2020, Paper: "For much of the post-World War Two period, the world seemed on a1 path of ever-greater collaboration among the principal…
August 2020, Paper: "We describe a framework for empirical welfare analysis that uses the causal estimates of a policy’s impact on net…
July 27, 2020, Dataset, "Countercyclical fiscal policy generally focuses on national economic downturns. But U.S. states experience…
For Americans, the terrorist attacks of September 11, 2001, crystallized the notion of homeland security. But what does it mean to “secure…
2020, Paper: "In this study, we analyze the impacts of minimum wages on firms’ robot adoption using novel panel data related to robots…
Alzheimer’s Disease (AD) affects one in ten people aged 65 or older and is the most expensive disease in the United States. We describe the…
/publications/confidence-context-perceived-accuracy-quantitative-estimates-decreases-repeated-trials
Across seven studies (combined N = 5,484), we demonstrated that confidence in one’s judgments decreases over a series of quantitative…
Policymakers subsidizing health insurance often face uncertainty about future market prices. We study the implications of one policy…
White workers experience significant advantages in the labor market both in hiring and in compensation compared to their non-white peers.…
Combining decades of experience advancing frontier technologies, on the one hand, and analyzing national security decisionmaking, on the…