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Two older people sit on a bench near a beach on a clear day.
Feature: Changes in Racial Gaps in Retirement Security over Time

Douglas Elmendorf and Karen Dynan find a large wealth disparity between White and Black families nearing retirement age, and notable wealth declines for both groups between 2001 and 2019.

A man wearing a mask talks on a cell phone.
Feature: Recovering from COVID

James Stock finds that COVID-19 recovery was unprecedented in its rapid speed but still introduced or accelerated structural economic changes, including to the labor force.

Person looks at a text message on their cell phone.
Feature: Efficacy of Text Messaging in Activating Hard-to-Reach Voters

Latanya Sweeney finds that text message reminders can effectively boost engagement and registration accuracy among hard-to-reach voters.

A person reads an academic article on a laptop.
Feature: The Global Distribution of Authorship in Economics Journals

Dani Rodrik finds that Western and Northern European authors are overrepresented in economics journals by an order of magnitude compared to authors based in low-income countries.

Harvard Kennedy School faculty disseminate their research in working publications and papers that contribute to public knowledge and fuel policy innovation. This list features recent faculty publications, including journal articles, books, edited volumes, research papers, and public testimony.

Faculty Publications

The “CAPS” Prediction System and Stock Market Returns

Avery, Christopher N., Judith A. Chevalier, and Richard J. Zeckhauser. "The “CAPS” Prediction System and Stock Market Returns." Review of Finance (September 2015): 1-19.

Inflation, the Fed, and the Big Picture

Reinhart, Carmen. "Inflation, the Fed, and the Big Picture." Project Syndicate, September 3, 2015.

Cashless Society

Wilson, William Julius. "Cashless Society." Review of $2.00 a Day: Living on Almost Nothing in America, by Kathryn J. Edin and H. Luke Shaefer. New York Times, September 2, 2015: 14-14.

Looking Back and Looking Forward on the Iran Deal

Bunn, Matthew. "Looking Back and Looking Forward on the Iran Deal." The Hill. September 2, 2015.

What Should Obama Do Next on Iran?

Burns, Nicholas. "What Should Obama Do Next on Iran?" New York Times, September 2, 2015.

Dynamic Scoring: Why and How to Include Macroeconomic Effects in Budget Estimates for Legislative Proposals

Elmendorf, Douglas. "Dynamic Scoring: Why and How to Include Macroeconomic Effects in Budget Estimates for Legislative Proposals." Brookings Papers on Economic Activity (September 2015).

Are Ballot Initiative Outcomes Influenced by the Campaigns of Independent Groups? A Precinct-Randomized Field Experiment Showing That They Are.

Rogers, Todd, and Joel Middleton. "Are Ballot Initiative Outcomes Influenced by the Campaigns of Independent Groups? A Precinct-Randomized Field Experiment Showing That They Are." Political Behavior 37.3 (September 2015): 567-593.

The New Harvest: Agricultural Innovation in Africa

Juma, Calestous. The New Harvest: Agricultural Innovation in Africa, 2nd Edition. Oxford University Press, 2015.

What Should Obama Do Next on Iran

Burns, Nicholas. "What Should Obama Do Next on Iran." New York Times, September 1, 2015.

Only You, Your Doctor, and Many Others May Know

Sweeney, Latanya. "Only You, Your Doctor, and Many Others May Know." Technology Science (September 2015).

De-Anonymizing South Korean Resident Registration Numbers Shared in Prescription Data

Sweeney, Latanya and Ji Su Yoo. "De-Anonymizing South Korean Resident Registration Numbers Shared in Prescription Data." Technology Science (September 2015).

Explaining Positive Deviance in Public Sector Reforms in Development

Andrews, Matthew. "Explaining Positive Deviance in Public Sector Reforms in Development." World Development 74 (October 2015): 197-208.

Better Predictions, Better Allocations: Scientific Advances and Adaptation to Climate Change

Freeman, Mark C., Ben Groom, and Richard Zeckhauser. "Better Predictions, Better Allocations: Scientific Advances and Adaptation to Climate Change." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP15-051, August 2015.

The Political Ideologies of
American Lawyers

Bonica, Adam, Adam S. Chilton, and Maya Sen. "The Political Ideologies of American Lawyers." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP15-049, August 2015.

How Uncertainty about Judicial
Nominees Can Distort the
Confirmation Process

Sen, Maya, and William Spaniel. "How Uncertainty about Judicial Nominees Can Distort the Confirmation Process." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP15-050, August 2015.

Self Control and Commitment:
Can Decreasing the Liquidity of
a Savings Account Increase
Deposits?

Beshears, John, James J. Choi, Christopher Harris, David Laibson, Brigitte C. Madrian, and Jung Sakong. "Self Control and Commitment: Can Decreasing the Liquidity of a Savings Account Increase Deposits?" vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP15-048, August 2015.

The Interaction of Testosterone and Cortisol Is Associated With Attained Status in Male Executives

Sherman, Gary D., Jennifer S. Lerner, Robert A. Josephs, Jonathan Renshon, and James J. Gross. "The Interaction of Testosterone and Cortisol Is Associated With Attained Status in Male Executives." Journal of Personality and Social Psychology (August 24, 2015).

Leadership and Public Learning, Foreword

Heifetz, Ronald A. "Leadership and Public Learning." Foreword to Lessons in Leadership, by Rabbi Jonathan Sacks. Maggid Books, 2015.

London: A Multi-Century Struggle for
Sustainable Development in an Urban Environment

Clark, William C. "London: A Multi-Century Struggle for Sustainable Development in an Urban Environment." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP15-047, August 2015.

A Comparison of Relative Resource Use and Quality in Medicare Advantage Health Plans Versus Traditional Medicare.

Landon, Bruce E., Alan Zaslavsky, Robert Saunders, Gregory L. Pawlson, Joseph P. Newhouse, and John Ayanian. "A Comparison of Relative Resource Use and Quality in Medicare Advantage Health Plans Versus Traditional Medicare." American Journal of Managed Care 21.8 (August 2015): 559-566.

The State, Socialisation, and Private Schooling: When Will Governments Support Alternative Producers?

Pritchett, Lant, and Martina Viarengo. "The State, Socialisation, and Private Schooling: When Will Governments Support Alternative Producers?" Journal of Development Studies 51.7 (July 2015): 784-807.

Institutions as Causes and Effects: North African Electoral Systems During the Arab Spring

Carey, John M., Tarek Masoud, and Andrew Reynolds. "Institutions as Causes and Effects: North African Electoral Systems During the Arab Spring." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP16-042, August 2015.

First Mover Advantages and Optimal Patent Protection

Scherer, F.M. "First Mover Advantages and Optimal Patent Protection." Journal of Technology Transfer (August 2015): 559-580.

Teachers and Schools are Funded at a Higher Rate than Most People Know

Peterson, Paul E. "Teachers and Schools are Funded at a Higher Rate than Most People Know." Washington Times, August 13, 2015.

Does Public Sector Control Reduce Variance in School Quality?

Pritchett, Lant, and Martina Viarengo. "Does Public Sector Control Reduce Variance in School Quality?" Education Economics 23.5 (August 2015): 557-576.

The Competitiveness Impacts of Climate Change Mitigation Policies

Aldy, Joseph E., and William A. Pizer. "The Competitiveness Impacts of Climate Change Mitigation Policies." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP15-046, August 2015.

Now is the Right Time to Reform Oil Pricing

Frankel, Jeffrey A. "Now is the Right Time to Reform Oil Pricing." Guardian, August 10, 2015.

Athletes and CEOs: What Do Their Earnings Tell Us about the Income (and Taxation) of the Super Rich?

Lawrence, Robert Z. "Athletes and CEOs: What Do Their Earnings Tell Us about the Income (and Taxation) of the Super Rich?" Peterson Institute for International Economics, August 7, 2015.

Making Life Harder for Iran's Bomb Advocates

Bunn, Matthew. "Making Life Harder for Iran's Bomb Advocates." National Interest. August 7, 2015.

Facilitating Linkage of Climate Policies Through the Paris Outcome

Bodansky, Daniel M., Seth A. Hoedl, Gilbert E. Metcalf, and Robert N. Stavins. "Facilitating Linkage of Climate Policies Through the Paris Outcome." Climate Policy (August 5, 2015): 1-17.

The Implications of Sanctions Relief Under the Iran Agreement

Burns, Nicholas. "The Implications of Sanctions Relief Under the Iran Agreement." Testimony Before the Banking, Housing, & Urban Affairs Committee, U.S. Senate, August 5, 2015.

Iran Deal Keeps Our Military Options Open

Allison, Graham. "Iran Deal Keeps Our Military Options Open." The Boston Globe, August 5, 2015.

Singapore Challenges the Idea that Democracy is the Best Form of Governance

Allison, Graham. "Singapore Challenges the Idea that Democracy is the Best Form of Governance." World Post, August 5, 2015.

The Implications of Sanctions Relief Under the Iran Agreement

Burns, Nicholas. "The Implications of Sanctions Relief Under the Iran Agreement." Senate Committee on Banking, Housing and Urban Affairs, August 5, 2015.

Human Rights and the OECD Guidelines for Multinational Enterprises: Normative Innovations and Implementation Challenges

Ruggie, John Gerard, and Tamaryn Nelson. "Human Rights and the OECD Guidelines for Multinational Enterprises: Normative Innovations and Implementation Challenges." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP15-045, August 2015.

The Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) and the Military Balance in the Middle East

Burns, Nicholas. "The Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) and the Military Balance in the Middle East." Testimony Before the Committee on Armed Services, U.S. Senate, August 4, 2015.

9 Reasons to Support the Iran Deal

Allison, Graham. "9 Reasons to Support the Iran Deal." Atlantic, August 4, 2015.

The Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) and the Military Balance in the Middle East

Burns, Nicholas. "The Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) and the Military Balance in the Middle East." Senate Committee on Armed Services, August 4, 2015.

A Note on Stability in One-to-One, Multi-Period Matching Markets

Kotowski, Maciej. "A Note on Stability in One-to-One, Multi-Period Matching Markets." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP15-042, August 2015.

The Underutilized Potential of Teacher-to-Parent Communication: Evidence from a Field Experiment.

Kraft, Matthew A., and Todd Rogers. "The Underutilized Potential of Teacher-to-Parent Communication: Evidence from a Field Experiment." Economics of Education Review 47 (August 2015): 49-63.

Moving to Opportunity or
Isolation? Network Effects of a
Randomized Housing Lottery in
Urban India

Barnhardt, Sharon, Erica Field, and Rohini Pande. "Moving to Opportunity or Isolation? Network Effects of a Randomized Housing Lottery in Urban India." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP15-043, August 2015.

Early Math Coursework and
College Readiness: Evidence
from Targeted Middle School
Math Acceleration

Dougherty, Shaun, Joshua Goodman, Darryl Hill, Erica Litke, and Lindsay C. Page. "Early Math Coursework and College Readiness: Evidence from Targeted Middle School Math Acceleration." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP15-044, August 2015.

Do States Delegate Shameful Violence to Militias? Patterns of Sexual Violence in Recent Armed Conflicts

Cohen, Dara Kay and Ragnhild Nordås. "Do States Delegate Shameful Violence to Militias? Patterns of Sexual Violence in Recent Armed Conflicts." Journal of Conflict Resolution 59.5 (August 2015): 877-898.

First Mover Advantages and Optimal Patent Protection

Scherer, F.M. "First Mover Advantages and Optimal Patent Protection." Journal of Technology Transfer 40.4 (August 2015): 559-580.

The Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action

Burns, Nicholas. "The Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action." Testimony Before the Committee on Foreign Relations, U.S. Senate, July 29, 2015.

The Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action

Burns, Nicholas. "The Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action." Senate Committee on Foreign Relations, July 29, 2015.

They Can Take It If They Want It

Glaeser, Edward L. "They Can Take It If They Want It." Review of The Grasping Hand, by Ilya Somin. Wall Street Journal, July 2015.

Voter Suppression or Voter Fraud in the 2014 US Elections?

Norris, Pippa, and Holly Ann Garnett. "Voter Suppression or Voter Fraud in the 2014 US Elections?" vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP15-040, July 2015.

On the Fast Track: The Spread of Gender Quota Policies for Elected Office

Norris, Pippa, and Drude Dahlerup. "On the Fast Track: The Spread of Gender Quota Policies for Elected Office." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP15-041, July 2015.

Competition in the Age of Biosimilars

Chandra, Amitabh, and Jacqueline Vanderpuye-Orgle. "Competition in the Age of Biosimilars." Journal of the American Medical Association 314.3 (July 2015).