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The White House lawn on a sunny day.
Feature: Is DOGE Sure It Wants to Fire These People?

Juliette Kayyem examines the negative effects that Elon Musks’s Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) could have on the safety of everyday Americans.

River running through a densely populated area.
Feature: Private Benefits from Public Investment in Climate Resilience

Joseph Aldy finds that governmental construction of levees, which enhance resilience to flood risks amplified by climate change, increases home values by 3-4 percent.

Person sits on a bed holding a check.
Feature: Assessing Government Outreach to Bolster Benefits Take-Up

Elizabeth Linos finds that light-touch interventions significantly, consistently, and cost-effectively increase benefits take-up among low-income households, while higher-touch proactive outreach yields minimal additional take-up.

Black family happily sits on the grass in a park.
Feature: Excess Mortality Rate in U.S. Black Children Since 1950

Soroush Saghafian finds that 5 million excess deaths of Black Americans, including over 500,000 infants, could have been avoided over the past 70 years if their mortality rates were equal to those of White Americans.

Harvard Kennedy School faculty disseminate their research in working publications and papers that contribute to public knowledge and fuel policy innovation. This list features recent faculty publications, including journal articles, books, edited volumes, research papers, and public testimony.

Faculty Publications

The global distribution of authorship in economics journals

Aigner, Ernest, Jacob Greenspan, and Dani Rodrik. "The global distribution of authorship in economics journals." World Development 189 (May 2025): 106926.

Measuring Human Leadership Skills with AI Agents

Weidmann, Ben, Yixian Xu, and David Deming. "Measuring Human Leadership Skills with AI Agents." NBER Working Paper Series, April 2025.

Measuring Human Leadership Skills with AI Agents

Weidmann, Ben, Yixian Xu, and David J. Deming. "Measuring Human Leadership Skills with AI Agents." NBER Working Paper Series, April 2025.

The Post-Neoliberal Delusion And the Tragedy of Bidenomics

Furman, Jason. "The Post-Neoliberal Delusion And the Tragedy of Bidenomics." Foreign Affairs, March/April 2025.

Sanctions on Venezuela are not Driving Migration to the US Southwest Border: An Empirical Assessment

Bahar, Dany, and Ricardo Hausmann. "Sanctions on Venezuela are not Driving Migration to the US Southwest Border: An Empirical Assessment." Center for Global Development Note, March 24, 2025.

Ten Consequential and Actionable ‘Social’ Contributions to the Theory, Practice, and Evaluation of Development

Rao, Vijayendra, and Michael Woolcock. "Ten Consequential and Actionable ‘Social’ Contributions to the Theory, Practice, and Evaluation of Development." World Bank Policy Research Working Paper Series, March 19, 2025.

Technology, Policy, Jobs; Multilateralism: Geopolitics, Governance, and the Global Commons

Lawrence, Robert Z., and Homi Kharas. "Technology, Policy, Jobs; Multilateralism: Geopolitics, Governance, and the Global Commons." Navigating Challenges for Sustainable Growth. Ed. Suman Bery, Kapil Kapoor, and Jean-Louis Arcand. Singapore: Springer, 2025.

Where Have All the Good Jobs Gone? Changes in the Geography of Work in the US, 1980-2021

Hanson, Gordon, and Enrico Moretti. "Where Have All the Good Jobs Gone? Changes in the Geography of Work in the US, 1980-2021." NBER Working Paper Series, March 2025.

De facto Openness to Immigration

Nedelkoska, Ljubica, Diego Martin, Alexia Lochmann, Ricardo Hausmann, Dany Bahar, and Muhammed A. Yildirim. "De facto Openness to Immigration." February 2025.

Displaced Learners: Early Integration of Ukrainian Refugee Students into Italy’s Schools

Carlana, Michela, Pauline Castaing, Mauro Testaverde, and Marco Tiberti. "Displaced Learners: Early Integration of Ukrainian Refugee Students into Italy’s Schools." World Bank Policy Research Working Paper Series, February 2025.

The U.S. Place-Based Policy Supply Chain

Hanson, Gordon H., Dani Rodrik, and Rohan Sandhu. "The U.S. Place-Based Policy Supply Chain." NBER Working Paper Series, February 2025.

Vanguard: Black Veterans and Civil Rights after World War I

Ang, Desmond and Sahil Chinoy. "Vanguard: Black Veterans and Civil Rights after World War I." NBER Working Paper Series, February 2025.

Investigator racial diversity and clinical trial participation

Alsan, Marcella, Romaine A. Campbell, Lukas Leister, and Ayotomiwa Ojo. "Investigator racial diversity and clinical trial participation." Journal of Health Economics (January 31, 2025).

Building Capacity to Measure Sustainability: Lessons from scholarship and practice

Harley, Alicia G., and William C. Clark. "Building Capacity to Measure Sustainability: Lessons from scholarship and practice." Sustainability Science Program Working Paper Series, January 29, 2025.

Don’t look to efficiency for big deficit reductions

Dynan, Karen, and Doug Elmendorf. "Don’t look to efficiency for big deficit reductions." What awaits the Department of Government Efficiency? ÌÇÐÄvlog¹ÙÍø experts on prospects for a radical new initiative, January 15, 2025.

Community Targeting at Scale

Sumarto, Sudarno, Elan Satriawan, Benjamin A. Olken, Abhijit Banerjee, Achmad Tohari, Vivi Alatas, and Rema Hanna. "Community Targeting at Scale." NBER Working Paper Series, January 2025.

Mean Reversion in Randomized Controlled Trials: Implications for Program Targeting and Heterogeneous Treatment Effects

Alsan, Marcella, John Cawley, Joseph J. Doyle Jr., and Nicholas Skelley. "Mean Reversion in Randomized Controlled Trials: Implications for Program Targeting and Heterogeneous Treatment Effects." NBER Working Paper Series, January 2025.

Trading Places: Mobility Responses of Native- and Foreign-Born Adults to the China Trade Shock

Autor, David, David Dorn, and Gordon Hanson. "Trading Places: Mobility Responses of Native- and Foreign-Born Adults to the China Trade Shock." ILR Review 78.1 (January 2025): 10-36.

The Hidden Health Care Crisis Behind Bars: A Randomized Trial to Accredit U.S. Jails

Alsan, Marcella, and Crystal Yang. "The Hidden Health Care Crisis Behind Bars: A Randomized Trial to Accredit U.S. Jails." NBER Working Paper Series, January 2025.

Places versus People: The Ins and Outs of Labor Market Adjustment to Globalization

Autor, David, David Dorn, Gordon Hanson, Maggie R. Jones, and Bradley Setzler. "Places versus People: The Ins and Outs of Labor Market Adjustment to Globalization." Center for Economic Studies (CES) Working Paper Series, December 2024.

GDP as a Measure of Economic Well-Being

Dynan, Karen, and Louise Sheiner. "GDP as a Measure of Economic Well-Being." The Measure of Economies: Measuring Productivity in an Age of Technological Change. Ed. Reinsdorf, Marshall B. and Louise Sheiner. Chicago: The University of Chicago Press, 2024.

Fiscal policy and the pandemic-era surge in US inflation: Lessons for the future

Dynan, Karen, and Douglas Elmendorf. "Fiscal policy and the pandemic-era surge in US inflation: Lessons for the future." Understanding the COVID Era Inflation, Peterson Institute for International Economics, December 2024.

Why Doesn’t The United States Have National Health Insurance? The Role Of The American Medical Association

Alsan, Marcella, and Yousra Neberai. "Why Doesn’t The United States Have National Health Insurance? The Role Of The American Medical Association." 11/28/2024.

Publication: Reconciling Multi-Level Rights-Based Commitments in Development: Assessing the Legal and Administrative Imperatives of Responding to Education, Health Care, and Environment Protection Cha

Narh, Bernice Nuerkey, and Woolcock, Michael. "Publication: Reconciling Multi-Level Rights-Based Commitments in Development: Assessing the Legal and Administrative Imperatives of Responding to Education, Health Care, and Environment Protection Challenges." World Bank Policy Research Working Paper Series, 11/22/2024.

Trump’s threat to American democracy

Norris, Pippa. "Trump’s threat to American democracy." U.S. Election Analysis 2024: Media, Voters and the Campaign. Ed. Daniel Jackson et al. Bournmouth: University of Bournmouth, 2024.

Can Chile Escape an Inequality Trap? …And Why It Matters for Long-Term Development and Growth

Lecaros, Ignacia, Daniela Paz Cruzat, Ricardo Pommer Muñoz, Pablo Tillan, and Michael Walton. "Can Chile Escape an Inequality Trap? …And Why It Matters for Long-Term Development and Growth." RWP24-008, November 2024.

Racial health disparities in the United States

Alsan, Marcella, Katherine Ianni, and Graeme Peterson. "Racial health disparities in the United States." Oxford Review of Economic Policy 40.3 (Autumn 2024): 498-517.

Technological Disruption in the US Labor Market

Deming, David, Christopher Ong, and Lawrence Summers. "Technological Disruption in the US Labor Market." Strengthening America’s Economic Dynamism. Ed. Melissa S. Kearney and Luke Pardue. Washington, DC: Aspen Institute, 2024.

Willingness-To-Pay vs Administrative Hurdles: Understanding Barriers to Social Insurance Enrollment in Thailand

Olken, Benjamin A., Rema Hanna, Phitawat Poonpolkul, and Nada Wasi. "Willingness-To-Pay vs Administrative Hurdles: Understanding Barriers to Social Insurance Enrollment in Thailand." Puey Ungphakorn Institute for Economic Research Discussion Paper Series, October 2024.

Health Equity in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election

Alsan, Marcella, and Ruqaiijah Yearby. "Health Equity in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election." NEJM (October 2, 2024).

The ABC’s of Who Benefits from Working with AI: Ability, Beliefs, and Calibration

Caplin, Andrew, David J. Deming, Shangwen Li, Daniel J. Martin, Philip Marx, Ben Weidmann, and Kadachi Jiada Ye. "The ABC’s of Who Benefits from Working with AI: Ability, Beliefs, and Calibration." NBER Working Paper Series, October 2024.

How Wyoming’s Exodus of Young Adults Holds Back Economic Diversification

Protzer, Eric, Thao-Nguyên Bùi, Tim Freeman, Ricardo Hausmann, Sophia Henn, Farah Kaddah, Lucas Lamby, Tim O’Brien, Alejandro Rueda-Sanz, and Ricardo Villasmil. "How Wyoming’s Exodus of Young Adults Holds Back Economic Diversification." Growth Lab Working Paper Series, October 2024.

International Lending in War and Peace

Horn, Sebastian, Carmen M. Reinhart, and Chrisoph Trebesch. "International Lending in War and Peace." October 2024.

Skills and Human Capital in the Labor Market

Deming, David, and Mikko I. Silliman. "Skills and Human Capital in the Labor Market." NBER Working Paper Series, September 2024.

The Rapid Adoption of Generative AI

Bick, Alexander, Adam Blandin, and David J. Deming. "The Rapid Adoption of Generative AI." NBER Working Paper Series, September 2024.

Global Trends in Innovation Patterns: A Complexity Approach

Chacua, Christian, Shreyas Gadgin Matha, Matte Hartog, Ricardo Hausmann, and Muhammed A. Yildirim. "Global Trends in Innovation Patterns: A Complexity Approach." Growth Lab Working Paper Series, September 2024.

Innovation Policies Under Economic Complexity

Chacua, Christian, Shreyas Gadgin Matha, Matte Hartog, Ricardo Hausmann, and Muhammed A. Yildirim. "Innovation Policies Under Economic Complexity." Growth Lab Working Paper Series, September 2024.

Inclusive Teaching: Spotting Social Isolation in the Classroom

Alan, Sule, Michela Carlana, and Marinella Leone. "Inclusive Teaching: Spotting Social Isolation in the Classroom." NBER Working Paper Series, September 2024.

Review of The Resilient Society

Furman, Jason. Review of The Resilient Society, by Markus K. Brunnermeier. Journal of Economic Literature, 62.3, September 2024: 1258-1259.

A Learning Agenda for Community-Driven Development: Responding to Complex Contextual, Evaluation, and Inference Challenges

Barron, Patrick John, Patricia Maria Fernendes, Stephen Joseph Winkler, and Michael Woolcock. "A Learning Agenda for Community-Driven Development: Responding to Complex Contextual, Evaluation, and Inference Challenges." World Bank Policy Research Working Paper, 08/27/2024.

What Data-Rich Assessments of Socioeconomic Inequality and Mobility in Rich Countries Overlook in Poor Countries

Van Der Weide, Roy, and Michael Woolcock. "What Data-Rich Assessments of Socioeconomic Inequality and Mobility in Rich Countries Overlook in Poor Countries." World Bank Policy Research Working Paper Series, 08/27/2024.

Finance Goes to Hollywood

Frankel, Jeffrey. "Finance Goes to Hollywood." Project Syndicate, August 23, 2024.

Behind the Curve: Can Manufacturing Still Provide Inclusive Growth?

Lawrence, Robert Z. Behind the Curve: Can Manufacturing Still Provide Inclusive Growth? Peterson Institute for International Economics, 2024.

Why Are Stocks, Gold, and the Dollar Surging?

Frankel, Jeffrey. "Why Are Stocks, Gold, and the Dollar Surging?" Project Syndicate, July 24, 2024.

Showcasing advances and building community in modeling for sustainability

Selin, Noelle E., Amanda Giang, and William C. Clark. "Showcasing advances and building community in modeling for sustainability." PNAS 121.29 (July 16, 2024): e2215689121.

Diagnosing Wyoming's Workforce Challenges

Lamby, Lucas, Sophia Henn, Tim O’Brien, and Ricardo Hausmann. "Diagnosing Wyoming's Workforce Challenges." Growth Lab Working Paper Series, July 2024.

Lawrence F. Katz (1959–)

Autor, David, and David Deming. "Lawrence F. Katz (1959–)." The Palgrave Companion to Harvard Economics. Ed. Cord, Robert A.. Palgrave Macmillan, 2024.

Alberto Alesina (1957–2020)

Favero, Carlo, Francesco Giavazzi, Paola Giuliano, Eliana La Ferrara, and Guido Tabellini. "Alberto Alesina (1957–2020)." The Palgrave Companion to Harvard Economics. Ed. Cord, R.A.. Palgrave Macmillan, 2024.

Servicing Development: Productive Upgrading of Labor-Absorbing Services in Developing Economies

Rodrik, Dani and Rohan Sandhu. "Servicing Development: Productive Upgrading of Labor-Absorbing Services in Developing Economies." July 2024.

How Do You Find a Good Manager?

Weidmann, Ben, Joseph Vecci, Farah Said, David J. Deming, and Sonia R. Bhalotra. "How Do You Find a Good Manager?" July 2024.