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The White House lawn on a sunny day.
Feature: Is DOGE Sure It Wants to Fire These People?

Juliette Kayyem examines the negative effects that Elon Musks’s Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) could have on the safety of everyday Americans.

River running through a densely populated area.
Feature: Private Benefits from Public Investment in Climate Resilience

Joseph Aldy finds that governmental construction of levees, which enhance resilience to flood risks amplified by climate change, increases home values by 3-4 percent.

Person sits on a bed holding a check.
Feature: Assessing Government Outreach to Bolster Benefits Take-Up

Elizabeth Linos finds that light-touch interventions significantly, consistently, and cost-effectively increase benefits take-up among low-income households, while higher-touch proactive outreach yields minimal additional take-up.

Black family happily sits on the grass in a park.
Feature: Excess Mortality Rate in U.S. Black Children Since 1950

Soroush Saghafian finds that 5 million excess deaths of Black Americans, including over 500,000 infants, could have been avoided over the past 70 years if their mortality rates were equal to those of White Americans.

Harvard Kennedy School faculty disseminate their research in working publications and papers that contribute to public knowledge and fuel policy innovation. This list features recent faculty publications, including journal articles, books, edited volumes, research papers, and public testimony.

Faculty Publications

A Systematic Review of the 109,119 Voter Registration Drops in Ohio During the Federal Law’s 90-Day Quiet Period

Sweeney, Latanya. "A Systematic Review of the 109,119 Voter Registration Drops in Ohio During the Federal Law’s 90-Day Quiet Period." Technology Science (April 22, 2025): 2025041703.

Measuring Mistakes: A Data-Driven Assessment of Voter List Maintenance and Erroneous Deletions in Ohio’s 2024 Election

Sweeney, Latanya, and Josh Visnaw. "Measuring Mistakes: A Data-Driven Assessment of Voter List Maintenance and Erroneous Deletions in Ohio’s 2024 Election." Technology Science (April 22, 2025).

Efficacy of Text Messaging in Activating Hard-to-Reach Voters in Rhode Island and Ohio

Sweeney, Latanya, and Josh Visnaw. "Efficacy of Text Messaging in Activating Hard-to-Reach Voters in Rhode Island and Ohio." Technology Science (April 22, 2025).

Excess Mortality Rate in Black Children Since 1950 in the United States: A 70-Year Population-Based Study of Racial Inequalities

Paternina-Caicedo, Angel, Oscar Espinosa, Sangini S. Sheth, Nathaniel Hupert, and Soroush Saghafian. "Excess Mortality Rate in Black Children Since 1950 in the United States: A 70-Year Population-Based Study of Racial Inequalities." Annals of Internal Medicine (25 March 2025).

House to vote on budget to prevent shutdown

Elmendorf, Doug. "House to vote on budget to prevent shutdown." LiveNOW on FOX, March 11, 2025.

What does the House-passed budget resolution mean?

Elmendorf, Doug. "What does the House-passed budget resolution mean?" Harvard Kennedy School, March 5, 2025.

Methane Abatement Costs in the Oil and Gas Industry: Survey and Synthesis

Aldy, Joseph E., Forest L. Reinhardt, and Robert N. Stavins. "Methane Abatement Costs in the Oil and Gas Industry: Survey and Synthesis." NBER Working Paper Series, March 2025.

Where Have All the Good Jobs Gone? Changes in the Geography of Work in the US, 1980-2021

Hanson, Gordon, and Enrico Moretti. "Where Have All the Good Jobs Gone? Changes in the Geography of Work in the US, 1980-2021." NBER Working Paper Series, March 2025.

The Impact of City-Led Neighborhood Action on the Coproduction of Neighborhood Quality and Safety in Buffalo, NY

Robb, Katharine, Pablo Uribe, Eleanor Dickens, Ashley Marcoux, Jessica Creighton, and Jorrit de Jong. "The Impact of City-Led Neighborhood Action on the Coproduction of Neighborhood Quality and Safety in Buffalo, NY." International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health 22.3 (March 2025): 341.

Is DOGE Sure It Wants to Fire These People?

Kayyem, Juliette. "Is DOGE Sure It Wants to Fire These People?" The Atlantic, March 1, 2025.

Dynamic Persuasion: Decay and Accumulation of Partisan Media Persuasion

Baum, Matthew A., Adam J. Berinsky, Justin de Benedictis-Kessner, Joohye Jeong, Zachary Markovich, and Teppei Yamamoto. "Dynamic Persuasion: Decay and Accumulation of Partisan Media Persuasion." March 2025.

Short-term exposure to filter-bubble recommendation systems has limited polarization effects: Naturalistic experiments on YouTube

Liu, Naijia, Xinlan Emily Hu, Yasemin Savas, Matthew A. Baum, Adam J. Berinsky, Allison J.B. Chaney, Christopher Lucas, Rei Mariman, Justin de Benedictis-Kessner, Andrew M. Guess, Dean Knox, and Brandon M. Stewart. "Short-term exposure to filter-bubble recommendation systems has limited polarization effects: Naturalistic experiments on YouTube." PNAS 122.8 (February 25, 2025): e2318127122.

Thinking (about peace science) in time

Chenoweth, Erica. "Thinking (about peace science) in time." Conflict Management and Peace Science (February 2, 2025).

Don’t look to efficiency for big deficit reductions

Dynan, Karen, and Doug Elmendorf. "Don’t look to efficiency for big deficit reductions." What awaits the Department of Government Efficiency? ÌÇÐÄvlog¹ÙÍø experts on prospects for a radical new initiative, January 15, 2025.

Cross-Sector Collaboration In Cities: Learning Journey Or Blame Game?

Pulido-Gómez, Santiago, Jorrit de Jong, and Jan W Rivkin. "Cross-Sector Collaboration In Cities: Learning Journey Or Blame Game?" Journal of Public Administration Research and Theory (01/08/2025).

Trump’s threat to American democracy

Norris, Pippa. "Trump’s threat to American democracy." U.S. Election Analysis 2024: Media, Voters and the Campaign. Ed. Daniel Jackson et al. Bournmouth: University of Bournmouth, 2024.

AI and the Transformation of Accountability and Discretion in Urban Governance

Goldsmith, Stephen and Juncheng "Tony" Yang. "AI and the Transformation of Accountability and Discretion in Urban Governance." Data-Smart City Solutions at the Bloomberg Center for Cities at Harvard University, October 2024.

Protests in the United States on Palestine and Israel, 2023–2024

Chenoweth, Erica, Soha Hammam, Jeremy Pressman, and Jay Ulfelder. "Protests in the United States on Palestine and Israel, 2023–2024." Social Movement Studies (10/18/2024): 1-14.

Self-Government, Taxation, and Tribal Development: The Critical Role of American Indian Nation Business Enterprises

Kalt, Joseph P. "Self-Government, Taxation, and Tribal Development: The Critical Role of American Indian Nation Business Enterprises." Policy Briefs for Tribal, Federal & State Governments, Harvard Kennedy School Project on Indigenous Governance & Development, October 7, 2024.

Medicare Part D Protected-Class Policy Is Associated With Lower Drug Rebates

Kakani, Pragya, Michael Anne Kyle, Amitabh Chandra, and Luca Maini. "Medicare Part D Protected-Class Policy Is Associated With Lower Drug Rebates." Health Affairs 43.10 (October 2024): 1420-1427.

How Wyoming’s Exodus of Young Adults Holds Back Economic Diversification

Protzer, Eric, Thao-Nguyên Bùi, Tim Freeman, Ricardo Hausmann, Sophia Henn, Farah Kaddah, Lucas Lamby, Tim O’Brien, Alejandro Rueda-Sanz, and Ricardo Villasmil. "How Wyoming’s Exodus of Young Adults Holds Back Economic Diversification." Growth Lab Working Paper Series, October 2024.

Tracking COVID-19 Infections Using Survey Data on Rapid At-Home Tests

Santillana,Mauricio, Ata A. Uslu, Tamanna Urmi, Alexi Quintana-Mathe, James N. Druckman, Katherine Ognyanova, Matthew Baum, Roy H. Perlis, and David Lazer. "Tracking COVID-19 Infections Using Survey Data on Rapid At-Home Tests." JAMA Network Open 7.9 (September 2024): e2435442.

Satellite Political Movements: How Grassroots Activists Bolster Trump and Bolsonaro in the United States and Brazil

McKenna, Elizabeth, and Catharina O'Donnell. "Satellite Political Movements: How Grassroots Activists Bolster Trump and Bolsonaro in the United States and Brazil." American Behavioral Scientist (September 12, 2024).

Data-Driven Fleet Management Improves Safety in New York City

Goldsmith, Stephen. "Data-Driven Fleet Management Improves Safety in New York City." Government Technology (September/October 2024).

Prevalence and correlates of irritability among U.S. adults

Perlis, Roy H., Ata Uslu, Jonathan Schulman, Aliayah Himelfarb, Faith M. Gunning, Nili Solomonov, Mauricio Santillana, Matthew A. Baum, James N. Druckman, Katherine Ognyanova, and David Lazer. "Prevalence and correlates of irritability among U.S. adults." Neuropsychopharmacology (24 August 2024).

Finance Goes to Hollywood

Frankel, Jeffrey. "Finance Goes to Hollywood." Project Syndicate, August 23, 2024.

Drivers, adaptations, and public impacts of hospital closures, implications for policy

Saghafian, Soroush. "Drivers, adaptations, and public impacts of hospital closures, implications for policy." Perspectives: Frontiers in Public Health 12 (August 12, 2024): 1415033.

This Is What Thriving Communities Look Like: Insights from Residents of Four Boston Neighborhoods

Kambath, Amisha, Noor Toraif, and Sandra Susan Smith. "This Is What Thriving Communities Look Like: Insights from Residents of Four Boston Neighborhoods." Roundtable on Racial Disparities in Massachusetts Criminal Courts, Program in Criminal Justice Policy and Management, August 2024.

Why Are Stocks, Gold, and the Dollar Surging?

Frankel, Jeffrey. "Why Are Stocks, Gold, and the Dollar Surging?" Project Syndicate, July 24, 2024.

Diagnosing Wyoming's Workforce Challenges

Lamby, Lucas, Sophia Henn, Tim O’Brien, and Ricardo Hausmann. "Diagnosing Wyoming's Workforce Challenges." Growth Lab Working Paper Series, July 2024.

Changing Opportunity: Sociological Mechanisms Underlying Growing Class Gaps and Shrinking Race Gaps in Economic Mobility

Dobbie, Will, Raj Chetty, Benjamin Goldman, Sonya R. Porter, and Crystal S. Yang. "Changing Opportunity: Sociological Mechanisms Underlying Growing Class Gaps and Shrinking Race Gaps in Economic Mobility." NBER Working Paper Series, July 2024.

Tariffs on Chinese Cleantech Jeopardize the Green Transition

Frankel, Jeffrey. "Tariffs on Chinese Cleantech Jeopardize the Green Transition." Project Syndicate, June 25, 2024.

From Crisis to Opportunity: How the City of Portland Embraced Democratic Innovation

Fung, Archon, Max Kiefel, and Nick Chedli Carter. "From Crisis to Opportunity: How the City of Portland Embraced Democratic Innovation." Ash Center Occasional Papers Series, June 2024.

Beyond the Sound and Fury: The Landscape of Curricular Contestation in Texas

Kunzman, Hannah and Danielle Allen. "Beyond the Sound and Fury: The Landscape of Curricular Contestation in Texas." Ash Center Occasional Papers Series, June 2024.

The Election-Devaluation Cycle

Frankel, Jeffrey. "The Election-Devaluation Cycle." Project Syndicate, April 29, 2024.

America's Many Chip Vulnerabilities

Campanella, Edoardo, and John Haigh. "America's Many Chip Vulnerabilities." Project Syndicate, March 27, 2025.

Democrats Are Better for the US Economy

Frankel, Jeffrey. "Democrats Are Better for the US Economy." Project Syndicate, March 25, 2024.

Explaining Americans’ Pessimism About a Strong Economy

Frankel, Jeffrey. "Explaining Americans’ Pessimism About a Strong Economy." Project Syndicate, February 22, 2024.

The Battle for the Internet

Campanella, Edoardo, and John Haigh. "The Battle for the Internet." Survival 66.1 (2024): 69-84.

A Roadmap for Governing AI: Technology Governance and Power Sharing Liberalism

Allen, Danielle, Sarah Hubbard, Woojin Lim, Allison Stanger, Shlomit Wagman, Kinney Zalesne. "A Roadmap for Governing AI: Technology Governance and Power Sharing Liberalism." Ash Center Occasional Paper Series, January 2024.

Bottlenecks for Evidence Adoption

DellaVigna, Stefano, Woojin Kim, and Elizabeth Linos. "Bottlenecks for Evidence Adoption." Journal of Political Economy (December 22, 2023).

A Partisan Solution to Partisan Gerrymandering: The Define–Combine Procedure

Palmer, Maxwell, Benjamin Schneer, and Kevin DeLuca. "A Partisan Solution to Partisan Gerrymandering: The Define–Combine Procedure." Political Analysis (December 13, 2023): 1-16.

US Immigration from Latin America in Historical Perspective

Hanson, Gordon, Pia Orrenius, and Madeline Zavodny. "US Immigration from Latin America in Historical Perspective." Journal of Economic Perspectives 37.1 (Winter 2023): 199-222.

Graham Allison: How Henry Kissinger Shaped My Life

Allison, Graham. "Graham Allison: How Henry Kissinger Shaped My Life." The National Interest, December 1, 2023.

5 Things in the World to Be Thankful for in 2023

Walt, Stephen M. "5 Things in the World to Be Thankful for in 2023." Foreign Policy, November 23, 2023.

Avoiding World War III: What the Joe Biden-Xi Jinping Summit Is Really About

Allison, Graham. "Avoiding World War III: What the Joe Biden-Xi Jinping Summit Is Really About." The National Interest, November 12, 2023.

High and Rising US Federal Debt: Causes and Implications

Dynan, Karen. "High and Rising US Federal Debt: Causes and Implications." Building a More Resilient US Economy. Ed. Melissa S. Kearney, Justin Schardin, and Luke Pardue. Washington, D.C.: Aspen Economic Strategy Group, 2023.

Universities Shouldn’t Ever Take Sides in a War

Walt, Stephen M. "Universities Shouldn’t Ever Take Sides in a War." Foreign Policy, October 31, 2023.

Mexico City Digital Agency for Public Innovation

Goldsmith, Stephen, and Christina Nagler. "Mexico City Digital Agency for Public Innovation." Data-Smart City Solutions Policy Briefs Series, October 2023.

Ash Carter’s Lessons from ISIS for Israel’s
Campaign Against Hamas

Allison, Graham. "Ash Carter’s Lessons from ISIS for Israel’s Campaign Against Hamas." Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs, October 25, 2023.