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The White House lawn on a sunny day.
Feature: Is DOGE Sure It Wants to Fire These People?

Juliette Kayyem examines the negative effects that Elon Musks’s Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) could have on the safety of everyday Americans.

River running through a densely populated area.
Feature: Private Benefits from Public Investment in Climate Resilience

Joseph Aldy finds that governmental construction of levees, which enhance resilience to flood risks amplified by climate change, increases home values by 3-4 percent.

Person sits on a bed holding a check.
Feature: Assessing Government Outreach to Bolster Benefits Take-Up

Elizabeth Linos finds that light-touch interventions significantly, consistently, and cost-effectively increase benefits take-up among low-income households, while higher-touch proactive outreach yields minimal additional take-up.

Black family happily sits on the grass in a park.
Feature: Excess Mortality Rate in U.S. Black Children Since 1950

Soroush Saghafian finds that 5 million excess deaths of Black Americans, including over 500,000 infants, could have been avoided over the past 70 years if their mortality rates were equal to those of White Americans.

Harvard Kennedy School faculty disseminate their research in working publications and papers that contribute to public knowledge and fuel policy innovation. This list features recent faculty publications, including journal articles, books, edited volumes, research papers, and public testimony.

Faculty Publications

Willingness-To-Pay vs Administrative Hurdles: Understanding Barriers to Social Insurance Enrollment in Thailand

Olken, Benjamin A., Rema Hanna, Phitawat Poonpolkul, and Nada Wasi. "Willingness-To-Pay vs Administrative Hurdles: Understanding Barriers to Social Insurance Enrollment in Thailand." Puey Ungphakorn Institute for Economic Research Discussion Paper Series, October 2024.

Review of Building a Nation at War: Transnational Knowledge Networks and the Development of China during and after World War II

Mitter, Rana. Review of Building a Nation at War: Transnational Knowledge Networks and the Development of China during and after World War II, by J. Megan Greene. American Historical Review, 129.3, September 2024: 1221–1222.

Tariffs on Chinese Cleantech Jeopardize the Green Transition

Frankel, Jeffrey. "Tariffs on Chinese Cleantech Jeopardize the Green Transition." Project Syndicate, June 25, 2024.

Open or closed? China’s dilemmas in a changing geopolitical and geoeconomic order

Mitter, Rana. "Open or closed? China’s dilemmas in a changing geopolitical and geoeconomic order." Oxford Review of Economic Policy 40.2 (Summer 2024): 366-373.

Japan’s Economic Puzzle

Bahar, Dany, Guillermo Arcay, Jesus Daboin Pacheco, and Ricardo Hausmann. "Japan’s Economic Puzzle." CID Faculty Working Paper Series, March 2024.

The Real Roots of Xi Jinping Thought: Chinese Political Philosophers’ Long Struggle With Modernity

Mitter, Rana. "The Real Roots of Xi Jinping Thought: Chinese Political Philosophers’ Long Struggle With Modernity." Review of The Rise of Modern Chinese Thought, by Wang Hui. ed. Michael Gibbs Hill. Foreign Affairs, 103.2, March/April 2024: 176-183.

The Battle for the Internet

Campanella, Edoardo, and John Haigh. "The Battle for the Internet." Survival 66.1 (2024): 69-84.

Designing a public transit network: Evidence from Jakarta, Indonesia

Gaduh, Arya, Tilman Graff, Rema Hanna, Gabriel Kreindler, and Benjamin Olken. "Designing a public transit network: Evidence from Jakarta, Indonesia." VoxDev (December 6, 2023).

Institutional Change and Adaptive Efficiency: A Study of China's Hukou System Evolution

Saich, Anthony, and Kunling Zhang. Institutional Change and Adaptive Efficiency: A Study of China's Hukou System Evolution. World Scientific, 2023.

Avoiding World War III: What the Joe Biden-Xi Jinping Summit Is Really About

Allison, Graham. "Avoiding World War III: What the Joe Biden-Xi Jinping Summit Is Really About." The National Interest, November 12, 2023.

Review of Making Meritocracy: Lessons from China and India, from Antiquity to the Present

Mitter, Rana. Review of Making Meritocracy: Lessons from China and India, from Antiquity to the Present, ed. Tarun Khanna and Michael Szonyi. China Report, 59.4, November 2023: 478-481.

The Path to AI Arms Control

Kissinger, Henry A., and Allison, Graham. "The Path to AI Arms Control." Foreign Affairs, October 13, 2023.

Old enemies of democracy: Chinese thinkers plunder the classical world

Mitter, Rana. "Old enemies of democracy: Chinese thinkers plunder the classical world." Review of Plato Goes to China, by Shadi Bartsch. Times Literary Supplement, September 8, 2023.

China Wants to Run Your Internet

Campanella, Edoardo, and John Haigh. "China Wants to Run Your Internet." Foreign Policy. August 25, 2023.

Great Dilution: The Global Impact of the US Inflation Shock on Sovereign Debt

Nair, Gautam, and Federico Sturzenegger. "Great Dilution: The Global Impact of the US Inflation Shock on Sovereign Debt." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP22-009, July 2022.

Here’s How Scared of China You Should Be

Walt, Stephen M. "Here’s How Scared of China You Should Be." Foreign Policy, August 7, 2023.

China’s Most Generous: Examining Trends in Contemporary Chinese Philanthropy

Cunningham, Edward, and Yunxin Li. "China’s Most Generous: Examining Trends in Contemporary Chinese Philanthropy." The Rajawali Foundation Institute for Asia’s China Philanthropy Project, August 2023.

US and China must establish military communications

Rosenbach, Eric, and Chris Li. "US and China must establish military communications." Boston Globe. July 3, 2023.

Will India Surpass China to Become the Next Superpower?

Allison, Graham. "Will India Surpass China to Become the Next Superpower?" Foreign Policy, June 24, 2023.

China’s dominance of solar poses difficult choices for the west

Allison, Graham. "China’s dominance of solar poses difficult choices for the west." Financial Times, June 22, 2023.

Vietnam: Navigating a Rapidly Changing Economy, Society, and Political Order

Ljunggren, Börje, and Dwight Perkins, eds. Vietnam: Navigating a Rapidly Changing Economy, Society, and Political Order. Harvard University Press, 2023.

Can two great powers cooperate to build a safer world? It has happened before.

Allison, Graham. "Can two great powers cooperate to build a safer world? It has happened before." The Washington Post, June 14, 2023.

U.S.-Taiwan Relations in a New Era: Responding to a More Assertive China

Sacks, David, Meghan O'Sullivan, et al. "U.S.-Taiwan Relations in a New Era: Responding to a More Assertive China." Council on Foreign Relations Independent Task Force Report, June 2023.

Stop Worrying About Chinese Hegemony in Asia

Walt, Stephen M. "Stop Worrying About Chinese Hegemony in Asia." Foreign Policy, May 31, 2023.

Gender gaps in South Korea’s labour market: children explain most of the gender employment gap, but little of the gender wage gap

Stansbury, Anna, Jacob Funk Kirkegaard, and Karen Dynan. "Gender gaps in South Korea’s labour market: children explain most of the gender employment gap, but little of the gender wage gap." Applied Economics Letters (May 3, 2023).

The Chinese Global in the Long Postwar: Narratives of War, Civilization, and Infrastructure since 1945

Mitter, Rana. "The Chinese Global in the Long Postwar: Narratives of War, Civilization, and Infrastructure since 1945." Debating Worlds: Contested Narratives of Global Modernity and World Order. Ed. Daniel Deudney, G. John Ikenberry, and Karoline Postel-Vinay. Oxford University Press, 2023, 162-183.

Debt Distress on China's Belt and Road

Horn, Sebastian, Bradley C. Parks, Carmen M. Reinhart, and Christoph Trebesch. "Debt Distress on China's Belt and Road." AEA Papers and Proceedings 113 (May 2023): 131-34.

Why Biden and Yoon’s Agreement Is a Big Deal

Allison, Graham. "Why Biden and Yoon’s Agreement Is a Big Deal." Foreign Policy, April 27, 2023.

Ukraine and Russia Need a Great-Power Peace Plan

Walt, Stephen M. "Ukraine and Russia Need a Great-Power Peace Plan." Foreign Policy, April 18, 2023.

China as an International Lender of Last Resort

Horn, Sebastian, Bradley C. Parks, Carmen M. Reinhart, and Cristoph Trebesch. "China as an International Lender of Last Resort." World Bank Policy Research Working Paper Series, March 2023.

Xi and Putin Have the Most Consequential Undeclared Alliance in the World

Allison, Graham. "Xi and Putin Have the Most Consequential Undeclared Alliance in the World." Foreign Policy, March 23, 2023.

US-China ties: Averting the grandest collision of all

Allison, Graham. "US-China ties: Averting the grandest collision of all." The Straits Times, March 20, 2023.

Public institutions and support for climate funding

Bilmes, Linda, Mauricio Rodas, Geraldine Fraser-Moleketi, Devon Rowe, Aminata Touré, and Lan Xue. "Public institutions and support for climate funding." United Nations ECOSOC, March 16. 2023.

Electronic Food Vouchers: Evidence from an At-Scale Experiment in Indonesia

Banerjee, Abhijit, Rema Hanna, Benjamin A. Olken, Elan Satriawan, and Sudarno Sumarto. "Electronic Food Vouchers: Evidence from an At-Scale Experiment in Indonesia." American Economic Review 113.2 (February 2023): 514-547.

The Marginal Disutility from Corruption in Social Programs: Evidence from Program Administrators and Beneficiaries

Gaduh, Arya, Rema Hanna, and Benjamin A. Olken. "The Marginal Disutility from Corruption in Social Programs: Evidence from Program Administrators and Beneficiaries." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP23-008, January 2023.

Can China Pull Off Its Charm Offensive?

Walt, Stephen M. "Can China Pull Off Its Charm Offensive?" Foreign Policy, January 23, 2023.

Challenges of effective governance for sustainable development at subnational government levels: introduction to this thematic issue of Public Sector Economics

Aiyar, Yamini, Rolf Alter, and Linda J. Bilmes. "Challenges of effective governance for sustainable development at subnational government levels: introduction to this thematic issue of Public Sector Economics." Public Sector Economics Journal (December 2022): 456-458.

Jiang Zemin Propelled China’s Economic Rise in the World, Leaving his Successors to Deal with the Massive Inequality that Followed

Cunningham, Edward. "Jiang Zemin Propelled China’s Economic Rise in the World, Leaving his Successors to Deal with the Massive Inequality that Followed." The Conversation, December 1, 2022.

The World’s Best-Kept Financial Inclusion Secret Revealed: The Untold Success Story of BRI Microbanking Since 1895

Rosengard, Jay K. "The World’s Best-Kept Financial Inclusion Secret Revealed: The Untold Success Story of BRI Microbanking Since 1895." Ash Center Policy Briefs Series, November 2022.

Collective Reputation in Trade: Evidence from the Chinese Dairy Industry

Bai, Jie, Ludovica Gazze, and Yukun Wang. "Collective Reputation in Trade: Evidence from the Chinese Dairy Industry." The Review of Economics and Statistics 104.6 (November 2022): 1121-1137.

What to Expect from the 20th Congress of the Chinese Communist Party

Saich, Anthony. "What to Expect from the 20th Congress of the Chinese Communist Party." Ash Center Policy Briefs Series, September 2022.

Edward Cunningham: What is the future of China’s private sector?

Cunningham, Edward. "Edward Cunningham: What is the future of China’s private sector?" Harvard Kennedy School, Summer 2022.

Hidden Defaults

Horn, Sebastian, Carmen Reinhart, and Christoph Trebesch. "Hidden Defaults." American Economics Papers and Proceedings 112 (May 2022): 531-535.

Electronic Food Vouchers: Evidence from an At-Scale Experiment in Indonesia

Banerjee, Abhijit, Rema Hanna, Benjamin A. Olken, Elan Satriawan, and Sudarno Sumarto. "Electronic Food Vouchers: Evidence from an At-Scale Experiment in Indonesia." April 2022.

Enabling a Significant Nuclear Role in China’s Decarbonization: Loosening Constraints, Mitigating Risks

Bunn, Matthew. "Enabling a Significant Nuclear Role in China’s Decarbonization: Loosening Constraints, Mitigating Risks." Foundations for a Low-Carbon Energy System in China. Ed. Lee, Henry, Daniel P. Schrag, Matthew Bunn, Michael Davidson, Wei Peng, Wang Pu, and Mao Zhimin. Cambridge University Press, 2021, 65-100.

On the Persistence of the China Shock

Autor, David, David Dorn, and Gordon H. Hanson. "On the Persistence of the China Shock." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP21-028, November 2021.

The Challenges of Universal Health Insurance in Developing Countries: Experimental Evidence from Indonesia’s National Health Insurance

Banerjee, Abhijit, Amy Finkelstein, Rema Hanna, Benjamin A. Olken, Arianna Ornaghi, and Sudarno Sumarto. "The Challenges of Universal Health Insurance in Developing Countries: Experimental Evidence from Indonesia’s National Health Insurance." American Economic Review 11.9 (September 2021): 3035-3063.

From Rebel to Ruler: One Hundred Years of the Chinese Communist Party

Saich, Anthony. From Rebel to Ruler: One Hundred Years of the Chinese Communist Party. Harvard University Press, 2021.

Who Will Fill China’s Shoes? The Global Evolution of Labor-Intensive Manufacturing

Hanson, Gordon. "Who Will Fill China’s Shoes? The Global Evolution of Labor-Intensive Manufacturing." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP21-014, May 2021.

Environmental Protection or Environmental Protectionism? Evidence from Tail Pipe Emission Standards in China

Bai, Jie, Shanjun Li, Danxia Xie, and Hui Zhou. “Environmental Protection or Environmental Protectionism? Evidence from Tail Pipe Emission Standards in China.” AEA Papers and Proceedings 111 (May 2021): 381–85. https://doi.org/10.1257/pandp.20211033.