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Delivery worker wearing a medical mask and carrying packages.
Feature: The Impact of State Paid Sick Leave Laws on Service Workers

Daniel Schneider finds that state paid sick leave laws increased service workers’ access to paid sick leave and reduced the share of service workers who worked while sick.

A family with a father, mother, and two small children walking on a dirt path.
Feature: Connecting Absolute and Relative Intergenerational Mobility

Deirdre Bloome offers two frameworks for understanding the relationship between types of intergenerational mobility, or whether people are socioeconomically better off than their parents.

Two women in rural India dressed colorfully and carrying baskets on their heads.
Feature: Studying a Government Program to Support Women’s Self-Help Groups

Michael Walton explores the interactions between state and society in rural India within a major community-based development program, finding two major tensions.

A network of computer motherboards and other parts assembled to look like a miniature city.
Feature: The Data-Informed City

Jorrit de Jong presents a comprehensive framework for how cities can use data to address problems more effectively, efficiently, equitably, and with better accountability.

Harvard Kennedy School faculty disseminate their research in working publications and papers that contribute to public knowledge and fuel policy innovation. This list features recent faculty publications, including journal articles, books, edited volumes, research papers, and public testimony.

Faculty Publications

Estimation of Nonlinear Exchange Rate Dynamics in Evolving Regimes

Frankel, Jeffrey A., Yao Hou, and Danxia Xie. "Estimation of Nonlinear Exchange Rate Dynamics in Evolving Regimes." December 2022.

America Needs More Immigration to Defeat Inflation

Hanson, Gordon H., and Matthew J. Slaughter. "America Needs More Immigration to Defeat Inflation." Foreign Affairs (December 19, 2022).

How to save the WTO with more flexible trading rules

Lawrence, Robert Z. "How to save the WTO with more flexible trading rules." Peterson Institute for International Economics Policy Briefs, December 2022.

Shaping gender-stereotypical beliefs: the role of parents and peers

Carlana, Michela, and Lucia Corno. "Shaping gender-stereotypical beliefs: the role of parents and peers." IFS Working Paper Series, December 2022.

Using Neural Networks to Predict Microspatial Economic Growth

Khachiyan, Arman, Anthony Thomas, Huye Zhou, Gordon Hanson, Alex Cloninger, Tajana Rosing, and Amit K. Khandelwal. "Using Neural Networks to Predict Microspatial Economic Growth." American Economic Review: Insights 4.4 (December 2022): 491-506.

Have trade agreements been bad for America?

Wolff, Alan Wm., Robert Z. Lawrence, and Gary Clyde Hufbauer. "Have trade agreements been bad for America?" Peterson Institute for International Economics Policy Briefs, December 2022.

Interaction, Stereotypes, and Performance: Evidence from South Africa

Corno, Lucia, Eliana La Ferrara, and Justine Burns. "Interaction, Stereotypes, and Performance: Evidence from South Africa." American Economic Review 112.12 (December 2022): 3848-3875.

Let the WTO Referee Carbon Border Taxes

Frankel, Jeffrey A. "Let the WTO Referee Carbon Border Taxes." Project Syndicate, November 29, 2022.

US Immigration from Latin America in Historical Perspective

Hanson, Gordon H., Pia Orrenius, and Madeline Zavodny. "US Immigration from Latin America in Historical Perspective." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP22-023, November 2022.

The World’s Best-Kept Financial Inclusion Secret Revealed: The Untold Success Story of BRI Microbanking Since 1895

Rosengard, Jay K. "The World’s Best-Kept Financial Inclusion Secret Revealed: The Untold Success Story of BRI Microbanking Since 1895." Ash Center Policy Briefs Series, November 2022.

The performance of PPP and publicly procured road projects: evidence from India

Deep, Akash, Mojahedul Islam Nayyer, and Thillai Rajan A. "The performance of PPP and publicly procured road projects: evidence from India." Assessing the Performance Advantage of Public-Private Partnerships. Ed. Stefan Verweij, Ingmar van Meerkerk, and Carter Casady. Edward Elgar, 2022, 156-183.

Heterogeneity in School Value-Added and the Private Premium

Andrabi, Tahir, Natalie Bau, Jishnu Das, and Asim Ijaz Khwaja. "Heterogeneity in School Value-Added and the Private Premium." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP22-020, November 2022.

The Impact of Large-Scale Social Media Advertising Campaigns on COVID-19 Vaccination: Evidence from Two Randomized Controlled Trials

Ho, Lisa Y., Emily Breza, Marcella Alsan, Abhijit Banerjee, Arun G. Chandrasekhar, Fatima Cody Stanford, Renato Fior, Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham, Kelly Holland, Emily Hoppe, Louis-Maël Jean, Lucy Ogbu-Nwobodo, Benjamin A. Olken, Carlos Torres, Pierre-Luc Vautrey, Erica Warner, and Esther Duflo. "The Impact of Large-Scale Social Media Advertising Campaigns on COVID-19 Vaccination: Evidence from Two Randomized Controlled Trials." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP22-021, November 2022.

The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on young children and their caregivers

Costa, Priscila, Andréia Cascaes Cruz, Annelise Alves, Martinez Calazans Rodrigues, and Ronald Ferguson. "The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on young children and their caregivers." Child: care, health and development 48.6 (November 2022): 1001-1007.

What Can the Millions of Random Treatments in Nonexperimental Data Reveal About Causes?

Ribeiro, Andre F., Frank Neffke, and Ricardo Hausmann. "What Can the Millions of Random Treatments in Nonexperimental Data Reveal About Causes?" SN Computer Science 3.6 (November 2022): 421.

Collective Reputation in Trade: Evidence from the Chinese Dairy Industry

Bai, Jie, Ludovica Gazze, and Yukun Wang. "Collective Reputation in Trade: Evidence from the Chinese Dairy Industry." The Review of Economics and Statistics 104.6 (November 2022): 1121-1137.

Representation and Extrapolation: Evidence from Clinical Trials

Alsan, Marcella, Maya Durvasula, Harsh Gupta, Joshua Schwartzstein and Heidi L. Williams. "Representation and Extrapolation: Evidence from Clinical Trials." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP22-019, October 2022.

Stand Out from the Millions: Market Congestion and Information Friction on Global E-Commerce Platforms

Bai, Jie, Maggie X. Chen, Jin Liu, Xiaosheng Mu, and Daniel Yi Xu. "Stand Out from the Millions: Market Congestion and Information Friction on Global E-Commerce Platforms." October 18, 2022.

Pro-democracy Organizing against Autocracy in the United States: A Strategic Assessment & Recommendations

Chenoweth, Erica, and Zoe Marks. "Pro-democracy Organizing against Autocracy in the United States: A Strategic Assessment & Recommendations." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP22-017, October 2022.

Overcoming Remoteness in the Peruvian Amazonia: A Growth Diagnostic of Loreto

Hausmann, Ricardo, Miguel Ángel Santos, Frank Muci, Jorge Tudela Pye, Ana Grisanti, and Jessie Lu. "Overcoming Remoteness in the Peruvian Amazonia: A Growth Diagnostic of Loreto." CID Faculty Working Papers Series, October 2022.

Implied comparative advantage

Hausmann, Ricardo, Daniel P. Stock, and Muhammed A. Yildirim. "Implied comparative advantage." Research Policy 51.8 (October 2022): 104143.

A Simple Theory of Economic Development at the Extensive Industry Margin

Diodato, Dario, Ricardo Hausmann, and Ulrich Schetter. "A Simple Theory of Economic Development at the Extensive Industry Margin." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP22-016, September 2022.

In Praise of Skepticism: Trust but Verify

Norris, Pippa. In Praise of Skepticism: Trust but Verify. Oxford University Press, 2022.

What to Expect from the 20th Congress of the Chinese Communist Party

Saich, Anthony. "What to Expect from the 20th Congress of the Chinese Communist Party." Ash Center Policy Briefs Series, September 2022.

China’s overseas lending and the war in Ukraine

Horn, Sebastian, Carmen M. Reinhart, and Christoph Trebesch. "China’s overseas lending and the war in Ukraine." Global Economic Consequences of the War in Ukraine: Sanctions, Supply Chains and Sustainability. Ed. Luis Garicano, Dominic Rohner, and Beatrice Weder di Mauro. CEPR Press, September 2022.

How to Build a Better Order: Limiting Great Power Rivalry in an Anarchic World

Rodrik, Dani, and Stephen Walt. "How to Build a Better Order: Limiting Great Power Rivalry in an Anarchic World." Foreign Affairs 101.5 (September/October 2022): 142-155.

Social Protection in the Developing World

Banerjee, Abhijit, Rema Hanna, Benjamin A. Olken, and Diana Sverdlin-Lisker. "Social Protection in the Developing World." September 2022.

On the Design of Effective Sanctions: The Case of Bans on Exports to Russia

Hausmann, Ricardo, Ulrich Schetter, and Muhammed A. Yildirim. "On the Design of Effective Sanctions: The Case of Bans on Exports to Russia." CID Faculty Working Papers Series, September 2022.

An Industrial Policy for Good Jobs

Rodrik, Dani. "An Industrial Policy for Good Jobs." The Hamilton Project, September 2022.

Building Mass Support for Global Pandemic Recovery Efforts in the United States

Nair, Gautam and Kyle Peyton. "Building Mass Support for Global Pandemic Recovery Efforts in the United States." PNAS Nexus 1.4 (September 2022): 1-9.

Fear and the Safety Net: Evidence from Secure Communities

Alsan, Marcella, and Crystal S. Yang. "Fear and the Safety Net: Evidence from Secure Communities." The Review of Economics and Statistics (September 2022): 1-45.

Why Commodity Prices Are Likely to Fall Further

Frankel, Jeffrey A. "Why Commodity Prices Are Likely to Fall Further." Project Syndicate, August 23, 2022.

Comparing Mass Political Participation in Democratic and Authoritarian Regimes

Norris, Pippa. "Comparing Mass Political Participation in Democratic and Authoritarian Regimes." The Oxford Handbook of Political Participation. Ed. Marco Giugni and Maria Grasso. Oxford University Press, 2022, 858-876.

Democracy in Hard Places

Mainwaring, Scott, and Tarek Masoud, eds. Democracy in Hard Places. Oxford University Press, 2022.

The Aftermath of Debt Surges

Kose, M. Ayhan, Franziska L. Ohnsorge, Carmen M. Reinhart, and Kenneth S. Rogoff. "The Aftermath of Debt Surges." Annual Review of Economics 14.1 (August 2022): 637-663.

Rebuilding the Social Compact: Urban Service Delivery and Property Taxes in Pakistan

Khan, Adnan Qadir, Asim Ijaz Khwaja, Benjamin Olken, and Mahvish Shaukat. "Rebuilding the Social Compact: Urban Service Delivery and Property Taxes in Pakistan." International Growth Center Report, August 2022.

The Quants in the Room: How Much Power Do Economists Really Have?

Furman, Jason. "The Quants in the Room: How Much Power Do Economists Really Have?" Review of by Thinking Like an Economist: How Efficiency Replaced Equality in US. Public Policy. ed. Elizabeth Popp Berman. Foreign Affairs, 101.4, 2022: 182-189.

A Dynamic Model of Nonviolent Resistance Strategy

Chenoweth, Erica, Andrew Hocking, and Zoe Marks. "A Dynamic Model of Nonviolent Resistance Strategy." PLoS ONE 17.7 (July 2022).

The Birth of a Nation: Media and Racial Hate

Ang, Desmond. "The Birth of a Nation: Media and Racial Hate." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP20-038, November 2020 (Updated July 2022).

Challenges in Electoral Integrity

Norris, Pippa. "Challenges in Electoral Integrity." Routledge Handbook of Election Law. Ed. Schultz, David, and Jurij Toplak. Routledge, 2022.

Cancel Toqueville?

Masoud, Tarek. "Cancel Toqueville?" Review of The Man Who Understood Democracy: The Life of Alexis de Tocqueville, by Olivier Zunz. Journal of Democracy, 33.3, July 2022: 172-177.

The New Energy Order: How Governments Will Transform Energy Markets

Bordoff, Jason, and Meghan L. O'Sullivan. "The New Energy Order: How Governments Will Transform Energy Markets." Foreign Affairs 101.4 (July/August 2022): 131-144.

Why gender disparities persist in South Korea’s labor market

Dynan, Karen E., Jacob F. Kirkegaard, and Anna Stansbury. "Why gender disparities persist in South Korea’s labor market." Peterson Institute for International Economics Working Paper Series, July 2022.

The reversal of reproductive rights in America is contrary to global trends. Why? Compared with similar Western democracies, Republican voters are exceptionally socially conservative, religious and au

Norris, Pippa. "The reversal of reproductive rights in America is contrary to global trends. Why? Compared with similar Western democracies, Republican voters are exceptionally socially conservative, religious and authoritarian." USAPP: United States Politics and Policy Blog, June 30, 2022.

Four Facts about Human Capital

Deming, David. "Four Facts about Human Capital." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP22-007, June 2022.

New Normal, New Technologies, New Financing

Ing, Lili Yan, and Dani Rodrik, eds. New Normal, New Technologies, New Financing. ERIA, 2022.

The G20’s Role in Fostering Trade and Investment

Hanson, Gordon. "The G20’s Role in Fostering Trade and Investment." New Normal, New Technology, New Financing. Ed. Ing, Lili Yan, and Dani Rodrik. ERIA and IEA, 2022, 64-75.

Does International Trade Weaken or Strengthen Countries’ Resilience?

Frankel, Jeffrey A. "Does International Trade Weaken or Strengthen Countries’ Resilience?" Project Syndicate, June 20, 2022.

Inflation Isn’t Recession. The Chances of a Downturn Are Lower Than People Think.

Frankel, Jeffrey A. "Inflation Isn’t Recession. The Chances of a Downturn Are Lower Than People Think." Barron's, June 8, 2022.

Innovations in Translation, Advocacy, and Engagement in Global Development

Lewis, David, Dennis Rodgers, and Michael Woolcock. "Innovations in Translation, Advocacy, and Engagement in Global Development." New Mediums, Better Messages? How Innovations in Translation, Engagement and Advocacy are Changing International Development. Ed. David Lewis, Dennis Rodgers, and Michael Woolcock. Oxford University Press, 2022, 1-15.