Faculty Publications

Delivery worker wearing a medical mask and carrying packages.

Feature: The Impact of State Paid Sick Leave Laws on Service Workers

Daniel Schneider finds that state paid sick leave laws increased service workers’ access to paid sick leave and reduced the share of service workers who worked while sick.

A family with a father, mother, and two small children walking on a dirt path.

Feature: Connecting Absolute and Relative Intergenerational Mobility

Deirdre Bloome offers two frameworks for understanding the relationship between types of intergenerational mobility, or whether people are socioeconomically better off than their parents.

Two women in rural India dressed colorfully and carrying baskets on their heads.

Feature: Studying a Government Program to Support Women’s Self-Help Groups

Michael Walton explores the interactions between state and society in rural India within a major community-based development program, finding two major tensions.

A network of computer motherboards and other parts assembled to look like a miniature city.

Feature: The Data-Informed City

Jorrit de Jong presents a comprehensive framework for how cities can use data to address problems more effectively, efficiently, equitably, and with better accountability.

Harvard Kennedy School faculty disseminate their research in working publications and papers that contribute to public knowledge and fuel policy innovation. This list features recent faculty publications, including journal articles, books, edited volumes, research papers, and public testimony.

Faculty Publications

Risk-aversion with both high and low ambiguity: Elevated OCD symptom severity and intolerance of uncertainty are associated with less risk-taking in an OCD patient sub-sample

Jacoby, Ryan J., Dalton L. Klare, Caroline H. Armstrong, Susanne S. Hoeppner, Jennifer Lerner, and Sabine Wilhelm. "Risk-aversion with both high and low ambiguity: Elevated OCD symptom severity and intolerance of uncertainty are associated with less risk-taking in an OCD patient sub-sample." Journal of Obsessive-Compulsive and Related Disorders 46 (July 2025): 100955.

Managed Expectations Theory: Ex Ante Likelihoods Influence Ex Post Utilities

Zeckhauser, Richard, and W. Kip Viscusi. "Managed Expectations Theory: Ex Ante Likelihoods Influence Ex Post Utilities." RWP25-003, June 2025.

Artificial Intelligence-Assisted Emergency Department Vertical Patient Flow Optimization

Hodgson, Nicole R., Soroush, Saghafian, Wayne A. Martini, Arshya Feizi, and Agni Orfanourdaki. "Artificial Intelligence-Assisted Emergency Department Vertical Patient Flow Optimization." Journal of Personalized Medicine 15.6 (June 2025): 219.

Trump Deregulatory Acts Focus on Costs, Not Overall Well-Being

Aldy, Joseph. "Trump Deregulatory Acts Focus on Costs, Not Overall Well-Being." Environmental Forum, 42.3, May-June 2025, 15.

Introducing Perspectives from the Global Observatory for Genome Editing

Moses, Jacob D., J. Benjamin Hurlbut, Sheila Jasanoff, and Krishanu Saha. "Introducing Perspectives from the Global Observatory for Genome Editing." The CRISPR Journal (23 May 2025).

A Reset for Bioethics: A Statement from the Global Observatory for Genome Editing

Jasanoff, Sheila, et al. "A Reset for Bioethics: A Statement from the Global Observatory for Genome Editing." The CRISPR Journal (22 May 2025).

Going the Distance or Growing More Remote? The Academic Impacts of Course Modality following Pandemic-Era Investments

Worsham, Rachel, Elise Swanson, and Christopher Norio Avery. "Going the Distance or Growing More Remote? The Academic Impacts of Course Modality following Pandemic-Era Investments." EdWorkingPaper, May 2025.

The global distribution of authorship in economics journals

Aigner, Ernest, Jacob Greenspan, and Dani Rodrik. "The global distribution of authorship in economics journals." World Development 189 (May 2025): 106926.

Putting US Fiscal Policy on a Sustainable Path

Dynan, Karen, and Douglas Elmendorf. "Putting US Fiscal Policy on a Sustainable Path." NBER Working Paper Series, May 2025.

Building Capacity to Govern Cooperatively in Pursuit of Sustainable Development: Lessons from scholarship and practice

Harley, Alicia G., and William C. Clark. "Building Capacity to Govern Cooperatively in Pursuit of Sustainable Development: Lessons from scholarship and practice." Sustainability Science Program Working Paper Series, April 22, 2025.

Exploring Democratic Deliberation in Public Health: Bridging Division and Enhancing Community Engagement

Bosché, Michelle, Rachel Krust, Archon Fung, and Aditya S. Pawar. "Exploring Democratic Deliberation in Public Health: Bridging Division and Enhancing Community Engagement." American Journal of Public Health 115.4 (April 2025): 500-505.

Significant Health and Economic Costs Come From Wildfire Smoke

Aldy, Joseph. "Significant Health and Economic Costs Come From Wildfire Smoke." Environmental Forum, 42.15, March/April 2025, 15.

Measuring Human Leadership Skills with AI Agents

Weidmann, Ben, Yixian Xu, and David J. Deming. "Measuring Human Leadership Skills with AI Agents." NBER Working Paper Series, April 2025.

The Post-Neoliberal Delusion And the Tragedy of Bidenomics

Furman, Jason. "The Post-Neoliberal Delusion And the Tragedy of Bidenomics." Foreign Affairs, March/April 2025.

Excess Mortality Rate in Black Children Since 1950 in the United States: A 70-Year Population-Based Study of Racial Inequalities

Paternina-Caicedo, Angel, Oscar Espinosa, Sangini S. Sheth, Nathaniel Hupert, and Soroush Saghafian. "Excess Mortality Rate in Black Children Since 1950 in the United States: A 70-Year Population-Based Study of Racial Inequalities." Annals of Internal Medicine (25 March 2025).

Private Benefits from Public Investment in Climate Adaptation and Resilience

Bradt, Jacob T. and Joseph E. Aldy. "Private Benefits from Public Investment in Climate Adaptation and Resilience." March 24, 2025.

Energy, Climate, Growth

Sinha, Jayant, Robert Stavins, Jessica Seddon, and Arunabha Ghosh. "Energy, Climate, Growth." Navigating Challenges for Sustainable Growth. Ed. Suman Bery, Kapil Kapoor, and Jean-Louis Arcand. Singapore: Springer, 2025, 1-18.

Technology, Policy, Jobs; Multilateralism: Geopolitics, Governance, and the Global Commons

Lawrence, Robert Z., and Homi Kharas. "Technology, Policy, Jobs; Multilateralism: Geopolitics, Governance, and the Global Commons." Navigating Challenges for Sustainable Growth. Ed. Suman Bery, Kapil Kapoor, and Jean-Louis Arcand. Singapore: Springer, 2025.

Methane Abatement Costs in the Oil and Gas Industry: Survey and Synthesis

Aldy, Joseph E., Forest L. Reinhardt, and Robert N. Stavins. "Methane Abatement Costs in the Oil and Gas Industry: Survey and Synthesis." NBER Working Paper Series, March 2025.

Digital phenotyping in bipolar disorder: Using longitudinal Fitbit data and personalized machine learning to predict mood symptomatology

Lipschitz, Jessica M., Sidian Lin, Soroush Saghafian, Chelsea K. Pike, and Katherine E. Burdick. "Digital phenotyping in bipolar disorder: Using longitudinal Fitbit data and personalized machine learning to predict mood symptomatology." Acta Psychiatrica Scandinavica 151.3 (March 2025): 434-447.

Expert Patients’ Use of Avoidable Health Care

Chandra, Amitabh, Pragya Kakani, and Simone Matecna. "Expert Patients’ Use of Avoidable Health Care." NBER Working Paper Series, March 2025.

Expert Patients’ Use of Avoidable Health Care

Kakani, Pragya, Simone Matecna, and Amitabh Chandra. "Expert Patients’ Use of Avoidable Health Care." NBER Working Paper Series, March 2025.

Building Capacity to Adapt Development Pathways to Protect Human Well-being in the Face of Shocks: Lessons from scholarship and practice

Harley, Alicia G., and William C. Clark. "Building Capacity to Adapt Development Pathways to Protect Human Well-being in the Face of Shocks: Lessons from scholarship and practice." Sustainability Science Program Working Paper Series, February 16, 2025.

Variation in batch ordering of imaging tests in the emergency department and the impact on care delivery

Jameson, Jacob C., Soroush Saghafian, Robert S. Huckman, and Nicole Hodgson. "Variation in batch ordering of imaging tests in the emergency department and the impact on care delivery." Health Services Research 60.1 (February 2025): e14406.

Important Economic Benefits of a Bipartisan Climate Change Policy

Aldy, Joseph. "Important Economic Benefits of a Bipartisan Climate Change Policy." Environmental Forum, 42.1, January/February 2025, 15.

Building Capacity to Measure Sustainability: Lessons from scholarship and practice

Harley, Alicia G., and William C. Clark. "Building Capacity to Measure Sustainability: Lessons from scholarship and practice." Sustainability Science Program Working Paper Series, January 29, 2025.

Make Work Fair: Data-Driven Design for Real Results

Bohnet, Iris, and Siri Chilazi. Make Work Fair: Data-Driven Design for Real Results. New York: HarperCollins, 2025.

Behaviorally Designed Training Leads to More Diverse Hiring

Arslan, Cansin, Edward H. Chang, Siri Chilazi, Iris Bohnet, and Oliver P. Hauser. "Behaviorally Designed Training Leads to More Diverse Hiring." Science 387.6732 (24 Jan 2025): 364-366.

The Biopolitics of CRISPR

Jasanoff, Sheila. "The Biopolitics of CRISPR." The CRISPR Revolution in Science, Religion, and Ethics. Ed. Arvin M. Gouw and Ted Peters. London: Bloomsbury Academic, 2025.

Don’t look to efficiency for big deficit reductions

Dynan, Karen, and Doug Elmendorf. "Don’t look to efficiency for big deficit reductions." What awaits the Department of Government Efficiency? ��vlog�� experts on prospects for a radical new initiative, January 15, 2025.

A Framework for Considering the Value of Race and Ethnicity in Estimating Disease Risk

Coots, Madison, Soroush Saghafian, David M. Kent, and Sharad Goel. "A Framework for Considering the Value of Race and Ethnicity in Estimating Disease Risk." Annals of Internal Medicine 178.1 (January 2025): 98-107.

Effective Generative AI: The Human-Algorithm Centaur

Saghafian, Soroush, and Lihi Idan. "Effective Generative AI: The Human-Algorithm Centaur." Harvard Data Science Review Special Issue 5 (December 19, 2024).

Playing Divide-and-Choose Given Uncertain Preferences

Tucker-Foltz, Jamie, and Richard Zeckhauser. "Playing Divide-and-Choose Given Uncertain Preferences." RWP22-008, December 2024.

Fiscal policy and the pandemic-era surge in US inflation: Lessons for the future

Dynan, Karen, and Douglas Elmendorf. "Fiscal policy and the pandemic-era surge in US inflation: Lessons for the future." Understanding the COVID Era Inflation, Peterson Institute for International Economics, December 2024.

The True Cost of Living

Summers, Lawrence H., Marijn A. Bolhuis, and Judd Cramer. "The True Cost of Living." Finance & Development. December 2024.

Supporting Postsecondary Readiness in Rural Districts: Experimental Evidence from a Rural Research Network

Swanson, Elise, Jennifer Ash, Sativa Thompson, Lisa Sanbonmatsu, Christopher Avery, Douglas O. Staiger, and Thomas J. Kane. "Supporting Postsecondary Readiness in Rural Districts: Experimental Evidence from a Rural Research Network." Center for Education Policy Research and National Center for Rural Education Research Networks, December 2024.

Eight Questions—and Some Answers—on the US Fiscal Situation

Furman, Jason. "Eight Questions—and Some Answers—on the US Fiscal Situation." Strengthening America’s Economic Dynamism. Ed. Melissa S. Kearney and Luke Pardue. Washington, D.C.: Aspen Institute, 2024, 136-165.

GDP as a Measure of Economic Well-Being

Dynan, Karen, and Louise Sheiner. "GDP as a Measure of Economic Well-Being." The Measure of Economies: Measuring Productivity in an Age of Technological Change. Ed. Reinsdorf, Marshall B. and Louise Sheiner. Chicago: The University of Chicago Press, 2024.

Genomic heterogeneity and ploidy identify patients with intrinsic resistance to PD-1 blockade in metastatic melanoma

Tarantino, Giuseppe, Cora A. Ricker, Annette Wang ... Soroush Saghafian et al. "Genomic heterogeneity and ploidy identify patients with intrinsic resistance to PD-1 blockade in metastatic melanoma." Science Advances 10.48 (29 November 2024): eadp4670.

Dynamic Assignment of Patients to Primary and Secondary Inpatient Units: Is Patience a Virtue?

Saghafian, Soroush, Derya Kilinic, and Stephen J. Traub. "Dynamic Assignment of Patients to Primary and Secondary Inpatient Units: Is Patience a Virtue?" The Cambridge Handbook of Healthcare Productivity, Efficiency, Effectiveness. Ed. Shawna Grosskopf, Vivian Valdmanis, and Valentin Zelenyuk. New York: Cambridge University Press, 2024, 612-656.

Supply Chain Management: A Public Sector Perspective

Fagan, Mark L. Supply Chain Management: A Public Sector Perspective. Cheltanham: Edward Elgar Publishing, 2024.

How Big is the “Biggest Climate Spending Bill Ever?” Key Factors Influencing the Inflation Reduction Act’s Clean Energy Impacts

Aldy, Joseph. "How Big is the “Biggest Climate Spending Bill Ever?” Key Factors Influencing the Inflation Reduction Act’s Clean Energy Impacts." RWP24-007, November 2024.

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