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Delivery worker wearing a medical mask and carrying packages.
Feature: The Impact of State Paid Sick Leave Laws on Service Workers

Daniel Schneider finds that state paid sick leave laws increased service workers’ access to paid sick leave and reduced the share of service workers who worked while sick.

A family with a father, mother, and two small children walking on a dirt path.
Feature: Connecting Absolute and Relative Intergenerational Mobility

Deirdre Bloome offers two frameworks for understanding the relationship between types of intergenerational mobility, or whether people are socioeconomically better off than their parents.

Two women in rural India dressed colorfully and carrying baskets on their heads.
Feature: Studying a Government Program to Support Women’s Self-Help Groups

Michael Walton explores the interactions between state and society in rural India within a major community-based development program, finding two major tensions.

A network of computer motherboards and other parts assembled to look like a miniature city.
Feature: The Data-Informed City

Jorrit de Jong presents a comprehensive framework for how cities can use data to address problems more effectively, efficiently, equitably, and with better accountability.

Harvard Kennedy School faculty disseminate their research in working publications and papers that contribute to public knowledge and fuel policy innovation. This list features recent faculty publications, including journal articles, books, edited volumes, research papers, and public testimony.

Faculty Publications

Putting US Fiscal Policy on a Sustainable Path

Dynan, Karen, and Douglas Elmendorf. "Putting US Fiscal Policy on a Sustainable Path." NBER Working Paper Series, May 2025.

Putting US Fiscal Policy on a Sustainable Path

Dynan, Karen, and Douglas Elmendorf. "Putting US Fiscal Policy on a Sustainable Path." NBER Working Paper Series, May 2025.

Second-Best Amendment: Market Power and Tax Design in the Firearms Industry

Armona, Luis, and Adam M. Rosenberg. "Second-Best Amendment: Market Power and Tax Design in the Firearms Industry." December 13, 2024.

Fiscal policy and the pandemic-era surge in US inflation: Lessons for the future

Dynan, Karen, and Douglas Elmendorf. "Fiscal policy and the pandemic-era surge in US inflation: Lessons for the future." Understanding the COVID Era Inflation, Peterson Institute for International Economics, December 2024.

International Lending in War and Peace

Horn, Sebastian, Carmen M. Reinhart, and Chrisoph Trebesch. "International Lending in War and Peace." October 2024.

Dynamic scoring: A progress report on why, when, and how

Elmendorf, Douglas, Glenn Hubbard, and Heidi Williams. "Dynamic scoring: A progress report on why, when, and how." Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, September 26-27, 2024.

Help for the Heartland? The Employment and Electoral Effects of the Trump Tariffs in the United States

Autor, David, Anne Beck, David Dorn, and Gordon H. Hanson. "Help for the Heartland? The Employment and Electoral Effects of the Trump Tariffs in the United States." NBER Working Paper Series, January 2024.

China as an International Lender of Last Resort

Horn, Sebastian, Bradley C. Parks, Carmen M. Reinhart, and Cristoph Trebesch. "China as an International Lender of Last Resort." World Bank Policy Research Working Paper Series, March 2023.

Public institutions and support for climate funding

Bilmes, Linda, Mauricio Rodas, Geraldine Fraser-Moleketi, Devon Rowe, Aminata Touré, and Lan Xue. "Public institutions and support for climate funding." United Nations ECOSOC, March 16. 2023.

Estimation of Nonlinear Exchange Rate Dynamics in Evolving Regimes

Frankel, Jeffrey A., Yao Hou, and Danxia Xie. "Estimation of Nonlinear Exchange Rate Dynamics in Evolving Regimes." March 2023.

Helping Schools Survive: Experimental Evidence on the Impact of Financial and Educational Support to Private Schools

Andrabi, Tahir, Jishnu Das, Asim I Khwaja, and Selçuk Özyurt. "Helping Schools Survive: Experimental Evidence on the Impact of Financial and Educational Support to Private Schools." RISE Working Paper Series, February 2023.

A Balance-Sheet Model of Fiscal
Policy in Namibia

Sturzenegger, Federico, and Nicolas Der Meguerditchian. "A Balance-Sheet Model of Fiscal Policy in Namibia." Red Nacionale de Investigadores en Economia (RedNIE), April 2022.

What the Federal Reserve Should Do Now: An Elaboration

Furman, Jason. "What the Federal Reserve Should Do Now: An Elaboration." Peterson Institute for International Economics, November 18, 2021.

Decrypting New Age International Capital Flows

Graf von Luckner, Clemens, Carmen M. Reinhart, and Kenneth S. Rogoff. "Decrypting New Age International Capital Flows." NBER Working Paper Series, October 2021.

Rethinking Exchange Rate Regimes

Ilzetzki, Ethan, Carmen M. Reinhart, and Kenneth S. Rogoff. "Rethinking Exchange Rate Regimes." NBER Working Paper Series, October 2021.

The Aftermath of Debt Surges

Kose, M. Ayhan, Franziska L. Ohnsorge, Carmen M. Reinhart, and Kenneth S. Rogoff. "The Aftermath of Debt Surges." NBER Working Paper Series, September 2021.

The role of childcare challenges in the US jobs market recovery during the COVID-19 pandemic

Furman, Jason, Melissa S. Kearney, and Wilson Powell. "The role of childcare challenges in the US jobs market recovery during the COVID-19 pandemic." NBER Working Paper Series, June 2021.

From Health Crisis to Financial Distress

Reinhart, Carmen. "From Health Crisis to Financial Distress." World Bank Policy Research Working Paper Series, April 2021.

Covid-19 and taxes: policies for the post-pandemic recovery

Oliver Harman, Anders Jensen, Farria Naeem, Moussa Saab, Shahrukh Wani, and Nick Wilkinson. "Covid-19 and taxes: policies for the post-pandemic recovery." International Growth Centre Policy Briefs, January 2021.

Success Factors in Tax Digitalization

Rosengard, Jay K. "Success Factors in Tax Digitalization." United Nations Better Than Cash Alliance, October 2020.

US Unemployment Insurance in the Pandemic and Beyond

Furman, Jason. "US Unemployment Insurance in the Pandemic and Beyond." Peterson Institute for International Economics, July 2020.

Budgeting for the Sustainable Development Goals

Bilmes, Linda J. "Budgeting for the Sustainable Development Goals." United Nations Economic and Social Council, January 2020.

Measuring Household Wealth in the Panel Study of Income Dynamics: The Role of Retirement Assets

Dynan, Karen. "Measuring Household Wealth in the Panel Study of Income Dynamics: The Role of Retirement Assets." Federal Reserve Bank of Boston, September 2019.

Negative Nominal Interest Rates and the Bank Lending Channel

Eggertsson, Gauti B., Ragnar E. Juelsrud, Lawrence H. Summers, and Ella Getz Wold. "Negative Nominal Interest Rates and the Bank Lending Channel." January 2019.

Aging, Output Per Capita and Secular Stagnation

Eggertsson, Gauti B., Manuel Lancastre, and Lawrence H. Summers. "Aging, Output Per Capita and Secular Stagnation." National Bureau of Economic Research, August 2018.

On Market-Based Approaches to the Valuation of Capital

Sarin, Natasha, and Lawrence H. Summers. "On Market-Based Approaches to the Valuation of Capital." June 2018.

Destination Basis with Border Adjustment as Tax Policy and as Macroeconomic Policy

Furman, Jason. "Destination Basis with Border Adjustment as Tax Policy and as Macroeconomic Policy." Peterson Institute for International Economics, April 2017.

Promises and Pitfalls of Mobile Money in Afghanistan: Evidence from a Randomized Control Trial

Blumenstock, Joshua, Michael Callen, Tarek Ghani, and Lucas Koepke. "Promises and Pitfalls of Mobile Money in Afghanistan: Evidence from a Randomized Control Trial." International Conference on Information and Communication Technologies and Development, Association for Computing Machinery, April 2015.

Modeling Persuasion within Small Groups, with an Application to a Deliberative Field Experiment on U.S. Fiscal Policy

Esterling, Kevin M., Archon Fung, and Taeku Lee. "Modeling Persuasion within Small Groups, with an Application to a Deliberative Field Experiment on U.S. Fiscal Policy." 2015.

U.S. Exporters, Global Supply Networks, and Competitive Export-Import Bank Financing

Lawrence, Robert Z., and Matthew J. Slaughter. "U.S. Exporters, Global Supply Networks, and Competitive Export-Import Bank Financing." Report for Coalition for Employment Through Exports, Inc., June 2013.

Shrouded Costs of Government: The Political Economy of State and Local Public Pensions

Glaeser, Edward L., and Giacomo A.M. Ponzetto. "Shrouded Costs of Government: The Political Economy of State and Local Public Pensions." National Bureau of Economic Research, April 2013.

What Makes Annuitization More Appealing?

Beshears, John, James J. Choi, David Laibson, Brigitte C. Madrian, and Stephen P. Zeldes. "What Makes Annuitization More Appealing?" NBER Working Papers 18575, November 2012.

Japan's Economic Prospects

Porter, Roger B. "Japan's Economic Prospects." M-RCBG Faculty Working Paper 2012-15, November 2012.

The Unintended Consequences of Successful Resource Mobilization: Financing Development in Vietnam

Jay K. Rosengard, Tr?n Th? Qu? Giang, Ðinh Vu Trang Ngân, Hu?nh Th? Du, and Juan Pablo Chauvin. "The Unintended Consequences of Successful Resource Mobilization: Financing Development in Vietnam." United Nations Development Programme and the Fulbright Economics Teaching Program, 2011.

Social Impact Bonds

Liebman, Jeffrey. "Social Impact Bonds." Report for Center for American Progress, February 9, 2011.

A Comparison of Monetary Anchor Options, Including Product Price Targeting, for Commodity-Exporters in Latin America

Frankel, Jeffrey A. "A Comparison of Monetary Anchor Options, Including Product Price Targeting, for Commodity-Exporters in Latin America." NBER Working Papers 16362, September 2010.

The Fiscal Crisis in State Government – And What Should be Done About It

Bilmes, Linda J. "The Fiscal Crisis in State Government – And What Should be Done About It." Next Social Contract Policy Paper, New America Foundation, June 2010.

Are Leading Indicators of Financial Crises Useful for Assessing Country Vulnerability? Evidence from the 2008-09 Global Crisis

Frankel, Jeffrey A., and George Saravelos. "Are Leading Indicators of Financial Crises Useful for Assessing Country Vulnerability? Evidence from the 2008-09 Global Crisis." NBER Working Papers 16047, June 2010.

Funding Economic Development: A Comparative Study of Financial Sector Reform in Vietnam and China

Rosengard, Jay K., and Huynh The Du. "Funding Economic Development: A Comparative Study of Financial Sector Reform in Vietnam and China." United Nations Development Programme, Harvard Policy Dialogue Papers 2, 2009.

Estimation of De Facto Flexibility Parameter and Basket Weights in Evolving Exchange Rate Regimes

Frankel, Jeffrey A., and Daniel Xie. "Estimation of De Facto Flexibility Parameter and Basket Weights in Evolving Exchange Rate Regimes." NBER Working Papers 15620, December 2009.

Are Bilateral Remittances Countercyclical?

Frankel, Jeffrey A. "Are Bilateral Remittances Countercyclical?" Conference paper presented at Immigration and Global Development: Research Lessons on How Immigration and Remittances Affect Prosperity Around the World, the Harvard Center for International Development and the Center for Global Development, Washington DC, October 2009

A Comparison of Monetary Anchor Options for Commodity-Exporters in Latin America and the Caribbean

Frankel, Jeffrey A. "A Comparison of Monetary Anchor Options for Commodity-Exporters in Latin America and the Caribbean." Workshop paper presented at Myths and Realities of Commodity Dependence: Policy Challenges and Opportunities for Latin America and the Caribbean, World Bank, September 17-18, 2009.

Growth After the Crisis

Rodrik, Dani. "Growth After the Crisis." Center for Economic Policy and Research Discussion Paper 7480, September 2009.

Screening in New Credit Markets: Can Individual Lenders Infer Borrower Creditworthiness in Peer-to-Peer Lending?

Iyer, Rajkamal, Asim Ijaz Khwaja, Erzo F.P. Luttmer, and Kelly Shue. "Screening in New Credit Markets: Can Individual Lenders Infer Borrower Creditworthiness in Peer-to-Peer Lending?" NBER Working Papers 15242, August 2009.

Informal Taxation

Olken, Benjamin A., and Monica Singhal. "Informal Taxation." NBER Working Papers 15221, August 2009.

How Does Simplified Disclosure Affect Individuals' Mutual Fund Choices?

Beshears, John, James J. Choi, David Laibson, and Brigitte C. Madrian. "How Does Simplified Disclosure Affect Individuals' Mutual Fund Choices?" NBER Working Papers, April 2009.

A Martingale Representation for Matching Estimators

Abadie, Alberto, and Guido Imbens. "A Martingale Representation for Matching Estimators." NBER Working Papers 14756, February 2009.

How Globalization Affects Tax Design

Hines, James R., and Lawrence H. Summers. "How Globalization Affects Tax Design." NBER Working Papers 14664, January 2009.

Improving Access to Financial Services for Low-Income Households and Microenterprises in Indonesia.

Patten, Richard, Jay K. Rosengard, Don Johnston, and Widjojo Kusomo. "Improving Access to Financial Services for Low-Income Households and Microenterprises in Indonesia." Deutsche Gesellschaft für Technische Zusammenarbeit (GTZ) GmbH, Jakarta, Conference Paper, August 2003.