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The White House lawn on a sunny day.
Feature: Is DOGE Sure It Wants to Fire These People?

Juliette Kayyem examines the negative effects that Elon Musks’s Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) could have on the safety of everyday Americans.

River running through a densely populated area.
Feature: Private Benefits from Public Investment in Climate Resilience

Joseph Aldy finds that governmental construction of levees, which enhance resilience to flood risks amplified by climate change, increases home values by 3-4 percent.

Person sits on a bed holding a check.
Feature: Assessing Government Outreach to Bolster Benefits Take-Up

Elizabeth Linos finds that light-touch interventions significantly, consistently, and cost-effectively increase benefits take-up among low-income households, while higher-touch proactive outreach yields minimal additional take-up.

Black family happily sits on the grass in a park.
Feature: Excess Mortality Rate in U.S. Black Children Since 1950

Soroush Saghafian finds that 5 million excess deaths of Black Americans, including over 500,000 infants, could have been avoided over the past 70 years if their mortality rates were equal to those of White Americans.

Harvard Kennedy School faculty disseminate their research in working publications and papers that contribute to public knowledge and fuel policy innovation. This list features recent faculty publications, including journal articles, books, edited volumes, research papers, and public testimony.

Faculty Publications

Efficacy of Text Messaging in Activating Hard-to-Reach Voters in Rhode Island and Ohio

Sweeney, Latanya, and Josh Visnaw. "Efficacy of Text Messaging in Activating Hard-to-Reach Voters in Rhode Island and Ohio." Technology Science (April 22, 2025).

Measuring Human Leadership Skills with AI Agents

Weidmann, Ben, Yixian Xu, and David J. Deming. "Measuring Human Leadership Skills with AI Agents." NBER Working Paper Series, April 2025.

Measuring Human Leadership Skills with AI Agents

Weidmann, Ben, Yixian Xu, and David Deming. "Measuring Human Leadership Skills with AI Agents." NBER Working Paper Series, April 2025.

Auditing large language models for race & gender disparities: Implications for artificial intelligence-based hiring

Gaebler, Johann D., Sharad Goel, Aziz Huq, and Prasanna Tambe. "Auditing large language models for race & gender disparities: Implications for artificial intelligence-based hiring." Behavioral Science & Policy (2025).

The Impact of City-Led Neighborhood Action on the Coproduction of Neighborhood Quality and Safety in Buffalo, NY

Robb, Katharine, Pablo Uribe, Eleanor Dickens, Ashley Marcoux, Jessica Creighton, and Jorrit de Jong. "The Impact of City-Led Neighborhood Action on the Coproduction of Neighborhood Quality and Safety in Buffalo, NY." International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health 22.3 (March 2025): 341.

Short-term exposure to filter-bubble recommendation systems has limited polarization effects: Naturalistic experiments on YouTube

Liu, Naijia, Xinlan Emily Hu, Yasemin Savas, Matthew A. Baum, Adam J. Berinsky, Allison J.B. Chaney, Christopher Lucas, Rei Mariman, Justin de Benedictis-Kessner, Andrew M. Guess, Dean Knox, and Brandon M. Stewart. "Short-term exposure to filter-bubble recommendation systems has limited polarization effects: Naturalistic experiments on YouTube." PNAS 122.8 (February 25, 2025): e2318127122.

Learning not cheating: AI assistance can enhance rather than hinder skill development

Lira, Benjamin, Todd Rogers, Daniel G. Goldstein, Lyle Ungar, and Angela L. Duckworth. "Learning not cheating: AI assistance can enhance rather than hinder skill development." 22 February 2025.

Asking about Complex Policies

Jessee, Stephen, Neil Malhotra, and Maya Sen. "Asking about Complex Policies." Public Opinion Quarterly (7 February 2025).

How AI Can Support Democracy Movements: Summary Report of a Research and Practice Workshop

Chenowth, Erica. "How AI Can Support Democracy Movements: Summary Report of a Research and Practice Workshop." Ash Center Occasional Paper Series, February 2025.

Make Work Fair: Data-Driven Design for Real Results

Bohnet, Iris, and Siri Chilazi. Make Work Fair: Data-Driven Design for Real Results. New York: HarperCollins, 2025.

The Biopolitics of CRISPR

Jasanoff, Sheila. "The Biopolitics of CRISPR." The CRISPR Revolution in Science, Religion, and Ethics. Ed. Arvin M. Gouw and Ted Peters. London: Bloomsbury Academic, 2025.

Effective Generative AI: The Human-Algorithm Centaur

Saghafian, Soroush, and Lihi Idan. "Effective Generative AI: The Human-Algorithm Centaur." Harvard Data Science Review Special Issue 5 (December 19, 2024).

Genomic heterogeneity and ploidy identify patients with intrinsic resistance to PD-1 blockade in metastatic melanoma

Tarantino, Giuseppe, Cora A. Ricker, Annette Wang ... Soroush Saghafian et al. "Genomic heterogeneity and ploidy identify patients with intrinsic resistance to PD-1 blockade in metastatic melanoma." Science Advances 10.48 (29 November 2024): eadp4670.

Racial Bias in Clinical and Population Health Algorithms: A Critical Review of Current Debates

Coots, Madison, Kristin Linn, Sharad Goel, Amol Navathe, and Ravi Parikh. "Racial Bias in Clinical and Population Health Algorithms: A Critical Review of Current Debates." Annual Review of Public Health (forthcoming).

Shifting Patterns of Social Interaction: Exploring the Social Life of Urban Spaces Through A.I.

Salazar-Miranda, Arianna, Zhuangyuan Fan, Michael B. Baick, Keith N. Hampton, Fabio Duarte, Becky P.Y. Loo, Edward L. Glaeser, and Carlo Ratti. "Shifting Patterns of Social Interaction: Exploring the Social Life of Urban Spaces Through A.I." NBER Working Paper Series, November 2024.

Guidance for unbiased predictive information for healthcare decision-making and equity (GUIDE): considerations when race may be a prognostic factor

Ladin, Keren, John Cuddeback, O. Kenrik Duru, Sharad Goel, William Harvey, Jinny G. Park, Jessica K. Paulus, Joyce Sackey, Richard Sharp, Ewout Steyerberg, Berk Ustun, David van Klaveren, Saul N. Weingart, and David M. Kent. "Guidance for unbiased predictive information for healthcare decision-making and equity (GUIDE): considerations when race may be a prognostic factor." npj digital medicine 7 (2024): 290.

Guidance for unbiased predictive information for healthcare decision-making and equity (GUIDE): considerations when race may be a prognostic factor

Ladin, Keren, John Cuddeback, O. Kenrik Duru, Sharad Goel, et al. "Guidance for unbiased predictive information for healthcare decision-making and equity (GUIDE): considerations when race may be a prognostic factor." NPJ Digital Medicine 7.290 (2024).

Technological Disruption in the US Labor Market

Deming, David, Christopher Ong, and Lawrence Summers. "Technological Disruption in the US Labor Market." Strengthening America’s Economic Dynamism. Ed. Melissa S. Kearney and Luke Pardue. Washington, DC: Aspen Institute, 2024.

The ABC’s of Who Benefits from Working with AI: Ability, Beliefs, and Calibration

Caplin, Andrew, David J. Deming, Shangwen Li, Daniel J. Martin, Philip Marx, Ben Weidmann, and Kadachi Jiada Ye. "The ABC’s of Who Benefits from Working with AI: Ability, Beliefs, and Calibration." NBER Working Paper Series, October 2024.

The Rapid Adoption of Generative AI

Bick, Alexander, Adam Blandin, and David J. Deming. "The Rapid Adoption of Generative AI." NBER Working Paper Series, September 2024.

Data-Driven Fleet Management Improves Safety in New York City

Goldsmith, Stephen. "Data-Driven Fleet Management Improves Safety in New York City." Government Technology (September/October 2024).

Global Trends in Innovation Patterns: A Complexity Approach

Chacua, Christian, Shreyas Gadgin Matha, Matte Hartog, Ricardo Hausmann, and Muhammed A. Yildirim. "Global Trends in Innovation Patterns: A Complexity Approach." Growth Lab Working Paper Series, September 2024.

Innovation Policies Under Economic Complexity

Chacua, Christian, Shreyas Gadgin Matha, Matte Hartog, Ricardo Hausmann, and Muhammed A. Yildirim. "Innovation Policies Under Economic Complexity." Growth Lab Working Paper Series, September 2024.

How will advanced AI systems impact democracy?

Summerfield, Christopher, ... Mathias Risse, et al. "How will advanced AI systems impact democracy?" 27 August 2024.

What Data-Rich Assessments of Socioeconomic Inequality and Mobility in Rich Countries Overlook in Poor Countries

Van Der Weide, Roy, and Michael Woolcock. "What Data-Rich Assessments of Socioeconomic Inequality and Mobility in Rich Countries Overlook in Poor Countries." World Bank Policy Research Working Paper Series, 08/27/2024.

Teaching Effectively with ChatGPT: A practical guide to creating better learning experiences for your students in less time

Levy, Dan and Angela, Pérez Albertos. Teaching Effectively with ChatGPT: A practical guide to creating better learning experiences for your students in less time. Amazon, 2024.

Building Non-Discriminatory Algorithms in Selected Data

Arnold, David, Will S. Dobbie, and Peter Hull. "Building Non-Discriminatory Algorithms in Selected Data." NBER Working Paper Series, May 2024.

Indexing Equity: A data-driven approach to improving equity in Tacoma, Wash.

Goldsmith, Stephen. "Indexing Equity: A data-driven approach to improving equity in Tacoma, Wash." Government Technology 37.4 (May/June 2024): 8.

Hidden Barriers to Open Venues: What Big Data Can Tell You about Access to Public Spaces

Nesrala, Yamile, Jonathan Jay, Jorrit de Jong, Felicia Heykoop, Linda Hwang, Alexa Courtepatte, and Michelle Kondo. "Hidden Barriers to Open Venues: What Big Data Can Tell You about Access to Public Spaces." Bloomberg Harvard City Leadership Initiative Action Insights, Apr 3, 2024.

Auditing the Use of Language Models to Guide Hiring Decisions

Gaebler, Johann D., Sharad Goel, Aziz Huq, Prasanna Tambe. "Auditing the Use of Language Models to Guide Hiring Decisions." April 3, 2024.

The Battle for the Internet

Campanella, Edoardo, and John Haigh. "The Battle for the Internet." Survival 66.1 (2024): 69-84.

The 15-minute city quantified using human mobility data

Abbiasov, Timur, Cate Heine, Sadegh Sabouri, Arianna Salazar-Miranda, Paolo Santi, Edward Glaeser, and Carlo Ratti. "The 15-minute city quantified using human mobility data." Nature Human Behavior (5 February 2024).

Using Satellite Imagery to Detect the Impacts of New Highways: An Application to India

Baragwanath Vogel, Kathryn, Gordon H. Hanson, Amit Khandelwal, Chen Liu, and Hogeun Park. "Using Satellite Imagery to Detect the Impacts of New Highways: An Application to India." ÌÇÐÄvlog¹ÙÍø Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP24-003, January 2024.

Using Satellite Imagery to Detect the Impacts of New Highways: An Application to India

Vogel, Kathryn Baragwanath, Gordon H. Hanson, Amit Khandelwal, Chen Liu, Hogeun Park. "Using Satellite Imagery to Detect the Impacts of New Highways: An Application to India." NBER Working Paper Series, January 2024.

A Roadmap for Governing AI: Technology Governance and Power Sharing Liberalism

Allen, Danielle, Sarah Hubbard, Woojin Lim, Allison Stanger, Shlomit Wagman, Kinney Zalesne. "A Roadmap for Governing AI: Technology Governance and Power Sharing Liberalism." Ash Center Occasional Paper Series, January 2024.

The Real Dangers of Generative AI

Weyl, E Glen and Danielle Allen. "The Real Dangers of Generative AI." Journal of Democracy 35.1 (January 2024): 147-162.

Sustainability Transitions in Consumption-Production Systems

Geels, Frank W., Florian Kern, and William C. Clark. "Sustainability Transitions in Consumption-Production Systems." PNAS 120.47 (November 21, 2023): e2310070120.

To Batch or Not to Batch: Test-Ordering Variability in the Emergency Department and the Impact on Care Delivery

Jameson, Jacob, Soroush Saghafian, Robert S. Huckman, and Nicole Hodgson. "To Batch or Not to Batch: Test-Ordering Variability in the Emergency Department and the Impact on Care Delivery." ÌÇÐÄvlog¹ÙÍø Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP23-032, November 2023.

Showing high-achieving college applicants past admissions outcomes increases undermatching

Tomkins, Sabina, Joshua Grossman, Lindsay Page, and Sharad Goel. "Showing high-achieving college applicants past admissions outcomes increases undermatching." PNAS 120.45 (October 30, 2023): e2306017120.

Ash Carter’s Lessons from ISIS for Israel’s
Campaign Against Hamas

Allison, Graham. "Ash Carter’s Lessons from ISIS for Israel’s Campaign Against Hamas." Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs, October 25, 2023.

The Path to AI Arms Control

Kissinger, Henry A., and Allison, Graham. "The Path to AI Arms Control." Foreign Affairs, October 13, 2023.

Effective Generative AI: The Human-Algorithm Centaur

Saghafian, Soroush. "Effective Generative AI: The Human-Algorithm Centaur." ÌÇÐÄvlog¹ÙÍø Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP23-030, October 2023.

Media Measurement Matters: Estimating the Persuasive Effects of Partisan Media with Survey and Behavioral Data

Wittenberg, Chloe, Matthew A. Baum, Adam J. Berinsky, Justin de Benedictis-Kessner, and Teppei Yamamoto. "Media Measurement Matters: Estimating the Persuasive Effects of Partisan Media with Survey and Behavioral Data." The Journal of Politics 85.4 (October 2023): 1275-1290.

Algorithmic recommendations have limited effects on polarization: A naturalistic experiment on YouTube

Liu, Naijia, Matthew A. Baum, Adam J. Berinsky, Allison J.B. Chaney, Justin de Benedictis-Kessner, Andy Guess, Dean Knox, Christopher Lucas, Rachel Mariman, and Brandon M. Stewart. "Algorithmic recommendations have limited effects on polarization: A naturalistic experiment on YouTube." September 18, 2023.

Algorithmic Recommendations and Human Discretion

Angelova, Victoria, Will S. Dobbie, and Crystal Yang. "Algorithmic Recommendations and Human Discretion." NBER Working Paper Series, September 2023.

Mitigating Included - and Omitted - Variable Bias in Estimates of Disparate Impact

Jung, Jongbin, Sam Corbett-Davies, Johann D. Gaebler, Ravi Shroff, and Sharad Goel. "Mitigating Included - and Omitted - Variable Bias in Estimates of Disparate Impact." .

China Wants to Run Your Internet

Campanella, Edoardo, and John Haigh. "China Wants to Run Your Internet." Foreign Policy. August 25, 2023.

The Measure and Mismeasure of Fairness

Corbett-Davies, Sam, Johann D. Gaebler, Hamed Nilforoshan, Ravi Shroff, and Sharad Goel. "The Measure and Mismeasure of Fairness." Journal of Machine Learning Research 24 (2023): 1-117.

LegalBench: A Collaboratively Built Benchmark for Measuring Legal Reasoning in Large Language Models

Guha, Neel, Sharad Goel, et al. "LegalBench: A Collaboratively Built Benchmark for Measuring Legal Reasoning in Large Language Models." August 23, 2023.

Carbon capture, utilization, and storage: CO2 Transport costs and network infrastructure considerations for a net-zero United States

Galeazzi, Clara, Grace Lam, and John P. Holdren. "Carbon capture, utilization, and storage: CO2 Transport costs and network infrastructure considerations for a net-zero United States." Environment and Natural Resources Program & Science Technology and Public Policy Program Paper Series, July 2023.