of service workers who worked while sick.

A family with a father, mother, and two small children walking on a dirt path.
Feature: Connecting Absolute and Relative Intergenerational Mobility

Deirdre Bloome offers two frameworks for understanding the relationship between types of intergenerational mobility, or whether people are socioeconomically better off than their parents.

Two women in rural India dressed colorfully and carrying baskets on their heads.
Feature: Studying a Government Program to Support Women’s Self-Help Groups

Michael Walton explores the interactions between state and society in rural India within a major community-based development program, finding two major tensions.

A network of computer motherboards and other parts assembled to look like a miniature city.
Feature: The Data-Informed City

Jorrit de Jong presents a comprehensive framework for how cities can use data to address problems more effectively, efficiently, equitably, and with better accountability.

Harvard Kennedy School faculty disseminate their research in working publications and papers that contribute to public knowledge and fuel policy innovation. This list features recent faculty publications, including journal articles, books, edited volumes, research papers, and public testimony.

Faculty Publications

China as an International Lender of Last Resort

Horn, Sebastian, Bradley C. Parks, Carmen M. Reinhart, and Cristoph Trebesch. "China as an International Lender of Last Resort." World Bank Policy Research Working Paper Series, March 2023.

Fifty Years of Floating Currencies

Frankel, Jeffrey. "Fifty Years of Floating Currencies." Project Syndicate, March 20, 2023.

Public institutions and support for climate funding

Bilmes, Linda, Mauricio Rodas, Geraldine Fraser-Moleketi, Devon Rowe, Aminata Touré, and Lan Xue. "Public institutions and support for climate funding." United Nations ECOSOC, March 16. 2023.

Estimation of Nonlinear Exchange Rate Dynamics in Evolving Regimes

Frankel, Jeffrey A., Yao Hou, and Danxia Xie. "Estimation of Nonlinear Exchange Rate Dynamics in Evolving Regimes." March 2023.

Irrigation and Climate Change: Long-run Adaptation and its Externalities

Taylor, Charles A. "Irrigation and Climate Change: Long-run Adaptation and its Externalities." March 2023.

The Crusade to Ban ESG Makes No Sense

Frankel, Jeffrey. "The Crusade to Ban ESG Makes No Sense." Project Syndicate, February 24, 2023.

A Different Framework to Achieve Universal Coverage in the US

Baicker, Katherine, Amitabh Chandra, and Mark Shepard. "A Different Framework to Achieve Universal Coverage in the US." JAMA Health Forum 4.2 (February 2023): e230187.

Concerns about Patient Access to Biopharmaceuticals and Outcomes

Chandra, Amitabh, and Jay V. Patel. "Concerns about Patient Access to Biopharmaceuticals and Outcomes." NEJM Catalyst Innovations in Care Delivery 4.2 (February 2023).

Joint patient selection and scheduling under no-shows: Theory and application in proton therapy

Saghafian, Soroush, Nikolaos Trichakis, Ruihao Zhu, and Helen A. Shih. "Joint patient selection and scheduling under no-shows: Theory and application in proton therapy." Production and Operations Management 32.2 (February 2023): 547-563.

I helped balance the federal budget in the 1990s – here’s just how hard it will be for the GOP to achieve that same rare feat

Bilmes, Linda J. "I helped balance the federal budget in the 1990s – here’s just how hard it will be for the GOP to achieve that same rare feat." The Conversation, February 1, 2023.

Can Inclusionary Zoning Be an Effective Housing Policy in Greater Boston? Evidence from Lynn and Revere

Mock, Rozalyn, Megan Willis-Jackson, Bobby Wang, Justin de Benedictis-Kessner, Linda Bilmes, and Brian Iammartino. "Can Inclusionary Zoning Be an Effective Housing Policy in Greater Boston? Evidence from Lynn and Revere." ÌÇÐÄvlog¹ÙÍø Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP23-006, January 2023.

Biden Should let the Game of Debt Ceiling Chicken Play Out

Frankel, Jeffrey. "Biden Should let the Game of Debt Ceiling Chicken Play Out." Los Angeles Times, January 19, 2023.

Achieving Universal Health Insurance Coverage in the United States: Addressing Market Failures or Providing a Social Floor?

Baicker, Katherine, Amitabh Chandra, and Mark Shepard. "Achieving Universal Health Insurance Coverage in the United States: Addressing Market Failures or Providing a Social Floor?" ÌÇÐÄvlog¹ÙÍø Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP23-003, January 2023.

Are Hospital Quality Indicators Causal?

Chandra, Amitabh, Maurice Dalton, and Douglas O. Staiger. "Are Hospital Quality Indicators Causal?" NBER Working Paper Series, October 2023.

Three Key Issues for Post-pandemic Monetary Policy

Summers, Lawrence H. "Three Key Issues for Post-pandemic Monetary Policy." Cato Policy Report, November/December 2022.

Predictions that global economy is heading
for a recession are premature

Frankel, Jeffrey A. "Predictions that global economy is heading for a recession are premature." The Guardian, December 29, 2022.

Estimation of Nonlinear Exchange Rate Dynamics in Evolving Regimes

Frankel, Jeffrey A., Yao Hou, and Danxia Xie. "Estimation of Nonlinear Exchange Rate Dynamics in Evolving Regimes." December 2022.

Regional and Racial Variation in Health Care among Medicare Beneficiaries: A Brief Report of the Dartmouth Atlas Project

Fisher, Elliott S., David C. Goodman, and Amitabh Chandra. "Regional and Racial Variation in Health Care among Medicare Beneficiaries: A Brief Report of the Dartmouth Atlas Project." The Dartmouth Institute for Health Policy and Clinical Practice, Lebanon (NH), December 2022.

How to save the WTO with more flexible trading rules

Lawrence, Robert Z. "How to save the WTO with more flexible trading rules." Peterson Institute for International Economics Policy Briefs, December 2022.

Understanding the Opioid Epidemic: Human-Based Versus Algorithmic-Based Perceptions, Treatments, and Guidelines

Boloori, Alireza, Soroush Saghafian, and Stephen J. Traub. "Understanding the Opioid Epidemic: Human-Based Versus Algorithmic-Based Perceptions, Treatments, and Guidelines." ÌÇÐÄvlog¹ÙÍø Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP22-026, December 2022.

Algorithm, Human, or the Centaur: How to Enhance Clinical Care?

Orfanoudaki, Agni, Soroush Saghafian, Karen Song, Harini A. Chakkera, and Curtiss B. Cook. "Algorithm, Human, or the Centaur: How to Enhance Clinical Care?" ÌÇÐÄvlog¹ÙÍø Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP22-027, December 2022.

Regulatory Incentives for Innovation:
The FDA's Breakthrough Therapy
Designation

Chandra, Amitabh, Jennifer Kao, Kathleen L. Miller and Ariel D. Stern. "Regulatory Incentives for Innovation: The FDA's Breakthrough Therapy Designation." ÌÇÐÄvlog¹ÙÍø Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP22-024, December 2022.

Designing for Community Engagement: Toward More Equitable Civic Participation in the Federal Regulatory Process

Gilman, Hollie Russon, Archon Fung, and Mark Schmitt. "Designing for Community Engagement: Toward More Equitable Civic Participation in the Federal Regulatory Process." Ash Center for Democratic Governance and Innovation; New America, December 2021.

The Contribution of Price Growth to Pharmaceutical Revenue Growth in the U.S.: Evidence from Medicines Sold in Retail Pharmacies

Kakani, Pragya, Michael Chernew and Amitabh Chandra. "The Contribution of Price Growth to Pharmaceutical Revenue Growth in the U.S.: Evidence from Medicines Sold in Retail Pharmacies." Journal of Health Politics, Policy and Law 47.6 (December 2022): 629-648.

Have trade agreements been bad for America?

Wolff, Alan Wm., Robert Z. Lawrence, and Gary Clyde Hufbauer. "Have trade agreements been bad for America?" Peterson Institute for International Economics Policy Briefs, December 2022.

Let the WTO Referee Carbon Border Taxes

Frankel, Jeffrey A. "Let the WTO Referee Carbon Border Taxes." Project Syndicate, November 29, 2022.

Analytical models for the design of photophoretically levitating macroscopic sensors in the stratosphere

Schafer, Benjamin C., Jong-hyoung Kim, Joost J. Vlassak, and David W. Keith. "Analytical models for the design of photophoretically levitating macroscopic sensors in the stratosphere." November 2022.

Who Should See the Patient? On Deviations from Preferred Patient-Provider Assignments in Hospitals

Atkinson, Mariam K., and Soroush Saghafian. "Who Should See the Patient? On Deviations from Preferred Patient-Provider Assignments in Hospitals." ÌÇÐÄvlog¹ÙÍø Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP19-037, November 2022.

The World’s Best-Kept Financial Inclusion Secret Revealed: The Untold Success Story of BRI Microbanking Since 1895

Rosengard, Jay K. "The World’s Best-Kept Financial Inclusion Secret Revealed: The Untold Success Story of BRI Microbanking Since 1895." Ash Center Policy Briefs Series, November 2022.

The Discontents of Truth & Trust in 21st Century America

Jasanoff, Sheila. "The Discontents of Truth & Trust in 21st Century America." Daedalus 151.4 (Fall 2022): 25-42.

The performance of PPP and publicly procured road projects: evidence from India

Deep, Akash, Mojahedul Islam Nayyer, and Thillai Rajan A. "The performance of PPP and publicly procured road projects: evidence from India." Assessing the Performance Advantage of Public-Private Partnerships. Ed. Stefan Verweij, Ingmar van Meerkerk, and Carter Casady. Edward Elgar, 2022, 156-183.

Ultralight and ultra-stiff nano-cardboard panels: mechanical analysis, characterization, and design principles

Kim, Jong-hyoung, Lishuai Jin, Benjamin C. Schafer, Quan Jiao, Katia Bertoldi, David W. Keith, and Joost J. Vlassak. "Ultralight and ultra-stiff nano-cardboard panels: mechanical analysis, characterization, and design principles." November 2022.

The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on young children and their caregivers

Costa, Priscila, Andréia Cascaes Cruz, Annelise Alves, Martinez Calazans Rodrigues, and Ronald Ferguson. "The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on young children and their caregivers." Child: care, health and development 48.6 (November 2022): 1001-1007.

How Is the US Pricing Carbon? How Could We Price Carbon?

Aldy, Joseph E., Dallas Burtraw, Carolyn Fischer, Meredith Fowlie, Roberton C. Williams III & Maureen L. Cropper. "How Is the US Pricing Carbon? How Could We Price Carbon?" ÌÇÐÄvlog¹ÙÍø Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP22-018, October 2022.

Chapter 13: Economists' analyses of technological change

Scherer, F.M. "Chapter 13: Economists' analyses of technological change." Elgar Encyclopedia on the Economics of Knowledge and Innovation. Ed. Cristiano Antonelli. Elgar, 2022, 115-119.

Hospital Allocation and Racial Disparities in Health Care

Chandra, Amitabh, Pragya Kakani, and Adam Sacarny. "Hospital Allocation and Racial Disparities in Health Care." Review of Economics and Statistics (September 2022): 1-39.

What to Expect from the 20th Congress of the Chinese Communist Party

Saich, Anthony. "What to Expect from the 20th Congress of the Chinese Communist Party." Ash Center Policy Briefs Series, September 2022.

China’s overseas lending and the war in Ukraine

Horn, Sebastian, Carmen M. Reinhart, and Christoph Trebesch. "China’s overseas lending and the war in Ukraine." Global Economic Consequences of the War in Ukraine: Sanctions, Supply Chains and Sustainability. Ed. Luis Garicano, Dominic Rohner, and Beatrice Weder di Mauro. CEPR Press, September 2022.

Martin Weitzman: A Gift That Keeps on Giving

Stavins, Robert N., and Gernot Wagner. "Martin Weitzman: A Gift That Keeps on Giving." Journal of the Association of Environmental and Resource Economists 9.5 (September 2022): 843-850.

The Welfare Implications of Carbon Price Certainty

Aldy, Joseph E., and Sarah Armitage. "The Welfare Implications of Carbon Price Certainty." Journal of the Association of Environmental and Resource Economists 9.5 (September 2022): 843-1046.

How is the U.S. Pricing Carbon? How Could We Price Carbon?

Aldy, Joseph E., Dallas Burtraw, Carolyn Fischer, Meredith Fowlie, Roberton C. Williams III, and Maureen L. Cropper. "How is the U.S. Pricing Carbon? How Could We Price Carbon?" Journal of Benefit-Cost Analysis 13.3 (Fall 2022): 310-334.

The 1968 Influenza Pandemic and COVID-19 Outcomes

Taylor, Charles A., Christopher Boulos, and Matthew J. Memoli. "The 1968 Influenza Pandemic and COVID-19 Outcomes." September 2022.

Availability of New Medicines in the US and Germany From 2004 to 2018

Blankart, Katharina, Huseyin Naci, and Amitabh Chandra. "Availability of New Medicines in the US and Germany From 2004 to 2018." JAMA Network Open 5.8 (August 30, 2022): e2229231.

The Evolving Role of Greenhouse Gas Emission Offsets in Combating Climate Change

Aldy, Joseph E., and Zachery M. Halem. "The Evolving Role of Greenhouse Gas Emission Offsets in Combating Climate Change." ÌÇÐÄvlog¹ÙÍø Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP22-011, August 2022.

Why Commodity Prices Are Likely to Fall Further

Frankel, Jeffrey A. "Why Commodity Prices Are Likely to Fall Further." Project Syndicate, August 23, 2022.

Learning How to Build Back Better through Clean Energy Policy Evaluation

Aldy, Joseph. "Learning How to Build Back Better through Clean Energy Policy Evaluation." ÌÇÐÄvlog¹ÙÍø Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP22-010, August 2022.

Comparing Past and Present Inflation

Bolhuis, Marijn A., Judd N. L. Cramer, and Lawrence H. Summers. "Comparing Past and Present Inflation." Review of Finance 26.5 (September 2022): 1073-1100.

The Coming Rise in Residential Inflation

Bolhuis, Marijn A., Judd N. L. Cramer, and Lawrence H. Summers. "The Coming Rise in Residential Inflation." Review of Finance 26.5 (September 2022): 1051-1072.

The Aftermath of Debt Surges

Kose, M. Ayhan, Franziska L. Ohnsorge, Carmen M. Reinhart, and Kenneth S. Rogoff. "The Aftermath of Debt Surges." Annual Review of Economics 14.1 (August 2022): 637-663.

The Quants in the Room: How Much Power Do Economists Really Have?

Furman, Jason. "The Quants in the Room: How Much Power Do Economists Really Have?" Review of by Thinking Like an Economist: How Efficiency Replaced Equality in US. Public Policy. ed. Elizabeth Popp Berman. Foreign Affairs, 101.4, 2022: 182-189.