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Delivery worker wearing a medical mask and carrying packages.
Feature: The Impact of State Paid Sick Leave Laws on Service Workers

Daniel Schneider finds that state paid sick leave laws increased service workers’ access to paid sick leave and reduced the share of service workers who worked while sick.

A family with a father, mother, and two small children walking on a dirt path.
Feature: Connecting Absolute and Relative Intergenerational Mobility

Deirdre Bloome offers two frameworks for understanding the relationship between types of intergenerational mobility, or whether people are socioeconomically better off than their parents.

Two women in rural India dressed colorfully and carrying baskets on their heads.
Feature: Studying a Government Program to Support Women’s Self-Help Groups

Michael Walton explores the interactions between state and society in rural India within a major community-based development program, finding two major tensions.

A network of computer motherboards and other parts assembled to look like a miniature city.
Feature: The Data-Informed City

Jorrit de Jong presents a comprehensive framework for how cities can use data to address problems more effectively, efficiently, equitably, and with better accountability.

Harvard Kennedy School faculty disseminate their research in working publications and papers that contribute to public knowledge and fuel policy innovation. This list features recent faculty publications, including journal articles, books, edited volumes, research papers, and public testimony.

Faculty Publications

Managed Expectations Theory: Ex Ante Likelihoods Influence Ex Post Utilities

Zeckhauser, Richard, and W. Kip Viscusi. "Managed Expectations Theory: Ex Ante Likelihoods Influence Ex Post Utilities." RWP25-003, June 2025.

Playing Divide-and-Choose Given Uncertain Preferences

Tucker-Foltz, Jamie, and Richard Zeckhauser. "Playing Divide-and-Choose Given Uncertain Preferences." RWP22-008, December 2024.

How Big is the “Biggest Climate Spending Bill Ever?” Key Factors Influencing the Inflation Reduction Act’s Clean Energy Impacts

Aldy, Joseph. "How Big is the “Biggest Climate Spending Bill Ever?” Key Factors Influencing the Inflation Reduction Act’s Clean Energy Impacts." RWP24-007, November 2024.

Homeward Bound: How Migrants Seek Out Familiar Climates

Obolensky, Marguerite, Marco Tabellini, and Charles Taylor. "Homeward Bound: How Migrants Seek Out Familiar Climates." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP24-001, January 2024.

How Is the US Pricing Carbon? How Could We Price Carbon?

Aldy, Joseph E., Dallas Burtraw, Carolyn Fischer, Meredith Fowlie, Roberton C. Williams III & Maureen L. Cropper. "How Is the US Pricing Carbon? How Could We Price Carbon?" vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP22-018, October 2022.

The Evolving Role of Greenhouse Gas Emission Offsets in Combating Climate Change

Aldy, Joseph E., and Zachery M. Halem. "The Evolving Role of Greenhouse Gas Emission Offsets in Combating Climate Change." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP22-011, August 2022.

Learning How to Build Back Better through Clean Energy Policy Evaluation

Aldy, Joseph. "Learning How to Build Back Better through Clean Energy Policy Evaluation." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP22-010, August 2022.

The Welfare Implications of Carbon Price Certainty

Aldy, Joseph, and Armitage, Sarah. "The Welfare Implications of Carbon Price Certainty." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP22-003, May 2022.

Immigration and Occupational Comparative Advantage

Hanson, Gordon H., and Chen Liu. "Immigration and Occupational Comparative Advantage." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP21-029, November 2021.

On the Persistence of the China Shock

Autor, David, David Dorn, and Gordon H. Hanson. "On the Persistence of the China Shock." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP21-028, November 2021.

The Long-Term Costs of United States Care for Veterans of the Afghanistan and Iraq Wars

Bilmes, Linda J. "The Long-Term Costs of United States Care for Veterans of the Afghanistan and Iraq Wars." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP21-024, September 2021.

Search and Information Frictions on Global E-Commerce Platforms: Evidence from AliExpress

Bai, Jie, Maggie Chen, Jin Liu, and Daniel Yi Xu. "Search and Information Frictions on Global E-Commerce Platforms: Evidence from AliExpress." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP20-037, November 2020; Updated September 2021.

The Virus, Vaccination, and Voting

Frankel, Jeffrey A., and Randy Kotti. "The Virus, Vaccination, and Voting." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP21-021, August 2021.

Can Gender and Race Dynamics in Performance Appraisals be Disrupted? The Case of Social Influence

Bohnet, Iris, Oliver P. Hauser, and Ariella Kristal. "Can Gender and Race Dynamics in Performance Appraisals be Disrupted? The Case of Social Influence." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP21-016, Working Paper.

Investor Rewards to Climate Responsibility:Stock-Price Responses to the Opposite Shocks of the 2016 and 2020 U.S. Elections

Ramelli, Stefano, Alexander F. Wagner, Richard J. Zeckhauser, and Alexandre Ziegler. "Investor Rewards to Climate Responsibility: Stock-Price Responses to the Opposite Shocks of the 2016 and 2020 U.S. Elections." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP21-011, March 2021.

The Role of Retrospective Analysis in an Era of Deregulation: Lessons from the U.S. Mercury Air Toxic Standards

Evans, Mary, Karen Palmer, Joseph Aldy, Meredith Fowlie, Matthew Kotchen, and Arik Levinson. "The Role of Retrospective Analysis in an Era of Deregulation: Lessons from the U.S. Mercury Air Toxic Standards." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP21-010, March 2021.

Co-Benefits and Regulatory Impact Analysis:
Theory and Evidence from Federal Air Quality
Regulations

Aldy, Joseph, Matthew Kotchen, Mary Evans, Meredith Fowlie, Arik Levinson, and Karen Palmer. "Co-Benefits and Regulatory Impact Analysis: Theory and Evidence from Federal Air Quality Regulations." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP21-009, March 2021.

Environmental Benefit-Cost Analysis: A Comparative Analysis Between the United States and the United Kingdom

Aldy, Joseph E., Giles Atkinson, and Matthew Kotchen. "Environmental Benefit-Cost Analysis: A Comparative Analysis Between the United States and the United Kingdom." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP21-008, March 2021.

Making 'Stakeholder Capitalism' Work: Contributions from Business and Human Rights

Ruggie, John Gerard, Caroline Rees, and Rachel Davis. "Making 'Stakeholder Capitalism' Work: Contributions from Business and Human Rights." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP20-034, November 2020.

Using Machine Learning to Demystify Startups Funding, Post-Money Valuation, and Success

Ang, Yu Qian, Andrew Chia, and Soroush Saghafian. "Using Machine Learning to Demystify Startups Funding, Post-Money Valuation, and Success." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP20-028, August 2020.

Deterrence Games and the Disruption of Information

Ma, Siyu, Yair Tauman, and Richard Zeckhauser. "Deterrence Games and the Disruption of Information." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP20-026, August 2020.

Rolling the Dice in the Corridors of Power: William Nordhaus’s Impacts on Climate Change Policy

Aldy, Joseph, and Robert N. Stavins. "Rolling the Dice in the Corridors of Power: William Nordhaus’s Impacts on Climate Change Policy." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP20-022, July 2020.

The Tax Cuts and Jobs Act: Which Firms Won? Which Lost?

Wagner, Alexander F., Richard J. Zeckhauser, and Alexandre Ziegler. "The Tax Cuts and Jobs Act: Which Firms Won? Which Lost?" vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP20-018, June 2020.

Why is the Euro Punching Below Its Weight?

Ilzetzki, Ethan, Carmen M. Reinhart, and Kenneth S. Rogoff. "Why is the Euro Punching Below Its Weight?" vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP20-013, May 2020.

How Are Small Businesses Adjusting to COVID-19? Early Evidence from a Survey

Bartik, Alexander W., Marianne Bertrand, Zoë B. Cullen, Edward L. Glaeser, Michael Luca, and Christopher T. Stanton. "How Are Small Businesses Adjusting to COVID-19? Early Evidence from a Survey." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP20-012, May 2020.

Three Prongs for Prudent Climate Policy

Aldy, Joseph, and Richard Zeckhauser. "Three Prongs for Prudent Climate Policy." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP20-009, April 2020.

Looking Back at Fifty Years of the Clean Air Act

Aldy, Joseph, Maximillian Auffhammer, Maureen Cropper, Arthur Fraas, and Richard Morgenstern. "Looking Back at Fifty Years of the Clean Air Act." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP20-003, February 2020.

Does One Medicare Fit All? The Economics of Uniform Health Insurance Benefits

Shepard, Mark, Katherine Baicker, and Jonathan Skinner. "Does One Medicare Fit All? The Economics of Uniform Health Insurance Benefits." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP19-036, November 2019.

The Two Margin Problem in Insurance Markets

Shepard, Mark, Michael Geruso, Timothy J. Layton, and Grace McCormack. "The Two Margin Problem in Insurance Markets." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP19-035, November 2019.

Corporate Purpose in Play: The Role of ESG Investing

Ruggie, John Gerard. "Corporate Purpose in Play: The Role of ESG Investing." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP19-034, November 2019.

The Property Rights Theory of Production Networks

Balbuzanov, Ivan, and Maciej Kotowski. "The Property Rights Theory of Production Networks." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP19-033, November 2019.

Bound to Happen: Explanation Bias in Historical Analysis

Mukharji, Aroop, and Richard Zeckhauser. "Bound to Happen: Explanation Bias in Historical Analysis." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP19-032, October 2019.

Italian Renaissance Portraits that Disappoint: Isabella d’Este, Francesco del Giocondo and Other Displeased Patrons

Nelson, Jonathan K., and Richard Zeckhauser. "Italian Renaissance Portraits that Disappoint: Isabella d’Este, Francesco del Giocondo and Other Displeased Patrons." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP19-024, July 2019.

First-Price Auctions with Budget Constraints

Kotowski, Maciej. "First-Price Auctions with Budget Constraints." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP19-021, June 2019.

A Perfectly Robust Approach to Multiperiod Matching Problems

Kotowski, Maciej. "A Perfectly Robust Approach to Multiperiod Matching Problems." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP19-016, May 2019 (Updated August 2019).

Efficient Division When Preferences are Private: Using the Expected Externality Mechanism

Aperjis, Christina, Maciej Kotowski, and Richard Zeckhauser. "Efficient Division When Preferences are Private: Using the Expected Externality Mechanism." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP19-014, April 2019.

Birds of a Feather: Estimating the Value of Statistical Life from Dual-Earner Families

Aldy, Joseph. "Birds of a Feather: Estimating the Value of Statistical Life from Dual-Earner Families." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP19-013, April 2019.

Sovereign Bonds since Waterloo

Meyer, Josefin, Carmen M. Reinhart, and Christoph Trebesch. "Sovereign Bonds since Waterloo." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP19-009, February 2019.

Should the Fed Be Constrained?

Frankel, Jeffrey A. "Should the Fed Be Constrained?" vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP19-003, December 2018.

Managerial Control and Executive Compensation

Scherer, F.M. "Managerial Control and Executive Compensation." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP19-002, January 2019.

Policy Evolution under the Clean Air Act

Schmalensee, Richard, and Robert N. Stavins. "Policy Evolution under the Clean Air Act." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP18-039, November 2018.

GHG Cap-and-Trade: Implications for Effective and Efficient Climate Policy in Oregon

Schatzki, Todd, and Robert N. Stavins. "GHG Cap-and-Trade: Implications for Effective and Efficient Climate Policy in Oregon." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP18-038, November 2018.

Stock Price Rewards to Climate Saints and Sinners: Evidence from the Trump Election

Ramelli, Stefano, Alexander F. Wagner, Richard J. Zeckhauser, and Alexandre Ziegler. "Stock Price Rewards to Climate Saints and Sinners: Evidence from the Trump Election." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP18-037, September 2018.

Key Issues Facing California's GHG Cap-and-Trade System for 2021-2030

Schatzki, Todd, and Robert N. Stavins. "Key Issues Facing California's GHG Cap-and-Trade System for 2021-2030." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP18-025, July 2018.

Investment versus Output Subsidies: Implications of Alternative Incentives for Wind Energy

Aldy, Joseph, Todd Gerarden, and Richard Sweeney. "Investment versus Output Subsidies: Implications of Alternative Incentives for Wind Energy." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP18-012, March 2018.

Gains from Digitization: Evidence from Gift-Giving in Music

Dogan, Pinar, and Marc Bourreau. "Gains from Digitization: Evidence from Gift-Giving in Music." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP18-010, February 2018.

Sunlight and Protection Against Influenza

Slusky, David J. G., and Richard J. Zeckhauser. "Sunlight and Protection Against Influenza." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP18-007, February 2018.

Confronting an Enemy with Unknown Preferences: Deterrer or Provocateur?

Jelnov, Artyom, Yair Tauman, and Richard Zeckhauser. "Confronting an Enemy with Unknown Preferences: Deterrer or Provocateur?" vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP18-006, January 2018.

Excess Prices for Drugs in Medicare: Diagnosis and Prescription

Frank, Richard G., and Richard J. Zeckhauser. "Excess Prices for Drugs in Medicare: Diagnosis and Prescription." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP18-005, January 2018.

African Regional Economic Integration: The Emergence, Evolution, and Impact of Institutional Innovation

Juma, Calestous, and Francis Mangeni. "African Regional Economic Integration: The Emergence, Evolution, and Impact of Institutional Innovation." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP18-003, January 2018.