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The White House lawn on a sunny day.
Feature: Is DOGE Sure It Wants to Fire These People?

Juliette Kayyem examines the negative effects that Elon Musks’s Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) could have on the safety of everyday Americans.

River running through a densely populated area.
Feature: Private Benefits from Public Investment in Climate Resilience

Joseph Aldy finds that governmental construction of levees, which enhance resilience to flood risks amplified by climate change, increases home values by 3-4 percent.

Person sits on a bed holding a check.
Feature: Assessing Government Outreach to Bolster Benefits Take-Up

Elizabeth Linos finds that light-touch interventions significantly, consistently, and cost-effectively increase benefits take-up among low-income households, while higher-touch proactive outreach yields minimal additional take-up.

Black family happily sits on the grass in a park.
Feature: Excess Mortality Rate in U.S. Black Children Since 1950

Soroush Saghafian finds that 5 million excess deaths of Black Americans, including over 500,000 infants, could have been avoided over the past 70 years if their mortality rates were equal to those of White Americans.

Harvard Kennedy School faculty disseminate their research in working publications and papers that contribute to public knowledge and fuel policy innovation. This list features recent faculty publications, including journal articles, books, edited volumes, research papers, and public testimony.

Faculty Publications

Digital phenotyping in bipolar disorder: Using longitudinal Fitbit data and personalized machine learning to predict mood symptomatology

Lipschitz, Jessica M., Sidian Lin, Soroush Saghafian, Chelsea K. Pike, and Katherine E. Burdick. "Digital phenotyping in bipolar disorder: Using longitudinal Fitbit data and personalized machine learning to predict mood symptomatology." Acta Psychiatrica Scandinavica 151.3 (March 2025): 434-447.

Behaviorally Designed Training Leads to More Diverse Hiring

Arslan, Cansin, Edward H. Chang, Siri Chilazi, Iris Bohnet, and Oliver P. Hauser. "Behaviorally Designed Training Leads to More Diverse Hiring." Science 387.6732 (24 Jan 2025): 364-366.

Don’t look to efficiency for big deficit reductions

Dynan, Karen, and Doug Elmendorf. "Don’t look to efficiency for big deficit reductions." What awaits the Department of Government Efficiency? vlog experts on prospects for a radical new initiative, January 15, 2025.

Playing Divide-and-Choose Given Uncertain Preferences

Tucker-Foltz, Jamie, and Richard Zeckhauser. "Playing Divide-and-Choose Given Uncertain Preferences." RWP22-008, December 2024.

Ambiguous Dynamic Treatment Regimes: A Reinforcement Learning Approach

Saghafian, Soroush. "Ambiguous Dynamic Treatment Regimes: A Reinforcement Learning Approach." Management Science 70.9 (September 2024): 5667-5690.

From Crisis to Opportunity: How the City of Portland Embraced Democratic Innovation

Fung, Archon, Max Kiefel, and Nick Chedli Carter. "From Crisis to Opportunity: How the City of Portland Embraced Democratic Innovation." Ash Center Occasional Papers Series, June 2024.

Deterrence games and the disruption of information

Ma, Siyu, Yair Tauman, and Richard Zeckhauser. "Deterrence games and the disruption of information." International Journal of Game Theory 53 (March 2024): 261-287.

Homeward Bound: How Migrants Seek Out Familiar Climates

Obolensky, Marguerite, Marco Tabellini, and Charles Taylor. "Homeward Bound: How Migrants Seek Out Familiar Climates." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP24-001, January 2024.

Feeling uncertain despite knowing the risk: Patients with OCD (but not controls) experience known and unknown probabilistic decisions as similarly distressing and uncertain

Jacoby, Ryan J., Abigail Szkutak, Jin Shin, Jennifer Lerner, and Sabine Wilhelm. "Feeling uncertain despite knowing the risk: Patients with OCD (but not controls) experience known and unknown probabilistic decisions as similarly distressing and uncertain." Journal of Obsessive-Compulsive and Related Disorders 39 (October 2023).

Incorporating DEI into Decision-Making

Chang, Edward, Siri Chilazi, James Elfer, Cansin Arslan, Erika Kirgios, Oliver Hauser, and Iris Bohnet. "Incorporating DEI into Decision-Making." Harvard Business Review. September 1, 2023.

Understanding the Opioid Epidemic: Human-Based Versus Algorithmic-Based Perceptions, Treatments, and Guidelines

Boloori, Alireza, Soroush Saghafian, and Stephen J. Traub. "Understanding the Opioid Epidemic: Human-Based Versus Algorithmic-Based Perceptions, Treatments, and Guidelines." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP22-026, December 2022.

Algorithm, Human, or the Centaur: How to Enhance Clinical Care?

Orfanoudaki, Agni, Soroush Saghafian, Karen Song, Harini A. Chakkera, and Curtiss B. Cook. "Algorithm, Human, or the Centaur: How to Enhance Clinical Care?" vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP22-027, December 2022.

When Deliberation Produces Persuasion rather than Polarization: Measuring and modeling Small Group Dynamics in a Field Experiment

Esterling, Kevin M., Archon Fung, and Taeku Lee. "When Deliberation Produces Persuasion rather than Polarization: Measuring and modeling Small Group Dynamics in a Field Experiment." British Journal of Political Science 51.2 (April 2021): 666-684.

Comparison of toll and annuity PPPs: a case study of highway projects in India

Mangu, Samhita, Thillai Rajan Annamalai, and Akash Deep. "Comparison of toll and annuity PPPs: a case study of highway projects in India." Built Environment Project and Asset Management 11.1 (February 2021): 103-120.

Économie comportementale: quand défi nir des objectifs aide à promouvoir la diversité, l’équité et l’inclusion

Chilazi, Siri, and Irish Bohnet. "Économie comportementale: quand défi nir des objectifs aide à promouvoir la diversité, l’équité et l’inclusion." Guide de l'Économie Comportementale (2021): 21-38.

Efficient Division When Preferences are Private: Using the Expected Externality Mechanism

Aperjis, Christina, Maciej Kotowski, and Richard Zeckhauser. "Efficient Division When Preferences are Private: Using the Expected Externality Mechanism." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP19-014, April 2019.

Stock Price Rewards to Climate Saints and Sinners: Evidence from the Trump Election

Ramelli, Stefano, Alexander F. Wagner, Richard J. Zeckhauser, and Alexandre Ziegler. "Stock Price Rewards to Climate Saints and Sinners: Evidence from the Trump Election." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP18-037, September 2018.

CEO Clarity

Dzielinski, Michal, Alexander F. Wagner, and Richard J. Zeckhauser. "CEO Clarity." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP17-017, May 2017.

Efficient Warnings, Not “Wolf or Puppy” Warnings

Robinson, Lisa A., W. Kip Viscusi, and Richard Zeckhauser. "Efficient Warnings, Not “Wolf or Puppy” Warnings." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP16-033, September 2016: Revised November 2016.

Perceiving others’ feelings: The importance of personality and social structure

Sherman, Gary D., Jennifer S. Lerner, Jonathan Renshon, Christine Ma-Kellams, and Samantha Joel. "Perceiving others’ feelings: The importance of personality and social structure." Social Psychological and Personality Science 6.5 (July 2015): 559-569.