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Two older people sit on a bench near a beach on a clear day.
Feature: Changes in Racial Gaps in Retirement Security over Time

Douglas Elmendorf and Karen Dynan find a large wealth disparity between White and Black families nearing retirement age, and notable wealth declines for both groups between 2001 and 2019.

A man wearing a mask talks on a cell phone.
Feature: Recovering from COVID

James Stock finds that COVID-19 recovery was unprecedented in its rapid speed but still introduced or accelerated structural economic changes, including to the labor force.

Person looks at a text message on their cell phone.
Feature: Efficacy of Text Messaging in Activating Hard-to-Reach Voters

Latanya Sweeney finds that text message reminders can effectively boost engagement and registration accuracy among hard-to-reach voters.

A person reads an academic article on a laptop.
Feature: The Global Distribution of Authorship in Economics Journals

Dani Rodrik finds that Western and Northern European authors are overrepresented in economics journals by an order of magnitude compared to authors based in low-income countries.

Harvard Kennedy School faculty disseminate their research in working publications and papers that contribute to public knowledge and fuel policy innovation. This list features recent faculty publications, including journal articles, books, edited volumes, research papers, and public testimony.

Faculty Publications

Multilateral Parametric Climate Risk Insurance: A Tool to Facilitate Agreement About Deployment of Solar Geoengineering

Horton, Joshua B., and David W. Keith. "Multilateral Parametric Climate Risk Insurance: A Tool to Facilitate Agreement About Deployment of Solar Geoengineering." Climate Policy 19.7 (August 2019): 20-826.

Digital Pay-Meter Playbook: How Today’s News Publishers Can Use Data, Best Practices, and Test-and-Learn Tactics To Build Better Pay-Meters

Mele, Nicco, Matthew Skibinski, and Matthew Spector. "Digital Pay-Meter Playbook: How Today’s News Publishers Can Use Data, Best Practices, and Test-and-Learn Tactics To Build Better Pay-Meters." August 2019.

Changes in Screening Colonoscopy Following Medicare Reimbursement and Cost-Sharing Changes

Song, Lina D., Joseph P. Newhouse, Xabier Garcia-De-Albeniz, and John Hsu. "Changes in Screening Colonoscopy Following Medicare Reimbursement and Cost-Sharing Changes." Health Services Research 54.4 (August 2019): 839-850.

China, Like the US, Faces Challenges in Achieving Inclusive Growth Through Manufacturing

Lawrence, Robert Z. "China, Like the US, Faces Challenges in Achieving Inclusive Growth Through Manufacturing." China & World Economy (August 2019).

Governing Adolescent Mobility: The Elusive Role of Children’s Rights Principles in Contemporary Migration Practice

Bhabha, Jacqueline. "Governing Adolescent Mobility: The Elusive Role of Children’s Rights Principles in Contemporary Migration Practice." Childhood, August 2019, Vol.26(3), pp.369-385 26.3 (August 2019): 369-85.

A National Experiment Reveals Where a Growth Mindset Improves Achievement

Yeager, David S., et. al. "A National Experiment Reveals Where a Growth Mindset Improves Achievement." Nature 573 (August 2019): 364-369.

When do Development Projects Enhance Community Well-Being?

Woolcock, Michael. "When do Development Projects Enhance Community Well-Being?" International Journal of Community Well-Being 2 (July 2019): 81-89.

Yesterday’s Cold War Shows How to Beat China Today

Walt, Stephen. "Yesterday’s Cold War Shows How to Beat China Today." Foreign Policy, July 29, 2019.

Central Banks Should Forget About Achieving 2 Percent Inflation

Frankel, Jeffrey A. "Central Banks Should Forget About Achieving 2 Percent Inflation." The Globe and Mail, July 28, 2019.

Restraint Isn’t Isolationism—and It Won’t Endanger America

Walt, Stephen. "Restraint Isn’t Isolationism—and It Won’t Endanger America." Foreign Policy, July 22, 2019.

Italian Renaissance Portraits that Disappoint: Isabella d’Este, Francesco del Giocondo and Other Displeased Patrons

Nelson, Jonathan K., and Richard Zeckhauser. "Italian Renaissance Portraits that Disappoint: Isabella d’Este, Francesco del Giocondo and Other Displeased Patrons." ÌÇÐÄvlog¹ÙÍø Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP19-024, July 2019.

Empirical Assessment: Two Facets of Moral Maturity

Born, Dana H., William H. Hendrix, and Justin Hartley. "Empirical Assessment: Two Facets of Moral Maturity." Journal of Character & Leadership Development 6.2 (Summer 2019): 151-160.

Maps That Can Guide a Changing City

Goldsmith, Stephen, and Wyatt Cmar. "Maps That Can Guide a Changing City." Governing. July 16, 2019.

The Causes and Consequences of Test Score Manipulation: Evidence from the New York Regents Examinations

Dee, Thomas S., Will Dobbie, Brian A. Jacob, and Jonah Rockoff. "The Causes and Consequences of Test Score Manipulation: Evidence from the New York Regents Examinations." American Economic Journal: Applied Economics 11.3 (July 2019): 382-423.

Four Levels of Power: A Conception to Enable Liberation

Fung, Archon. "Four Levels of Power: A Conception to Enable Liberation." Journal of Political Philosophy 28.2 (July 2019): 131-157.

Testing the Validity of the Single Interrupted Time Series Design

Baicker, Katherine, and Theodore Svoronos. "Testing the Validity of the Single Interrupted Time Series Design." July 2019.

Your Professional Decline Is Coming (Much) Sooner Than You Think

Brooks, Arthur. "Your Professional Decline Is Coming (Much) Sooner Than You Think." The Atlantic. July 2019.

Improving Supreme Court Forecasting Using Boosted Decision Trees

Kaufman, Aaron, Peter Kraft, and Maya Sen. "Improving Supreme Court Forecasting Using Boosted Decision Trees." Political Analysis 27.3 (July 2019): 381-387.

China's Overseas Lending

Horn, Sebastian, Carmen M. Reinhart, Christoph Trebesch. "China's Overseas Lending." July 2019.

Managing Attentional Challenges in Social Enterprises: The Key Role Board Structure and Processes

Pache, Anne-Claire, Julie Battilana, and Channing Spencer. "Managing Attentional Challenges in Social Enterprises: The Key Role Board Structure and Processes." Academy of Management Proceedings 2019.1 (July 2019): 14055.

Stochastic Cost-Benefit Analysis of Urban Waste-To-Energy Systems

Haraguchi, Masahiko, Afreen Siddiqi, and Venkatesh Narayanamurti. "Stochastic Cost-Benefit Analysis of Urban Waste-To-Energy Systems." Journal of Cleaner Production 224 (July 2019): 751-765.

Improving the Accuracy of Geopolitical Risk Assessments

Mellers, Barbara, Philip E. Tetlock, Joshua Baker, Jeffrey Friedman, and Richard Zeckhauser. "Improving the Accuracy of Geopolitical Risk Assessments." The Future of Risk Management. Ed. Howard Kunreuther, Robert J. Meyer, and Erwann O. Michel-Kerjan. University of Pennsylvania Press, July 2019, 1-28.

Policies and Payoffs to Addressing
America's College Graduation Deficit

Avery, Christopher , Howell, Jessica , Pender, Matea , Sacerdote, Bruce. "Policies and Payoffs to Addressing America's College Graduation Deficit." Brookings Papers on Economic Activity (July 2019): 1-45.

Strategic Sorting: The Role of Ordeals in Health Care

Zeckhauser, Richard. "Strategic Sorting: The Role of Ordeals in Health Care." ÌÇÐÄvlog¹ÙÍø Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP19-023, June 2019.

Health Care Spending Projections and Policy Changes: Recognizing the Limits of Existing Forecasts

Shoag, Daniel. "Health Care Spending Projections and Policy Changes: Recognizing the Limits of Existing Forecasts." ÌÇÐÄvlog¹ÙÍø Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP19-022, June 2019.

Summary of The Mueller Report, for Those Too Busy to Read It All

Patterson, Thomas E. Summary of The Mueller Report, for Those Too Busy to Read It All. Independently Published, 2019.

Dear President Trump, Let’s Talk About Iran

Walt, Stephen. "Dear President Trump, Let’s Talk About Iran." Foreign Policy, June 24, 2019.

When Your Job Is Your Identity, Professional Failure Hurts More

O'Brien, Timothy. "When Your Job Is Your Identity, Professional Failure Hurts More." Harvard Business Review. June 18, 2019.

How to Step Back from the Brink with Iran

Bunn, Matthew. "How to Step Back from the Brink with Iran." Defense One. June 18, 2019.

Participatory Budgeting: A Powerful Civic Education Tool

Goldsmith, Stephen. "Participatory Budgeting: A Powerful Civic Education Tool." Governing. June 18, 2019.

When Zombie Neoconservatives Attack

Walt, Stephen. "When Zombie Neoconservatives Attack." Foreign Policy, June 17, 2019.

The Us Economic Recovery Is Far From Being a World Record

Frankel, Jeffrey A. "The Us Economic Recovery Is Far From Being a World Record." The Guardian, June 14, 2019.

First-Price Auctions with Budget Constraints

Kotowski, Maciej. "First-Price Auctions with Budget Constraints." ÌÇÐÄvlog¹ÙÍø Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP19-021, June 2019.

Inside the Five-Sided Box: Lessons from a Lifetime of Leadership in the Pentagon

Carter, Ashton B. Inside the Five-Sided Box: Lessons from a Lifetime of Leadership in the Pentagon. Dutton, 2019.

Nobody’s Asking for Trump to Be a Genius

Walt, Stephen. "Nobody’s Asking for Trump to Be a Genius." Foreign Policy, June 10, 2019.

The Future Impact of Artificial Intelligence on Humans and Human Rights

Risse, Mathias, and Steven Livingston. "The Future Impact of Artificial Intelligence on Humans and Human Rights." Ethics and International Affairs 33.2 (June 2019): 141-158.

Tackling the Underrepresentation of Women in Media

Rattan, Aneeta, Siri Chilazi, Oriane Georgeac, and Iris Bohnet. "Tackling the Underrepresentation of Women in Media." Harvard Business Review. June 6, 2019.

The 75th Anniversary of D-Day and the Importance of Allies

Burns, Nicholas. "The 75th Anniversary of D-Day and the Importance of Allies." USA Today, June 5, 2019.

You Can’t Defeat Nationalism, So Stop Trying

Walt, Stephen. "You Can’t Defeat Nationalism, So Stop Trying." Foreign Policy, June 4, 2019.

Can Transparency and Accountability Programs Improve Health? Experimental Evidence from Indonesia and Tanzania

Arkedis, Jean, Jessica Creighton, Akshay Dixit, Archon Fung, Stephen Kosack, Dan Levy, and Courtney Tolmie. "Can Transparency and Accountability Programs Improve Health? Experimental Evidence from Indonesia and Tanzania." ÌÇÐÄvlog¹ÙÍø Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP19-020, June 2019.

Towards a Conceptual Model of Affective Predictions in Palliative Care

Ellis, Erin M., Amber E. Barnato, Gretchen B. Chapman, J. Nicholas Dionne-Odom, Jennifer S. Lerner, Ellen Peters, Wendy L. Nelson, Lynne Padgett, Jerry Suls, and Rebecca A. Ferrer. "Towards a Conceptual Model of Affective Predictions in Palliative Care." Journal of Pain and Symptom Management 57.6 (June 2019): 1151-1165.

Do 40-Year-Old Facts Still Matter? Long-Run Effects of Federal Oversight under the Voting Rights Act

Ang, Desmond. "Do 40-Year-Old Facts Still Matter? Long-Run Effects of Federal Oversight under the Voting Rights Act." American Economic Journal: Applied Economics 11.3 (July 2019): 1-53.

The Education of an Idealist

Power, Samantha. The Education of an Idealist. HarperCollins, 2019.

Love Your Enemies: How Decent People Can Save America from the Culture of Contempt

Brooks, Arthur. Love Your Enemies: How Decent People Can Save America from the Culture of Contempt. Broadside Books, 2019.

The Recent Growth Boom in Developing Economies: A Structural-Change Perspective

Diao, Xinshen, Margaret McMillan, and Dani Rodrik. "The Recent Growth Boom in Developing Economies: A Structural-Change Perspective." The Palgrave Handbook of Development Economics: Critical Reflections on Globalisation and Development. Ed. Nissanke, Machiko, and Jose Antonio Ocampo. Palgrave Macmillan, 2019, 281-334.

Subnational Variation in Forest Protection in the Argentine Chaco

Fernández-Milmanda, Belén, and Candelaria Garay. "Subnational Variation in Forest Protection in the Argentine Chaco." World Development 118 (June 2019): 79-90.

Should the Fed Be Constrained?

Frankel, Jeffrey A. "Should the Fed Be Constrained?" CATO Journal 39.2 (Spring/Summer 2019): 461-470.

Trickle-Down Innovation and the Longevity of Nations

Khullar, Dhruv1 Josephine Fisher, and Amitabh Chandra. "Trickle-Down Innovation and the Longevity of Nations." Lancet 393.10187 (June 2019): 2272-2274.

Do Land Use Restrictions Increase Restaurant Quality and Diversity?

Shoag, Daniel, and Stan Veuger. "Do Land Use Restrictions Increase Restaurant Quality and Diversity?" Journal of Regional Science 59.3 (June 2019): 435-451.

Not Ready for Democracy: Modernization, Pluralism and the Arab Spring

Masoud, Tarek. "Not Ready for Democracy: Modernization, Pluralism and the Arab Spring." Revisiting the Arab Uprisings: The Politics of a Revolutionary Moment. Ed. Stéphane Lacroix and Jean-Pierre Filiu. Hurst Publishers, 2019.