Trump Can't Solve North Korea by Just Making a Deal
President Donald J. Trump’s tweet this weekend that the U.S. might terminate all trade with countries doing business with North Korea was widely derided on the grounds of realism.
Research
Behavioral Consequences of Probabilistic Precision: Experimental Evidence from National Security Professionals
National security is one of many fields where experts make vague probability assessments when evaluating high-stakes decisions.
The Ties that Bind: How Armed Groups Use Violence to Create Social Cohesion
How do armed groups use violence to create social ties? What are the conditions under which such violence takes place?
What Does General Secretary Xi Jinping Dream About?
This analysis argues that the period of easy reforms in China has ended, and the time of difficult reforms that touch core political interests has begun. The resulting challenges facing the Chinese Co
North Korea and America Could Stumble into a Nuclear War
People from Los Angeles and San Francisco are calling me and asking: “Should we be getting our families out of the city? Are we about to be nuked?” The short answer is no.
No Time for Trump to Hurtle Toward War with North Korea
The president has a long to-do list, starting with slowing down and changing his tone. He should emulate Churchill and Reagan, not Kim Jung Un.
The One Big Problem With New Russia Sanctions
The latest round of congressional sanctions against Russia garnered much attention for the message they sent to President Donald Trump: We don’t trust you to decide when to lift or ease sanctions on M
What is the Impact of the NIMS Mandate?
As a consequence of the September 11, 2001, terrorist attacks, the US Homeland Security Act of 2002 mandated the creation of the National Incident Management System (NIMS) to be the standard method fo
What is the Impact of the NIMS Mandate?
As a consequence of the September 11, 2001, terrorist attacks, the US Homeland Security Act of 2002 mandated the creation of the National Incident Management System (NIMS) to be the standard method fo
Back from the Brink: Truth and Trust in the Public Sphere
The article presents a historical review of the evolving role of scientific expertise in public affairs in the U.S.
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