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The White House lawn on a sunny day.
Feature: Is DOGE Sure It Wants to Fire These People?

Juliette Kayyem examines the negative effects that Elon Musks’s Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) could have on the safety of everyday Americans.

River running through a densely populated area.
Feature: Private Benefits from Public Investment in Climate Resilience

Joseph Aldy finds that governmental construction of levees, which enhance resilience to flood risks amplified by climate change, increases home values by 3-4 percent.

Person sits on a bed holding a check.
Feature: Assessing Government Outreach to Bolster Benefits Take-Up

Elizabeth Linos finds that light-touch interventions significantly, consistently, and cost-effectively increase benefits take-up among low-income households, while higher-touch proactive outreach yields minimal additional take-up.

Black family happily sits on the grass in a park.
Feature: Excess Mortality Rate in U.S. Black Children Since 1950

Soroush Saghafian finds that 5 million excess deaths of Black Americans, including over 500,000 infants, could have been avoided over the past 70 years if their mortality rates were equal to those of White Americans.

Harvard Kennedy School faculty disseminate their research in working publications and papers that contribute to public knowledge and fuel policy innovation. This list features recent faculty publications, including journal articles, books, edited volumes, research papers, and public testimony.

Faculty Publications

Working in the Service Sector in New Jersey

Schneider, Daniel, Kristen Harknett, and Megan Collins. "Working in the Service Sector in New Jersey." Shift Project Research Brief, 2020.

Essential and Vulnerable: Service-Sector Workers and Paid Sick Leave

Schneider, Daniel, and Kristen Harknett. "Essential and Vulnerable: Service-Sector Workers and Paid Sick Leave." Shift Project Research Brief, 2020.

Measuring Racial Discrimination in Bail Decisions

Arnold, David, Will S. Dobbie, and Peter Hull. "Measuring Racial Discrimination in Bail Decisions." ÌÇÐÄvlog¹ÙÍø Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP20-014, May 2020.

(Sex) Crime and Punishment in the #MeToo Era: How the Public Views Rape

Schwarz, Susanne, Matthew A. Baum, and Dara Kay Cohen. "(Sex) Crime and Punishment in the #MeToo Era: How the Public Views Rape." Political Behavior (May 2020).

National Fiscal Policies to Fight Recessions in US States

Dynan, Karen, and Douglas Elmendorf. "National Fiscal Policies to Fight Recessions in US States." AEA Papers and Proceedings 110 (May 2020): 131-136.

Essential and Unprotected: COVID-19-Related Health and Safety Procedures for Service-Sector Workers

Schneider, Daniel. "Essential and Unprotected: COVID-19-Related Health and Safety Procedures for Service-Sector Workers." Shift Project Research Brief, 2020.

Taking Count: A Study on Poverty in the Bay Area

Bloemraad, Irene, Benjamin Bowyer, Taeku Lee, Daniel Schneider, Kim Voss, Jamie Austin, and Jacob Leos-Urbel. "Taking Count: A Study on Poverty in the Bay Area." Tipping Point Community, 2020.

The Cost-Effectiveness Implications of Carbon Price Certainty

Aldy, Joseph, and Sarah Armitage. "The Cost-Effectiveness Implications of Carbon Price Certainty." American Economic Association Papers and Proceedings 110 (May 2020): 113-118.

Oil’s Collapse Is a Geopolitical Reset in Disguise

O'Sullivan, Meghan. "Oil’s Collapse Is a Geopolitical Reset in Disguise." Bloomberg Opinion, 4/29/2020.

Politics in Forgotten Governments: The Partisan Composition of County Legislatures and County Fiscal Policies

de Benedictis-Kessner, Justin, and Christopher Warshaw. "Politics in Forgotten Governments: The Partisan Composition of County Legislatures and County Fiscal Policies." Journal of Politics 82.2 (April 2020): 460-475.

Oil Markets Provide a Glimpse of the Post-Pandemic Future

O'Sullivan, Meghan. "Oil Markets Provide a Glimpse of the Post-Pandemic Future." Bloomberg Opinion, 4/7/2020.

Close to the Edge: Service Workers and Their
Children at the Front Lines of a Crisis

Schneider, Daniel, and Kristen Harknett. "Close to the Edge: Service Workers and Their Children at the Front Lines of a Crisis." William T. Grant Foundation Blog, April 2020.

Public Testimony on Trump Administration Funding for Nuclear Theft Prevention Programs.

Bunn, Matthew, Nicholas Roth, and H. William Tobey. "Public Testimony on Trump Administration Funding for Nuclear Theft Prevention Programs." House Committee on Appropriations Subcommittee on Energy and Water Development and Related Agencies, March 31, 2020.

The Effect of Associative Racial Cues in Elections

Berinsky, Adam J., Justin de Benedictis-Kessner, Megan E. Goldberg, and Michele F. Margolis. "The Effect of Associative Racial Cues in Elections." Political Communication 37.4 (March 2020): 512-529.

Rebates in the Pharmaceutical Industry: Evidence from Medicines Sold in Retail Pharmacies in the U.S.

Kakani, Pragya, Michael Chernew, and Amitabh Chandra. "Rebates in the Pharmaceutical Industry: Evidence from Medicines Sold in Retail Pharmacies in the U.S." National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series, No. 26846, March 2020.

The Trump Administration Has Made the Us Less Ready for Infectious Disease Outbreaks Like Coronavirus

Bilmes, Linda J. "The Trump Administration Has Made the Us Less Ready for Infectious Disease Outbreaks Like Coronavirus." The Conversation. February 3, 2020.

The Paranoid Style of American Elections: Explaining Perceptions of Electoral Integrity in an Age of Populism

Norris, Pippa, Holly Ann Garnett, and Max Gromping. "The Paranoid Style of American Elections: Explaining Perceptions of Electoral Integrity in an Age of Populism." Journal of Elections, Public Opinion & Parties 30.1 (February 2020): 105-125.

The Impacts of the U.S.-China Trade War

Hanson, Gordon. "The Impacts of the U.S.-China Trade War." Business Economics 55 (February 2020): 69–72.

The Past and Potential Role of Civil Society in Nuclear Security

Bunn, Matthew. "The Past and Potential Role of Civil Society in Nuclear Security." Project on Managing the Atom, February 2020.

Effectively Managing Connected Mobility Marketplaces

Goldsmith, Stephen, and Matthew Leger. "Effectively Managing Connected Mobility Marketplaces." Mobility in the Connected City Series, Ash Center for Democratic Governance and Innovation, February 2020.

Trump’s Iran Speech Had Three Audiences

O'Sullivan, Meghan. "Trump’s Iran Speech Had Three Audiences." Bloomberg Opinion, 1/8/2020.

The U.S.-Iraqi Relationship Can Still Be Salvaged

O'Sullivan, Meghan. "The U.S.-Iraqi Relationship Can Still Be Salvaged." Foreign Affairs, 1/7/2020.

Reimagining Rights and Responsibilities in the United States: Women's Rights

Shattuck, John, and Mathias Risse. "Reimagining Rights and Responsibilities in the United States: Women's Rights." Carr Center for Human Rights Policy, January 4, 2020.

Equal Protection under Algorithms: A New Statistical and Legal Framework

Dobbie, Will and Crystal Yang. "Equal Protection under Algorithms: A New Statistical and Legal Framework." Michigan Law Review (2020).

Introduction and Conclusion

Chen, Martha. "Introduction and Conclusion." The Informal Economy Revisited: Examining the Past, Envisioning the Future. Ed. Chen, Martha and Francoise Carre. Routledge, 2020.

WIEGO Research on Informal Employment: Key Methods, Variables and Findings

Chen, Martha. "WIEGO Research on Informal Employment: Key Methods, Variables and Findings." The Informal Economy Revisited: Examining the Past, Envisioning the Future. Ed. Chen, Martha and Francoise Carre. Routledge, 2020.

Estimates of Workers Who Lack Access to Paid
Sick Leave at 91 Large Service Sector Employers

Schneider, Daniel, and Kristen Harknett. "Estimates of Workers Who Lack Access to Paid Sick Leave at 91 Large Service Sector Employers." Shift Project Research Brief, 2020.

Precarious and Unequal: Job Quality in
the Bay Area. Taking Count Survey Report, Tipping Point Community

Schneider, Daniel. "Precarious and Unequal: Job Quality in the Bay Area. Taking Count Survey Report, Tipping Point Community." 2020.

Essential and Unprotected: While CA Leads
the Way, America's Grocery, Retail and Food Service Workers Still Lack Paid Sick Leave
Amid Pandemic

Schneider, Daniel, Kristen Harknett. "Essential and Unprotected: While CA Leads the Way, America's Grocery, Retail and Food Service Workers Still Lack Paid Sick Leave Amid Pandemic." Sacramento Bee, 2020.

Preface

Burns, Nicholas. "Preface." The Struggle for Power: U.S.-China Relations in the 21st Century. Ed. Leah Bitounis and Jonathon Price. Aspen Institute, 2020.

Precarious Work Schedules and Population Health

Harknett, Kristen, Daniel Schneider. "Precarious Work Schedules and Population Health." Health Affairs (2020).

Paid Sick Leave in Virginia: Evidence from the Shift Project

Schneider, Daniel, and Kristen Harknett. "Paid Sick Leave in Virginia: Evidence from the Shift Project." Shift Project, 2020.

COVID-19 Safety Measures Update

Ho, Helen, Daniel Schneider, and Kristen Harknett. "COVID-19 Safety Measures Update." Shift Project, 2020.

Unemployed Without a Net: Few Unemployed Service Sector Workers Received UI and Many Experienced Hardships

Schneider, Daniel, Kristen Harknett, and Annette Gailliot. "Unemployed Without a Net: Few Unemployed Service Sector Workers Received UI and Many Experienced Hardships." Shift Project, 2020.

Carbon Tax Review and Updating: Institutionalizing an Act-Learn-Act Approach to U.S. Climate Policy

Aldy, Joseph. "Carbon Tax Review and Updating: Institutionalizing an Act-Learn-Act Approach to U.S. Climate Policy." Review of Environmental Economics and Policy 14.1 (Winter 2020): 76-94.

Prioritizing Public Value in the Changing Mobility Landscape

Goldsmith, Stephen, and Betsy Gardner. "Prioritizing Public Value in the Changing Mobility Landscape." Mobility and the Connected City Series, Ash Center for Democratic Governance and Innovation, January 2020.

Six Tax-Based Ways to Tackle US Inequality

Frankel, Jeffrey A. "Six Tax-Based Ways to Tackle US Inequality." Project Syndicate, December 17, 2019.

The $64 Billion Massachusetts Vehicle Economy

Olson, Stevie, Phil Berkaw, Lucien Charland, Elizabeth Patton, and Linda J. Bilmes. "The $64 Billion Massachusetts Vehicle Economy." ÌÇÐÄvlog¹ÙÍø Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP19-038, December 2019.

Our National Parks Are in Crisis. Trump’s Solution Is Absurd

Bilmes, Linda J. and Loomis, John B. "Our National Parks Are in Crisis. Trump’s Solution Is Absurd." Los Angeles Times. December 2, 2019.

The Case for Old-Fashioned Tariff Cuts

Frankel, Jeffrey A. "The Case for Old-Fashioned Tariff Cuts." Project Syndicate, November 27, 2019.

State Capabilities for Problem-Oriented Governance

Mayne, Quinton, Jorrit de Jong, and Fernando Fernandez-Monge. "State Capabilities for Problem-Oriented Governance." Perspectives on Public Management and Governance (2019).

Renewing Democracy Requires the Creation of an Inclusive Collective

Ganz, Marshall, and Art Reyes III. "Renewing Democracy Requires the Creation of an Inclusive Collective." Sanford Social Innovation Review (Winter 2020).

From the Halls of Congress to K Street: Government Experience and its Value for Lobbying

Ban, Pamela, Maxwell Palmer, and Benjamin Schneer. "From the Halls of Congress to K Street: Government Experience and its Value for Lobbying." Legislative Studies Quarterly 44.4 (November 2019): 713-752.

The Swinging Pendulum of Police Reform in the Americas

Gonzalez, Yanilda. "The Swinging Pendulum of Police Reform in the Americas." Current History. November 1, 2019.

Concentrated Burdens: How Self-Interest and Partisanship Shape Opinion on Opioid Treatment Policy

de Benedictis-Kessner, Justin, and Michael Hankinson. "Concentrated Burdens: How Self-Interest and Partisanship Shape Opinion on Opioid Treatment Policy." American Political Science Review 113.4 (November 2019): 1078-1084.

The Science of Contemporary Street Protest: New Efforts in the United States

Chenoweth, Erica. "The Science of Contemporary Street Protest: New Efforts in the United States." Science Advances 5.10 (October 2019).

How a Weaponized Dollar Could Backfire

Frankel, Jeffrey A. "How a Weaponized Dollar Could Backfire." Project Syndicate, October 23, 2019.

Targeted Debt Relief and the Origins of Financial Distress: Experimental Evidence from Distressed Credit Card Borrowers

Dobbie, Will, and Jae Song. "Targeted Debt Relief and the Origins of Financial Distress: Experimental Evidence from Distressed Credit Card Borrowers." ÌÇÐÄvlog¹ÙÍø Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP19-030, 2019.

Measuring Bias in Consumer Lending

Dobbie, Will, Andres Liberman, Daniel Paravisini, and Vikram Pathania. "Measuring Bias in Consumer Lending." ÌÇÐÄvlog¹ÙÍø Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP19-029, 2019.

A Summit Worth Celebrating

Porter, Roger B. "A Summit Worth Celebrating." Deseret News, October 3, 2019.