National security is one of many fields where public officials offer imprecise probability assessments when evaluating high-stakes…
Is the American Century over? Many seem to think so. In recent years, polls showed that in 15 of 22 countries surveyed, most respondents…
This week, Congress took up the president’s request to use military force against the Islamic State. The president’s draft would authorize…
Twelve years ago we stumbled into a war in Iraq with little thought as to how much it would cost or how we might pay for it. Trillions of…
Who caused the Cold War? In War and Peace, Leo Tolstoy downplayed the role of human agency in shaping events, writing that “a king is…
When we try to understand cyber governance, it is important to remember how new cyberspace is. The World Wide Web was conceived in 1989,…