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The White House lawn on a sunny day.
Feature: Is DOGE Sure It Wants to Fire These People?

Juliette Kayyem examines the negative effects that Elon Musks’s Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) could have on the safety of everyday Americans.

River running through a densely populated area.
Feature: Private Benefits from Public Investment in Climate Resilience

Joseph Aldy finds that governmental construction of levees, which enhance resilience to flood risks amplified by climate change, increases home values by 3-4 percent.

Person sits on a bed holding a check.
Feature: Assessing Government Outreach to Bolster Benefits Take-Up

Elizabeth Linos finds that light-touch interventions significantly, consistently, and cost-effectively increase benefits take-up among low-income households, while higher-touch proactive outreach yields minimal additional take-up.

Black family happily sits on the grass in a park.
Feature: Excess Mortality Rate in U.S. Black Children Since 1950

Soroush Saghafian finds that 5 million excess deaths of Black Americans, including over 500,000 infants, could have been avoided over the past 70 years if their mortality rates were equal to those of White Americans.

Harvard Kennedy School faculty disseminate their research in working publications and papers that contribute to public knowledge and fuel policy innovation. This list features recent faculty publications, including journal articles, books, edited volumes, research papers, and public testimony.

Faculty Publications

Ambiguous Dynamic Treatment Regimes: A Reinforcement Learning Approach

Saghafian, Soroush. "Ambiguous Dynamic Treatment Regimes: A Reinforcement Learning Approach." Management Science 70.9 (September 2024): 5667-5690.

Review of The Resilient Society

Furman, Jason. Review of The Resilient Society, by Markus K. Brunnermeier. Journal of Economic Literature, 62.3, September 2024: 1258-1259.

Carbon Copy: US Public Opinion on the Diffusion of Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanisms

Ingles, Tayla, Rochelle Sun, and Dustin Tingley. "Carbon Copy: US Public Opinion on the Diffusion of Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanisms." September 1, 2024.

Data-Driven Fleet Management Improves Safety in New York City

Goldsmith, Stephen. "Data-Driven Fleet Management Improves Safety in New York City." Government Technology (September/October 2024).

Global Trends in Innovation Patterns: A Complexity Approach

Chacua, Christian, Shreyas Gadgin Matha, Matte Hartog, Ricardo Hausmann, and Muhammed A. Yildirim. "Global Trends in Innovation Patterns: A Complexity Approach." Growth Lab Working Paper Series, September 2024.

Innovation Policies Under Economic Complexity

Chacua, Christian, Shreyas Gadgin Matha, Matte Hartog, Ricardo Hausmann, and Muhammed A. Yildirim. "Innovation Policies Under Economic Complexity." Growth Lab Working Paper Series, September 2024.

How will advanced AI systems impact democracy?

Summerfield, Christopher, ... Mathias Risse, et al. "How will advanced AI systems impact democracy?" 27 August 2024.

A Learning Agenda for Community-Driven Development: Responding to Complex Contextual, Evaluation, and Inference Challenges

Barron, Patrick John, Patricia Maria Fernendes, Stephen Joseph Winkler, and Michael Woolcock. "A Learning Agenda for Community-Driven Development: Responding to Complex Contextual, Evaluation, and Inference Challenges." World Bank Policy Research Working Paper, 08/27/2024.

What Data-Rich Assessments of Socioeconomic Inequality and Mobility in Rich Countries Overlook in Poor Countries

Van Der Weide, Roy, and Michael Woolcock. "What Data-Rich Assessments of Socioeconomic Inequality and Mobility in Rich Countries Overlook in Poor Countries." World Bank Policy Research Working Paper Series, 08/27/2024.

On Foreign Policy, U.S. Parties Don’t Have the Power

Walt, Stephen M. "On Foreign Policy, U.S. Parties Don’t Have the Power." Foreign Policy, August 26, 2024.

Prevalence and correlates of irritability among U.S. adults

Perlis, Roy H., Ata Uslu, Jonathan Schulman, Aliayah Himelfarb, Faith M. Gunning, Nili Solomonov, Mauricio Santillana, Matthew A. Baum, James N. Druckman, Katherine Ognyanova, and David Lazer. "Prevalence and correlates of irritability among U.S. adults." Neuropsychopharmacology (24 August 2024).

The Murky Meaning of Ukraine’s Kursk Offensive

Walt, Stephen M. "The Murky Meaning of Ukraine’s Kursk Offensive." Foreign Policy, August 28, 2024.

Finance Goes to Hollywood

Frankel, Jeffrey. "Finance Goes to Hollywood." Project Syndicate, August 23, 2024.

Recruiting Healthcare Workers on the International Labor Market: A Megastudy

Keppeler, Florian, Elizabeth Linos, Brenda Sciepura, Karalyn Lacey, and Christian Bøtcher Jacobsen. "Recruiting Healthcare Workers on the International Labor Market: A Megastudy." 2024-08-23.

Behind the Curve: Can Manufacturing Still Provide Inclusive Growth?

Lawrence, Robert Z. Behind the Curve: Can Manufacturing Still Provide Inclusive Growth? Peterson Institute for International Economics, 2024.

The Dangerous Decline in Israeli Strategy

Walt, Stephen. "The Dangerous Decline in Israeli Strategy." Foreign Policy, August 16, 2024.

Drivers, adaptations, and public impacts of hospital closures, implications for policy

Saghafian, Soroush. "Drivers, adaptations, and public impacts of hospital closures, implications for policy." Perspectives: Frontiers in Public Health 12 (August 12, 2024): 1415033.

A research agenda for economic resilience in fossil fuel–dependent communities

Clarke, Leon, Mark Curtis, Ann Eisenberg, Emily Grubert, Julia Hobson Haggerty, Alexander James, Nathan Jensen, Noah Kaufman, Eleanor Krause, Daniel Raimi, Dustin Tingley, and Jeremy Weber. "A research agenda for economic resilience in fossil fuel–dependent communities." Envrionmental Research Energy (August 9, 2024).

The Two Biggest Global Trends Are at War

Walt, Stephen. "The Two Biggest Global Trends Are at War." Foreign Policy, August 6, 2024.

Can Conversational Receptiveness Build Trust in the Media?

Tulan, Dilan, Charles A. Dorison, Nancy Gibbs, and Julia A. Minson. "Can Conversational Receptiveness Build Trust in the Media?" Policy Insights from the Behavioral and Brain Sciences (August 2, 2024).

This Is What Thriving Communities Look Like: Insights from Residents of Four Boston Neighborhoods

Kambath, Amisha, Noor Toraif, and Sandra Susan Smith. "This Is What Thriving Communities Look Like: Insights from Residents of Four Boston Neighborhoods." Roundtable on Racial Disparities in Massachusetts Criminal Courts, Program in Criminal Justice Policy and Management, August 2024.

Labor Market Pathways to Job Quality Mobility in the Service Sector: Evidence from the “Great Resignation”

Woods, Tyler, Dylan Nguyen, Daniel Schneider, and Kristen Harknett. "Labor Market Pathways to Job Quality Mobility in the Service Sector: Evidence from the “Great Resignation”." Research in Social Stratification and Mobility 92 (August 2024): 100962.

Leadership Perspective: What Makes Leadership Development Impactful? Exploring a Whole-Person Approach

Born, Dana H., and Ayse Yemiscigil. "Leadership Perspective: What Makes Leadership Development Impactful? Exploring a Whole-Person Approach." Journal of Character Leadership and Development 11.2 (Summer 2024): 84–90.

Labor market pathways to job quality mobility in the service sector: Evidence from the “Great Resignation”

Woods, Tyler, Dylan Nguyen, Daniel Schneider, and Kristen Harknett. "Labor market pathways to job quality mobility in the service sector: Evidence from the “Great Resignation”." Research in Social Stratification and Mobility 92 (August 2024): 100962.

A Practical Guide to Dealing with Attrition in Political Science Experiments

Lo, Adeline, Jonathan Renshon, and Lotem Bassan-Nygate. "A Practical Guide to Dealing with Attrition in Political Science Experiments." Journal of Experimental Political Science 11.2 (Summer 2024): 147-161.

Trust in Physicians and Hospitals During the COVID-19 Pandemic in a 50-State Survey of US Adults

Perlis, Roy H., Katherine Ognyanova, Ata Uslu, Kristin Lunz Trujillo, Mauricio Santillana, James N. Druckman, Matthew A. Baum, and David Lazer. "Trust in Physicians and Hospitals During the COVID-19 Pandemic in a 50-State Survey of US Adults." JAMA 7.7 (July 2024): e2424984.

Automated Identification of Fall-related Injuries in Unstructured Clinical Notes

Ge, Wendong, Lilian M. G. Coelho, Maria A. Donahue, Hunter J. Rice, Deborah Blacker, John Hsu, Joseph P. Newhouse, Sonia Hernandez-Diaz, Sebastien Haneuse, M. Brandon Westover, and Lidia M. V. R. Moura. "Automated Identification of Fall-related Injuries in Unstructured Clinical Notes." American Journal of Epidemiology (26 July 2024).

The Trump/Vance Unilateralist Delusion

Walt, Stephen. "The Trump/Vance Unilateralist Delusion." Foreign Policy, July 24, 2024.

Why Are Stocks, Gold, and the Dollar Surging?

Frankel, Jeffrey. "Why Are Stocks, Gold, and the Dollar Surging?" Project Syndicate, July 24, 2024.

Effect of Cash Benefits on Health Care Utilization and Health: A Randomized Study

Agarwal, Sumit D., Benjamin LĂŞ Cook, and Jeffrey B. Liebman. "Effect of Cash Benefits on Health Care Utilization and Health: A Randomized Study." JAMA (July 22, 2024).

A Drag on the Ticket? Estimating Top-of-the-Ticket Effects on Down-Ballot Races

DeLuca, Kevin, Daniel J. Moskowitz, and Benjamin Schneer. "A Drag on the Ticket? Estimating Top-of-the-Ticket Effects on Down-Ballot Races." July 19, 2024.

Intersectional Peer Effects at Work: The Effect of White Coworkers on Black Women's Careers

Linos, Elizabeth, Sanaz Mobasseri, and Nina Roussille. "Intersectional Peer Effects at Work: The Effect of White Coworkers on Black Women's Careers." RWP23-031, July 2024.

Showcasing advances and building community in modeling for sustainability

Selin, Noelle E., Amanda Giang, and William C. Clark. "Showcasing advances and building community in modeling for sustainability." PNAS 121.29 (July 16, 2024): e2215689121.

Biden’s Frailty Doesn’t Endanger America

Walt, Stephen. "Biden’s Frailty Doesn’t Endanger America." Foreign Policy, July 11, 2024.

Diagnosing Wyoming's Workforce Challenges

Lamby, Lucas, Sophia Henn, Tim O’Brien, and Ricardo Hausmann. "Diagnosing Wyoming's Workforce Challenges." Growth Lab Working Paper Series, July 2024.

A Simple, Statistically Robust Test of Discrimination

Gaebler, Johann D., and Sharad Goel. "A Simple, Statistically Robust Test of Discrimination." 9 July 2024.

This Time, NATO Is in Trouble for Real

Walt, Stephen. "This Time, NATO Is in Trouble for Real." Foreign Policy, July 8, 2024.

Reading dies in complexity: Online news consumers prefer simple writing

Shulman, Hillary C., David M. Markowitz, and Todd Rogers. "Reading dies in complexity: Online news consumers prefer simple writing." Science Advances 10.23 (7 Jun 2024): eadn2555.

Gender and Transitional Justice: Explaining Global Trends

Sikkink, Kathryn, Helen Clapp, Daniel MarĂ­n-LĂłpez, and Averell Schmidt. "Gender and Transitional Justice: Explaining Global Trends." International Journal of Transitional Justice (July 6, 2024).

Lawrence F. Katz (1959–)

Autor, David, and David Deming. "Lawrence F. Katz (1959–)." The Palgrave Companion to Harvard Economics. Ed. Cord, Robert A.. Palgrave Macmillan, 2024.

Alberto Alesina (1957–2020)

Favero, Carlo, Francesco Giavazzi, Paola Giuliano, Eliana La Ferrara, and Guido Tabellini. "Alberto Alesina (1957–2020)." The Palgrave Companion to Harvard Economics. Ed. Cord, R.A.. Palgrave Macmillan, 2024.

Martin L. Weitzman (1942–2019)

Stavins, Robert N., and Gernot Wagner. "Martin L. Weitzman (1942–2019)." The Palgrave Companion to Harvard Economics. Palgrave Macmillan, 2024.

People, Power, Change: Organizing for Democratic Renewal

Ganz, Marshall. People, Power, Change: Organizing for Democratic Renewal. Oxford University Press, 2024.

Changing Opportunity: Sociological Mechanisms Underlying Growing Class Gaps and Shrinking Race Gaps in Economic Mobility

Dobbie, Will, Raj Chetty, Benjamin Goldman, Sonya R. Porter, and Crystal S. Yang. "Changing Opportunity: Sociological Mechanisms Underlying Growing Class Gaps and Shrinking Race Gaps in Economic Mobility." NBER Working Paper Series, July 2024.

Servicing Development: Productive Upgrading of Labor-Absorbing Services in Developing Economies

Rodrik, Dani and Rohan Sandhu. "Servicing Development: Productive Upgrading of Labor-Absorbing Services in Developing Economies." July 2024.

How Do You Find a Good Manager?

Weidmann, Ben, Joseph Vecci, Farah Said, David J. Deming, and Sonia R. Bhalotra. "How Do You Find a Good Manager?" July 2024.

Populist opposition is threatening progress on climate change

Campanella, Edoardo, and Robert Z. Lawrence. "Populist opposition is threatening progress on climate change." PIIE Working Paper Series, July 2024.

Teaching Competition and Cooperation in Civic Education

Ben-Porath, Sigal, Amy Gutmann, and Dennis Thompson. "Teaching Competition and Cooperation in Civic Education." Civic Education in Polarized Times. Ed. Beaumont, Elizabeth, and Eric Beerbohm. New York University Press, 2024, 220-243.

The role of positive emotion in harmful health behavior: Implications for theory and public health campaigns

Wang, Ke, Vaughan W. Rees, Charles A. Dorison, and Jennifer S. Lerner. "The role of positive emotion in harmful health behavior: Implications for theory and public health campaigns." PNAS 121.28 (July 1, 2024).

Tariffs on Chinese Cleantech Jeopardize the Green Transition

Frankel, Jeffrey. "Tariffs on Chinese Cleantech Jeopardize the Green Transition." Project Syndicate, June 25, 2024.