Faculty Publications

Feature: Is DOGE Sure It Wants to Fire These People?

Juliette Kayyem examines the negative effects that Elon Musks’s Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) could have on the safety of everyday Americans.

River running through a densely populated area.

Feature: Private Benefits from Public Investment in Climate Resilience

Joseph Aldy finds that governmental construction of levees, which enhance resilience to flood risks amplified by climate change, increases home values by 3-4 percent.

Feature: Assessing Government Outreach to Bolster Benefits Take-Up

Elizabeth Linos finds that light-touch interventions significantly, consistently, and cost-effectively increase benefits take-up among low-income households, while higher-touch proactive outreach yields minimal additional take-up.

Black family happily sits on the grass in a park.

Feature: Excess Mortality Rate in U.S. Black Children Since 1950

Soroush Saghafian finds that 5 million excess deaths of Black Americans, including over 500,000 infants, could have been avoided over the past 70 years if their mortality rates were equal to those of White Americans.

Harvard Kennedy School faculty disseminate their research in working publications and papers that contribute to public knowledge and fuel policy innovation. This list features recent faculty publications, including journal articles, books, edited volumes, research papers, and public testimony.

Faculty Publications

Trump’s threat to American democracy

Norris, Pippa. "Trump’s threat to American democracy." U.S. Election Analysis 2024: Media, Voters and the Campaign. Ed. Daniel Jackson et al. Bournmouth: University of Bournmouth, 2024.

Noam Chomsky Has Been Proved Right

Walt, Stephen. "Noam Chomsky Has Been Proved Right." Foreign Policy, November 15, 2024.

Can Chile Escape an Inequality Trap? …And Why It Matters for Long-Term Development and Growth

Lecaros, Ignacia, Daniela Paz Cruzat, Ricardo Pommer Muñoz, Pablo Tillan, and Michael Walton. "Can Chile Escape an Inequality Trap? …And Why It Matters for Long-Term Development and Growth." RWP24-008, November 2024.

Racial Bias in Clinical and Population Health Algorithms: A Critical Review of Current Debates

Coots, Madison, Kristin Linn, Sharad Goel, Amol Navathe, and Ravi Parikh. "Racial Bias in Clinical and Population Health Algorithms: A Critical Review of Current Debates." Annual Review of Public Health (forthcoming).

Supply Chain Management: A Public Sector Perspective

Fagan, Mark L. Supply Chain Management: A Public Sector Perspective. Cheltanham: Edward Elgar Publishing, 2024.

The 10 Foreign-Policy Implications of the 2024 U.S. Election

Walt, Stephen. "The 10 Foreign-Policy Implications of the 2024 U.S. Election." Foreign Policy, November 8, 2024.

To ride-hail or not to ride-hail? Complementarity and competition between public transit and transportation network companies through the lens of app data

O’Brien, Daniel T., Hengfang Deng, Edgar Castro, Sage Gibbons, Justin de Benedictis-Kessner, and Ryan Qi Wang. "To ride-hail or not to ride-hail? Complementarity and competition between public transit and transportation network companies through the lens of app data." Public Transport (2024).

How Big is the “Biggest Climate Spending Bill Ever?” Key Factors Influencing the Inflation Reduction Act’s Clean Energy Impacts

Aldy, Joseph. "How Big is the “Biggest Climate Spending Bill Ever?” Key Factors Influencing the Inflation Reduction Act’s Clean Energy Impacts." RWP24-007, November 2024.

The impact of a payer-provider joint venture on healthcare value

Garabedian, Laura F., J. Frank Wharam, Joseph P. Newhouse, Matthew Lakoma, Stephanie Argetsinger, Fang Zhang, and Alison A. Galbraith. "The impact of a payer-provider joint venture on healthcare value." Health Services Research (November 4, 2024).

Racial health disparities in the United States

Alsan, Marcella, Katherine Ianni, and Graeme Peterson. "Racial health disparities in the United States." Oxford Review of Economic Policy 40.3 (Autumn 2024): 498-517.

All-cause nursing home mortality rates have remained above pre-pandemic levels after accounting for decline in occupancy

Weiss, Max, Sharon-Lise T. Normand, David C. Grabowski, Deborah Blacker, Joseph P. Newhouse, and John Hsu. "All-cause nursing home mortality rates have remained above pre-pandemic levels after accounting for decline in occupancy." Health Affairs Scholar 2.11 (November 2024): qxae126.

Shifting Patterns of Social Interaction: Exploring the Social Life of Urban Spaces Through A.I.

Salazar-Miranda, Arianna, Zhuangyuan Fan, Michael B. Baick, Keith N. Hampton, Fabio Duarte, Becky P.Y. Loo, Edward L. Glaeser, and Carlo Ratti. "Shifting Patterns of Social Interaction: Exploring the Social Life of Urban Spaces Through A.I." NBER Working Paper Series, November 2024.

COVID-19 Employment Shocks and Safety Net Expansion: Health Effects on Displaced Workers

Schneider, Daniel, Kristen Harknett, and Annette Gailliot. "COVID-19 Employment Shocks and Safety Net Expansion: Health Effects on Displaced Workers." Social Science Research 124 (November 2024).

10 Reasons to Be Thankful in 2024

Walt, Stephen. "10 Reasons to Be Thankful in 2024." Foreign Policy, November 28, 2024.

What We Know about Our Schools

Peterson, Paul E., and Nora Gordon. "What We Know about Our Schools." Hoover Institution, October 24, 2024.

Human Rights Organizations and Shaming Tactics: Using Anti-Racist Cues to Hone the Messaging

Buzas, Zoltan, and Lotem Bassan-Nygate. "Human Rights Organizations and Shaming Tactics: Using Anti-Racist Cues to Hone the Messaging." Keough School Policy Brief Series, 2024.

Between-firm sorting and parenthood wage gaps in the US service sector

O’Herron, Charlotte, Daniel Schneider, and Kristen Harknett. "Between-firm sorting and parenthood wage gaps in the US service sector." Journal of Marriage and Family (October 20, 2024).

Guidance for unbiased predictive information for healthcare decision-making and equity (GUIDE): considerations when race may be a prognostic factor

Ladin, Keren, John Cuddeback, O. Kenrik Duru, Sharad Goel, William Harvey, Jinny G. Park, Jessica K. Paulus, Joyce Sackey, Richard Sharp, Ewout Steyerberg, Berk Ustun, David van Klaveren, Saul N. Weingart, and David M. Kent. "Guidance for unbiased predictive information for healthcare decision-making and equity (GUIDE): considerations when race may be a prognostic factor." npj digital medicine 7 (2024): 290.

Global health 2050: the path to halving premature death by
mid-century

Jamison, Dean T., Lawrence H. Summers, et al. "Global health 2050: the path to halving premature death by mid-century." The Lancet 404.10462 (October 2024): 1561-1614.

Global health 2050: the path to halving premature death by
mid-century

Jamison, Dean T., Lawrence H. Summers, et al. "Global health 2050: the path to halving premature death by mid-century." The Lancet 404.10462 (October 2024): 1561-1614.

Guidance for unbiased predictive information for healthcare decision-making and equity (GUIDE): considerations when race may be a prognostic factor

Ladin, Keren, John Cuddeback, O. Kenrik Duru, Sharad Goel, et al. "Guidance for unbiased predictive information for healthcare decision-making and equity (GUIDE): considerations when race may be a prognostic factor." NPJ Digital Medicine 7.290 (2024).

AI and the Transformation of Accountability and Discretion in Urban Governance

Goldsmith, Stephen and Juncheng "Tony" Yang. "AI and the Transformation of Accountability and Discretion in Urban Governance." Data-Smart City Solutions at the Bloomberg Center for Cities at Harvard University, October 2024.

Protests in the United States on Palestine and Israel, 2023–2024

Chenoweth, Erica, Soha Hammam, Jeremy Pressman, and Jay Ulfelder. "Protests in the United States on Palestine and Israel, 2023–2024." Social Movement Studies (10/18/2024): 1-14.

Megastudy testing 25 treatments to reduce antidemocratic attitudes and partisan animosity

Voelkel, Jan, Michael Stagnaro, James Chu... Julia Minson, et al. "Megastudy testing 25 treatments to reduce antidemocratic attitudes and partisan animosity." Science 386.6719 (October 18, 2024): eadh4764.

Benzodiazepine Utilization in Ischemic Stroke Survivors: Analyzing Initial Excess Supply and Longitudinal Trends

Torres, Victor Lomachinsky, Julianne D. Brooks, Maria A. Donahue, Shuo Sun, John Hsu, Mary Price, Deborah Blacker, Lee H. Schwamm, Joseph P. Newhouse, Sebastien Haneuse, and Lidia M. V. R. Moura. "Benzodiazepine Utilization in Ischemic Stroke Survivors: Analyzing Initial Excess Supply and Longitudinal Trends." Stroke (October 17, 2024).

Technological Disruption in the US Labor Market

Deming, David, Christopher Ong, and Lawrence Summers. "Technological Disruption in the US Labor Market." Strengthening America’s Economic Dynamism. Ed. Melissa S. Kearney and Luke Pardue. Washington, DC: Aspen Institute, 2024.

Kamala Harris Is Not a Realist. I’m Voting for Her Anyway.

Walt, Stephen. "Kamala Harris Is Not a Realist. I’m Voting for Her Anyway." Foreign Policy, October 16, 2024.

Willingness-To-Pay vs Administrative Hurdles: Understanding Barriers to Social Insurance Enrollment in Thailand

Olken, Benjamin A., Rema Hanna, Phitawat Poonpolkul, and Nada Wasi. "Willingness-To-Pay vs Administrative Hurdles: Understanding Barriers to Social Insurance Enrollment in Thailand." Puey Ungphakorn Institute for Economic Research Discussion Paper Series, October 2024.

Would a Trump Victory Really Be Good for School Choice?

Peterson, Paul E. "Would a Trump Victory Really Be Good for School Choice?" School Choice 24.4 (Fall 2024).

Self-Government, Taxation, and Tribal Development: The Critical Role of American Indian Nation Business Enterprises

Kalt, Joseph P. "Self-Government, Taxation, and Tribal Development: The Critical Role of American Indian Nation Business Enterprises." Policy Briefs for Tribal, Federal & State Governments, Harvard Kennedy School Project on Indigenous Governance & Development, October 7, 2024.

Evaluating the concordance between International Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision Code and stroke severity as measured by the National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale

Taha, Mohamed, Mamoon Habib, Victor Lomachinsky, Peter Hadar, Joseph P. Newhouse, Lee H. Schwamm, Deborah Blacker, and Lidia M. V. R. Moura. "Evaluating the concordance between International Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision Code and stroke severity as measured by the National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale." BMJ Neurology Open 6.2 (October 2024): e000831.

Israel’s ‘Mission Accomplished’ Moment in the Middle East

Walt, Stephen. "Israel’s ‘Mission Accomplished’ Moment in the Middle East." Foreign Policy, October 2, 2024.

Health Equity in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election

Alsan, Marcella, and Ruqaiijah Yearby. "Health Equity in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election." NEJM (October 2, 2024).

Medicare Part D Protected-Class Policy Is Associated With Lower Drug Rebates

Kakani, Pragya, Michael Anne Kyle, Amitabh Chandra, and Luca Maini. "Medicare Part D Protected-Class Policy Is Associated With Lower Drug Rebates." Health Affairs 43.10 (October 2024): 1420-1427.

Happy Birthday to America’s Most Underrated President

Walt, Stephen. "Happy Birthday to America’s Most Underrated President." Foreign Policy, October 1, 2024.

The ABC’s of Who Benefits from Working with AI: Ability, Beliefs, and Calibration

Caplin, Andrew, David J. Deming, Shangwen Li, Daniel J. Martin, Philip Marx, Ben Weidmann, and Kadachi Jiada Ye. "The ABC’s of Who Benefits from Working with AI: Ability, Beliefs, and Calibration." NBER Working Paper Series, October 2024.

International Lending in War and Peace

Horn, Sebastian, Carmen M. Reinhart, and Chrisoph Trebesch. "International Lending in War and Peace." October 2024.

How Wyoming’s Exodus of Young Adults Holds Back Economic Diversification

Protzer, Eric, Thao-Nguyên Bùi, Tim Freeman, Ricardo Hausmann, Sophia Henn, Farah Kaddah, Lucas Lamby, Tim O’Brien, Alejandro Rueda-Sanz, and Ricardo Villasmil. "How Wyoming’s Exodus of Young Adults Holds Back Economic Diversification." Growth Lab Working Paper Series, October 2024.

Is the United States undergoing a manufacturing renaissance that will boost the middle class?

Lawrence, Robert Z. "Is the United States undergoing a manufacturing renaissance that will boost the middle class?" PIEE Policy Brief Series, October 2024.

Pan-Arctic Methane: Current Monitoring Capabilities, Approaches for Improvement, and Implications for Global Mitigation Targets

Ackermann, Mark, Clare Amann, ...John Holdren et al. "Pan-Arctic Methane: Current Monitoring Capabilities, Approaches for Improvement, and Implications for Global Mitigation Targets." Wilson Center Polar Institute, October 2024.

Tracking COVID-19 Infections Using Survey Data on Rapid At-Home Tests

Santillana,Mauricio, Ata A. Uslu, Tamanna Urmi, Alexi Quintana-Mathe, James N. Druckman, Katherine Ognyanova, Matthew Baum, Roy H. Perlis, and David Lazer. "Tracking COVID-19 Infections Using Survey Data on Rapid At-Home Tests." JAMA Network Open 7.9 (September 2024): e2435442.

Dynamic scoring: A progress report on why, when, and how

Elmendorf, Douglas, Glenn Hubbard, and Heidi Williams. "Dynamic scoring: A progress report on why, when, and how." Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, September 26-27, 2024.

County-Level Enrollment in Medicare Advantage Plans Offering Expanded Supplemental Benefits

Yang, Zhiyou, Emily Zhu, David Cheng, Mary Price, Margarita Alegria, John Hsu, Joseph P. Newhouse, and Vicki Fung. "County-Level Enrollment in Medicare Advantage Plans Offering Expanded Supplemental Benefits." JAMA Network Open 7.9 (September 2024): e2433972.

The Questions Harris and Trump Still Need to Be Asked

Walt, Stephen M. "The Questions Harris and Trump Still Need to Be Asked." Foreign Policy, September 17, 2024.

Satellite Political Movements: How Grassroots Activists Bolster Trump and Bolsonaro in the United States and Brazil

McKenna, Elizabeth, and Catharina O'Donnell. "Satellite Political Movements: How Grassroots Activists Bolster Trump and Bolsonaro in the United States and Brazil." American Behavioral Scientist (September 12, 2024).

Review of Building a Nation at War: Transnational Knowledge Networks and the Development of China during and after World War II

Mitter, Rana. Review of Building a Nation at War: Transnational Knowledge Networks and the Development of China during and after World War II, by J. Megan Greene. American Historical Review, 129.3, September 2024: 1221–1222.

��vlog��

Faculty Publications

Policy Topics

Geographic Regions

Centers

Programs

Academic Areas

Publication Types

Authors